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/AHSG/ Atlantic Hurricane Season General - IRMA HAVE YOU MET

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Thread replies: 314
Thread images: 91

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PASTEBIN: https://notehub.org/b1v5b

Mandatory and Voluntary Evacuations, Shelter Information:

https://gov.texas.gov/hurricane

Recent updates:
>50 Confirmed Harvey deaths
>HURRICANE IRMA LATEST INFO
http://trackthetropics.com/irma
>Harris County flood control officials: no more uncontrolled releases from Addicks, Barker
>The Federal Emergency Management Agency has received more than 507,000 applications for aid in the aftermath of Hurricane Harvey.
>Oil and gas workers are reboarding offshore platforms and rigs in the Gulf of Mexico to assess damages after Tropical Storm Harvey.
Addicks Reservoir Levels Monitoring
>Harris County
https://www.harriscountyfws.org/GageDetail/Index/2110
>USGS
https://waterdata.usgs.gov/nwis/uv?cb_all_=on&cb_00054=on&cb_62615=on&cb_62615=on&format=gif_stats&site_no=08073000&period=&begin_date=2017-08-21&end_date=2017-08-29

>Real Time Info on Rain and Water Levels
https://www.harriscountyfws.org/
>NOAA flood gauges
http://water.weather.gov/ahps/
>National Weather Service Houston:
http://www.weather.gov/hgx/
>Storm Visualization:
https://www.windy.com/
>Houston Transtar - road cameras:
http://traffic.houstontranstar.org/layers/#

Local MSM Streams
>KHOU 11 Live Stream – Alternate Studio Up
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9MsaR5ckkmc
>Houston Flooding - Fox 26 Local News Live
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eo2T8ZljEBY
>KFDM Southeast Texas Channel 6 Live
http://kfdm.com/live
>Texas Search & Rescue Zello Live
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E12D6T06uF8

Comfy
>The Weather Channel - Music from Local Forcasts in the 1980s-1990s
http://twcclassics.com/audio/years.html
>>
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bump
>>
patiently waiting to see where Irma's headed
>>
>>140049427
Here's one possibility.
>>
>>140049427
looking more southern all the time

NYC>DC>Norfolk>North Carolina
>>
>>140049549
holy shit
>>
>>140048985
/AHSG/ threads are fucking cancer and need to die. Stop posting this fucking garbage please.
>>
>>140049549
If one of the lowest pressure storms ever hits my hometown I will be very sad :C

>>140049702
I hope you die in a horrible fire.
>>
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>>140049702
sorry anon... they are my favorite thread on all of 4chan... and are only relevant for about 2 months out of the year.
>>
>>140049549
Landfall in Wilmington, Cat 5.
>>
>>140049624
Is that the strongest landfall ever?
>>
Charlotte BTFO
>>
>>140049840
pls no...

I dont want my home to be kill.
>>140049891
Not ever, but one of the strongest ever.
>>
>>140049891
It could rival Camille or even Labor Day 1935, yes.
>>
>>140049549
>>140049624
thank you, meteorology anons
>>
>>140049891
3rd lowest pressure ever not sure about at landfall though
>>
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>>140048985
STOP MEMEING IRMA YOU SHITS I DON'T WANT TO DIE
>>
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This is OC made with Grib data... doesn't look good anons...
>>
>>140050086
No problem, next Euro run soon, which will be interesting. Remember this is all long range as fuck, so it could go OTS or even in the Gulf.
>>
>>140050260
If it goes for the kill on houston I don't think I can think of a more kekworthy thing.
>>
>>140050179
The frame prior was 890mb, Labor Day was 892.
>>
>>140050235
>teleports behind you
>>
>>140049937
>>140049951
>>140050179

A 891 landfall would be the strongest ever.
>>
>>140050491
Nothing personal, America.
>>
PLEASE JUST LET IT HIT NEWENGLAD, PLEASE IRMA TAKE ME, IM READDYY!!!
>>
>>140050738
>>140050676
>>140050491

I'm currently making a new animation with updated data. That one I just posted was about 6 hours old, it's already changed a bit.

Give me 5 mins.
>>
>>140050694

b-but... why aren't all of those from 2000-onward? My teacher says global warming is making strong storms the "new normal"
>>
im betting it'll be nothing, or just caribbean disaster at best. most hurricanes that form next to cabo verde islands dont make us landfall
>>
>>140050214
kek

>rolling...
>>
>>140050235
I was fucking around yesterday hoping it would hit the bay, right where I live. I'm not into that idea anymore. I live in a 115 year old Victorian home on the Shore, don't think she can handle too many more storms like that.
>>
Rolling for massive hurricane with landfall
>>
>>140050938
Certainly possible.

Euro still has it turning back out to sea
>>
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The calm before the storm...

Do you feel it anons?
>>
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>>140051050
>>140050838
>>140050738
>>140050676
>>140050235

New updated animation with the latest data.

Keep in mind this is an early prediction based simply on data, and it's probably gonna change.

This is horrifying if the data is correct though.
>>
>>140051386
Btw if anyone has any requests I can do precipitation estimates, max gusts, etc as well.
>>
>>140051184
>>140051184
there's a small chance that it'll be one of those that go all the way from cabo verde to the US. hurricanes that do that though are always pretty bad
>>
>>140051386
This pleases me
>>
>>140048985
Irma and Jose will get married and double-end Florida.
>>
>>140051649
it's a really small chance for it to hit florida. better chances on states further north
>>
>>140051386
RIP USA
>>
>>140051386
>>140049840
>>140049624
Guys, I live in eastern SC.
Should I be worried?
>>
>>140051386
Come on hit florida we need this matthew was a disappointment
>>
>>140052028
THE ENTIRE EAST COAST IS GONNA FUCKIN DIE THIS IS THE STORM OF THE CENTURY U HERD IT HERE FIRST M8.

IVE LITERALLY NEVER SEEN PEOPLE UNDER REACTING THIS MUCH!

Have you guys seen the models. This storm is gonna hit the entire east coast at once, level every single coastal city, and then destroy DC.

This is the end anons.
>>
>>140052028
Wait until 3-5 days until landfall and look at the NHC's track, then if it comes near you, be worried.
>>
>>140052028
You are pretty much screwed anon, cat 5 impact
>>
>>140052028
>>140052028
at the very least you'll get the brunt of outer bands
>>
>>140052028
You can freak out in 5 days if the track remains the same.
>>
>>140052175
Well I guess I'll at least livestream it
>>
>>140051386
>That absolutely enormous mass of isobar rings
Whatever Irma hits is going to get fucked over.
>>
>>140052159
>>140052217

It would not be a bad idea to stock up on nonperishable supplies and have a plan in place in case you need to GTFO though.
>>
>>140052028
better get to the upstate quick like fellow sc anon
>>
>>140052568
It's like the whole thing is a giant eyewall...
>>
>>140052118
I'm hopeful for fl too brother. I wanna get off work for a few days.
>>
>>140050938
digits say usa is about to get I R M A ' D

>tfw chaos god you awakened cringes at your torcch parade and no longer favours u
>>
>>140052648
I should be alright. My house is on top of a hill and is quite sturdy. I just worry about running out of food and water
>>
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is this the hurricane that crashes the stock market?
>>
>>140052648
Shouldn't we be heading west?
>>
>>140052028

I wouldn't worry yet, but I'd suggest figuring out your evacuation/holdout plan before everybody else can realize they need to worry. Keep your gas tank topped off and review your property for hazards--precarious limbs, dead/sick-looking trees, overgrowth that may clog ditches. Consider now where and with whom you would stay in the event of evacuation. Have a bug-out bag prepared in case of a sudden, late change in trajectory.
>>
>>140048985
>Addicks Reservoir Levels Monitoring
>>Harris County
>https://www.harriscountyfws.org/GageDetail/Index/2110
>>USGS

To any fags that were following the Addicks Dam during the Harvey Happening, how close did that dam get to breaking? It was 1 foot over the lowest section of the dam for a while, and its finally gone back down. Do you think one more day of rain, or even one more shower, and that would have been it? Houston would have a 30 foot wall of water traveling through the heart of the city?

How close was Houston to being fucked?
>>
>>140052978
Yea
>>
>>140050694
recorded, older hurricanes are suspected to of been super hurricanes that had low 800s
>>
>>140053084

Yes. No storm surge, lower effects from wind, but probably more chance of flooding as it dumps water at elevation. Where would you head?

Maybe Greenwood, Greenville?
>>
>>140052126
I guess once Irma hits DC, they'll need to drain the swamp.
>>
>>140051386
holy fuck i live in VA beach, I am going to church tomorrow to pray this does not happen.
>>
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South Carolina checking in. Give it to me straight lads, how bad is Irma gonna be for me?
>>
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>>140053294
THE BEAR WILL LEAVE ITS CAGE FOREVER!!

Also it's good for me since I got short positions on all my stocks.
>>
>>140053408
we gonna die
>>
The only elevated chance of disaster is hitting houston again. Otherwise this will just be another average hurricane season with a small chance of disaster spread across the Coastal East US. Just don't get your hopes up.

Hypothesizing on weather is a pain. It goes very slowly and predictions are usually wrong. That's what we saw in the Oroville Dam threads. On the west coast there are rare "atmospheric rivers" bring a ton of rain. They're rare, they're destructive, but they're essential for building up snowpack.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Flood_of_1862
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pineapple_Express
>>
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>>140053252
Pretty damn close. Luckily, I wasn't effected here in my comfy Katy suburb, but I know people who live south of the Addicks Reservoir and they are having their houses condemned.

Urban sprawl must be stopped
>>
>>140053599
digits confirm direct hit on Houston...

The models have it all wrong.
>>
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Silicon Valley is the new Standard Oil.

Trump knows this. How and when does he bust these fuckers up?
>>
>>140053810

wrong thread my b
>>
>>140053408
lol, bend that frog ass over and I'll show ya!
>>
>>140053417
yep that's it.

bear market

god damn that makes sense.
>>
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>>140053408
I live 10 minutes from the beach, just when my life was going back and track and we fixed the door/window/walls JUST to have it destroyed huh...
>>
>>140053810
Standard Oil actually literally did nothing wrong from my research. Just offered lower prices than anyone. Silicon Valley OTOH is fucking us w/the censorship.
>>
>>140053353
I guess. I'm near Florence, fuckkkkkk. Parents picked the worse time to go on vacation. I'd have to drive alone.
>>
Damn... this is deep, yo
>>
>>140053980
Nice to see someone else from the Florence area
>>
>>140053810
>>140053830
kek, we're all watching NK threads too anon.
>>
>>140053980

I don't know SC too well, but Greenwood was nice for a small town. Probably cheaper hotels and gas than Greenwood or Columbia.
>>
>>140049840
I would seriously consider moving to either Texas or California.
>>
>>140054095
Nah, we have hundreds coming from every community in Texas with supplies and people are turned back because so many people are turning up to help. The jew insurance companies and property owners are the only ones who want to FEMA. You know this
>>
>>140054295
Become the new Carlos
>>
it.. it just keeps growing..
>>
It's gonna slam against porto rico, btfo dominigger republic along with haiti, shave cuba and then slam in wallstreet a cat 10 monster.
>>
Shame Wilmington might get fucked. Such beautiful waters there compared to some shithole that should get fucked like Myrtle Beach.
>>
>>140054506
that's what your mom said about my dick lmao
>>
>>140054544
what have you done
>>
>global warming shills pick all the southerly models

>realists pick the average

fuck you faggots. one model (HWRF) shows irma skirting the bahamas, most others show it much further north, and the CLP5 shows it curling out into the atlantic.

fuck all you obama niggerlovers that are trying to push global warming. this irma bitch aint hittin the US. screencap.
>>
>>140054117
Too bad it's under these circumstances.

>>140054211
I guess Greenwood would be good.
>>
>>140054095
>Sovereign countries don't receive emergency aid from other foreign countries
Deeply stupid
>>
>>140053646

You know I kind of wish it fucking happened. I live right on Buffalo Bayou. When I found out I lived a mile away from the Addicks and Barker I bailed the fuck out of there. My family thought I was fucking acting borderline mentally ill for moving all of our shit out, and they still do. The reservoirs are on wide open and the water has gotten damn close to my apartment, but hasn't gone inside. My family still thinks I was stupid for doing that.

"The Army Corps of Engineers are on it, anon. You think the smartest minds can't figure out how to handle water? Gosh, you have no faith..."

When I remind them about what happened at Oroville they use that as proof that the engineers know what they're doing, instead of proof that shit can get out of hand. I can't fucking handle all this retarded normieness anymore. I love my family but I think only something like a 30 foot wall of water crashing through downtown Houston can wake them the fuck up.
>>
>>140054636
so this is the australian shitposting ive heard so much about?
how many inches you got chang? 1.5? 2?
fucking buttblasted chinks
>>
>>140053407
>lives in va beach
>goes to church

story checks out
>>
>>140054747
I like big strong spinning wheels of death, that is all.
>>
>>140054095
>people are donating millions
>regular citizens were teaming up and helping out neighbors and random strangers themselves
This disaster made me realize that we don't even need our government for most things.
>>
>>140049813
not an argument
>>140049818
doesn't change the fact that AHSG threads are cancer and that you have to go back.
>>
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>>140049840
>wilmington on 9/11

well then rip in piece wilmington city, university, and cape fear cc. It was nice attending for 3 years and now my program will be cancelled and our house will gone as well.
>>
>>140053646
yeah those people in the path of addicks outflow practically have permanent flooding. fucking month long stagnant sewage water.
>>
>>140053845
also I would've said about the ravens starving since Baltimore, however Baltimore is more inland so I don't think It will get affected
>>
>>140054806

Stayed at their Holiday Inn Express for the eclipse, brand new place.

But maybe going further inland than that is good too.
>>
>>140053695
>digits confirm direct hit on Houston
Well that's exactly what I didn't wanna say. We went through this on the west coast earlier this year. You have to either accept that global warming is causing crazy storms in 2017, or accept that Harvey was a freak hurricane with an extremely low chance of happening again.
>>
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>>140054095
wow this is powerful, yo
>>
>>140056156
REALLY MAKES YOU THINK
>>
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>>140051184
pls, I don't want all my shit to get flooded and then have nothing for 1-2 months.
>>
>>140054864
>arguing with your family around the dinner table about the danger level of addicks

this is like the wet dream fantasy of every dam monitoring autist on this board
>>
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>>140055253

I lived here about a year. It was nice, until it wasn't. I got the fuck out, but was fully anticipating a 30 foot wall of water to wash my apartment away. It hasn't done so yet, but the area is completely inaccessible. They built our apartments up several feet, so water hasn't gone inside. I hope my shit hasn't been looted while we're out. I hope the dams don't fail and wash all my shit away. We'll see.
>>
>>140055604
Don't worry anon... the (((media))) is 100% on your side
>>
>>140056278

I know, but I live here >>140056327

My shit is completely inaccessible, but they see it as little more than an inconvenience than anything I actually needed to worry about. They wonder how I can live my life worrying about things like this. It hurts my head how dumb my family is.
>>
>>140048985

The new one's hitting Florida, was hoping for a double header in Hues Town. >_<
>>
>>140056225

My area got pummeled by a storm in early June. Fucked a lot of cars up in some places, but this entire area has canals, pumps, and drainage, so flooding shouldn't really be a concern.
>>
>>140056465
Nah I don't even think climate change made harvey hit hard. It was probably houston paving over 500 square miles which made a big low pressure zone of rising air for harvey to go into.

Urban retards BTFO
>>
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Newfag to meteorology here

a couple days ago the ventusky prediction for 9/10 showed Irma grazing the coast of new england, but todays prediction has it most certainly on its way to hitting mainland

is america actually fucked?
>>
>>140058015

no claims of fuckery are to be believed until hurricane is less than 5 days ago... 3 days really
>>
>>140058015
You shouldn't believe too much of anything that's longer than 3 days out. 5 day out or more forecasts give a decent indication of if it's going to hit landfall and give a very rough area of where it will hit but nothing like an exact location. Even that's subject to change but nobody should really worry until it's about 5 days out from a landfall.
>>
Pls NYC landfall on 9/11. I'm not throwing in the towel yet need a few more days of runs
>>
>>140049197
>>140049427

Is it you guys making the fake weather maps?
>>
Euro well S of previous run, trending SW like all other models.
>>
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lads, what if Irma threads the needle and goes straight into Chesapeake bay? Would the bay be fucked? Is Maryland going to turned into Atlantis? I need to know right now, in case I need to prep for a fish waifu.
>>
>>140060915
Sometimes nor'easters do that. They stay stronger for longer thanks to the water source. Can't say it'll be the same for Irma though. it is FUCKING COLD up here right now.
>>
>>140060543
168 hr shows a straight run through the Bahamas, heading towards FL.
>>
>>140060915
6 PM run had it shooting right up the ass
>>
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Irma drives up the Chesapeake destroying Baltimore, DC, Philly, and swings east back toward the ocean flooding NYC

checkem
>>
>>140060915
it might actually clean out the bay
>>
>>140060915
Please no, I live in the hampton roads area and the last thing this shithole needs right now is a hurricane to come barreling right up our collective asses.
>>
>>140061105
move due N in 192 tho
>>
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>>140061151
RIP me
>>
>>140061429
Yeah, though a ridge is coming through, could be very close.
>>
>>140049924
>Charlotte
Oh fuck yes, can you even imagine?
>>
>>140052028
Buy a generator and start stockpiling water, ammo, gas and food.
>>
>>140049924
plz no. I just got my new townhome I swear to god I will go insane if I lose everything I just built here fuck fuck fuck please hit NY not NC
>>
216 hour is NC landfall, GFS and Euro are in agreement. Now you can worry until the next GFS.
>>
>>140061983
This guy is bullshitting. Charlotte is hundreds of miles inland. Your townhome will be fine. Wilmington/Myrtle Beach however...
>>
>>140062120
>>140062170
Now with image.
>>
>>140061429
UHOH Euro Model
>>
>>140062227
That is a goddamned huge storm.
>>
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>>140048985
And you all thought we were bad to live in.
>>
>>140062170
Cool, just a comfy storm then? We haven't had one of these in a while. I am worried it may be Cat 5 when it hits though...could be way worse then we are imagining.
>>
houston here
when's my next storm?
>>
>>140062529
Could be around 9/11 man. Not likely, but it is within margin of error.
>>
>>140062398
I wouldn't call it comfy. This storm could knock out power for some time through downed trees. See >>140062227

No threat of storm surge though.
>>
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>>140060915
potential for massive storm surge wherever it lands. topography and high tide/low tide matters. atlantis is possible tho.
>>
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I'm an hour north of DC, how dead am I
>>
>>140062227
>>140062243
yeaaaaah if that run verifies on more than 50% of ensembles on Tuesday I'll have some phone calls to make. Family lives right on cape fear.

New England landfall would be /comfy/. Unlike Jerseytards we can handle out atlantic cyclones.
>>
>>140062841
ur already dead
>>
>>
>>140049840
The biggest faggot I know lives in Wilmington NC

absopositively based
>>
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>>140062227
actually now I think the ravens will starve
>>140062777
CHECKED, IT'S HAPPENING!!
>>
/stayingupfortheEuro/

real champs ITT right now
>>
>>140062777
What's that, a tsunami from an earthquake?
>>
>>140048985
when will we get a hurricane where Cali is at...
>>
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>>140048985
Nuclear war will start in conjunction with landfall of these Storms on or about 9/23. CAP THIS
>>
>>140064105
Baja gets them frequently. But North of that, sheer, cold temps, and the Westerlies either divert or weaken hurricanes to the point of nuisance rainy days
>>
>>140064049
oh yeah, it looks like it could be a tsunami. but it's from typhoon haiyan. we'd have to go full cat 6 to reach that level.
>>
>>140053417
At this point I think it's more important to focus on the first part of the prophecy.

It will happen when the weather cools.
That's when they'll make their move.
The plans made long ago, before the founding of America, and older still, will come to fruition.
They're trying to force God's hand.
Watch for these signs:

Are "these signs" all connected somehow? Or is it implying that "they'll make their move" only AFTER all the signs have come?
>>
>>140064511
digits don't lie but Irma will be long gone by the 23rd
>>
>>140064730
"when the weather cools" was last Fall
>>
>>140051050
I'm in a similar position. Thankfully my based great-grandparents built this house 7 feet off the ground because it floods so much here
>>
>>140064511
checked and rubbernecked
>>
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hey guys, just given you guys an update
Currently we're looking to around 3 weeks will the water goes down, meanwhile we're not allowed into our houses because of structural dangers and mold. We peered inside and I saw our freezer floating around, it has allow of meet inside and well, it's not good
Currently our greatest fear is they're speculating of condemning the entire neighborhood for obvious reasons. I mean some one died at the end of our street because he lived in that house all of his life and refused to abandon it
By divine grace my dad thought to buy flood insurance not but 3 months before this happened, but it may not cover the 3 cars that were ruined, not to mention the family heirlooms that are currently floating in shit water
got a vid of my back yard but I don't know how to convert MOV to webm

anyway, if you've got a chance to prepare fucking do it, don't listen to your retarded mayor, btw a shit load of people from my area are suing the city because of the neglect to the reservoirs as well as the poor advice to stay the storm.
I know it's just stuff, but its the stuff I grew up with, and some of the stuff was brought here from Europe almost 200 years ago.
Start preparing now so you don't have to lose these things
>>
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>>140064898
also, to the anons who sport the Kirby vacuum, I'm sorry
She didn't make it
>>
>>140064898
http://www.zamzar.com/

This will let you convert files. Show us the video Texanon
>>
>>140051386
So Richmond VA and Washington D.C are in the pathof this storm.
>>
>>140064730
>>
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>>140065095
thanks
before:
>>
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>>140065005
:( I was there when we still had hope for your vacuum. Any news from grovebro?
>>
>>140064898
did you need to get an escort to go to your property to take that pic? why not just sneak inside and get your really valuable shit?

Hope you got your all your shots and washed down in diluted bleach after that trip. lots of disease and shit floating in those waters.
>>
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>>140064898
if you feel like downloading ffmpeg and using command line:

ffmpeg -i "myVideo.mov" -ss 00:00:04 -t 00:00:15 -c:v libvpx -crf 10 -b:v 1M -an myVideo.webm

also make sure to add the ffmpeg.exe to your path

sucks to hear about all that stuff ruined, anon.
>>
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>>140065431
You needed show your dr licence to get in the neighborhood, most of my valuable stuff is either heavy or electronic (upstairs)
we have a big box full of family pics and we've gotten some out, but not allot since we're still going around in kayaks
>>140065421
Haven't heard much, understandably though, everyone is busy as fuck

can't get the audio off so I'm gonna post an updated old pic
still working on these vids
>>
>>140056963
Lol no. It was a high pressure system that blocked and slowed down Harvey's movement.

Like 80% of Houston didnt flood. The reason for all the flooding is the cheap development. The city and Harrie County let developers run wild and cut corners on regulations (including flooding).

A lot of this could have been avoided even with the massive amounts of rain if the metro area was more planned out with additional reservoirs, wider bayous, and higher elevations for homes in flood plains.
>>
>>140066598
city planning was pretty terrible. you have this combination of flat terrain, high population density, being a gulf state, and a known history of flooding. it's never really possible to avoid all flooding, but it's pretty clear over the decades there was no desire to better manage it and actually protect citizen interests.
>>
here you go
https://i.4cdn.org/wsg/1504425463448.webm
the other one is big so it may take a while
I may repost this stuff in the morning when everyone is awake
>>
>>140067128
>https://i.4cdn.org/wsg/1504425463448.webm

404
>>
Send one of these hurricanes to New Orleans pls.
>>
>>140068781
fuck, hang on
>>
>>140068781
does this work?
https://a.pomf.cat/bxkuza.webm
>>
>>140069232
nope
>>
>>140052126
I like your enthusiasm
>>
>>140048985
Irma, please let your little baby storms BTFO of Knoxville and the liberal cesspool of Oak Ridge.
>>
>>140069232
werks4me
>>
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>>140052850
Fuck yeah! Hit Florida, Irma! Come on! We wagies need an early vacation.
>>
>>140053417
Thought the bear would be Russia. I've been using the words "bear market" a lot lately no fucking clue why I didn't think of that one.
>>
>>140070912
i'm an options trader, use this terminology all the time, bear market encourages selling and bull market encourages buying
reason why they call it that is because a bear drinks downwards and a bull drinks upwards
>>
>>140071067
Always thought it was due to their nature. Bulls "charge" forward, gaining momentum and strength while bears hibernate and become less active at times. A bear market is like a market hibernation.
>>
>>140071332
that's part of it too
>>
New path puts it way closer to us
>>
>>140071067
>>140071332
This. I always assumed it was because of the bull "charging" while the bear was slower.
>>
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we ded!
>>
Irma is back to Cat 3, recon flights are beginning soon.
>>
>>140052126
this sounds scientifically plausible
>>
>>140053252
more rain would have caused uncontrolled overflow. that is serious but it doesn't mean the dam has failed or "broken". if the dam actually fails, it would be catastrophic.
>>
>>140051203
kinda
>>
New GFS cooking, currently @ 150 hours
>>
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>>140075667
monitoring it myself
>>
>>140075667
when can you post it?
>>
>>140075957
the predicted landfall hasn't come through yet... close though
>>
>>140075748
thank god that low pressure system got BTFO in both models making landfall of this beast more and more likely....that shit was going to divert it back away from the coast

GFS looking spicy as fuck
>>
good lord i hope it washes away all the degenerate filth in nyc. went therw once and the whole place sucked ass
>>
>>140076165
>890 mb

my ears are already popping
>>
North Carolina wins again
>>
>>140076251

I guess GFS over-predicts the intensity for a more accurate model according to r/tropicalweather fags. Euro model is likely a much more accurate gauge of the possible intensity
>>
>>140076251
>>140076165

What about

https://twitter.com/RyanMaue

who is saying models that are predicting sub 915mb are very extreme and unlikely?
>>
>that train of tropical waves rolling off Africa
>>
>>140076451
Also a few other questions, if some fellow meteoranons would be kind enough to learn me.

What does the 'z' mean, in things like 'valid at 12z' or 'valid at 18z?'

and why do some models show the storm being a nice circle, while others are getting flattened once they hit the coast? Is that just because it's not over water any more? or is it because of elevation?
>>
>>140076451

See my post above, GFS intensity is overtuned. Euro model has it making landfall at 920mb

Also now the Euro and GFS have this spicy motherfucker making landfall at almost the exact same place. Can't wait
>>
>>140076451
>https://twitter.com/RyanMaue
>who is saying models that are predicting sub 915mb are very extreme and unlikely?

He's right, but the general indication still holds that Irma is likely to become a major hurricane.

>>140076553
>What does the 'z' mean,
It's the time zone abbreviation from the prime meridian/greenwich mean time.
>>
>>140076553
z is the 24 hour time or military time called zulu. It's nothing more than UTC time.
>>
>>140076639
well, at least I live in charlotte, and not on the fucking coast.

still getting ready for this bitch tho. i'm pretty green when it comes to storm watching, but i feel bad juju about this.
>>
>>140076896
If you live that far in and it tracks east of you don't bother worrying about anything more than some wind and rain.
>>
>>140077057
I'm more concerned about extended power outages, university city being shut down, and damage to my house (due to high winds and rain.)

stocking some food/water etc, and being prepared to board/secure the house only in the days prior to impact, if it's confirmed getting that close to charlotte.

I live at the top of the hill in my cul-de-sac, and the trees aren't too huge around me.

The most concerning thing is several of my friends vacationing in the OBX at the moment, but they should be back before Irma gets too close.
>>
im not too familiar with north carolina coastal geography.....how big of a happening will it be if it plows into them @ 920mb (what katrina was)
>>
>>140077374
I hope there isn't a gas shortage with so much refining currently offline. Would really suck in the event of a mandatory evacuation.
>>
>>140077527
>>
>>140077587
There are places in North Carolina and Virginia that flood on a breezy day.
>>
>>140077734
Hell, every time a good rainstorm comes through my street (I live in a trailer park) almost floods, and several of the streets in the park do flood.

I blame park management though, fucking slumlord cunts.
>>
>>140077605

Like a third of the fucking state is at sea level!
>>
>>140077374
I wouldn't worry about anything until maybe Tuesday or Wednesday forecasts. Just make sure nothings really loose outside and not secure, I doubt you'll need to go as far as boarding up your house.

>>140077527
East of I-95 is pretty flat/low level and the sound/coast will get pretty boned regardless. Outside of that It's not that bad, at least nothing people haven't seen before there. If it does hit it'll probably be the biggest one since Fran in 96?
>>
>>140078030
What's the potential of Hugo 2, Electric boogaloo?

Or will that be unknown until Tue/Wed like you mentioned?
>>
>>140078136
>Hugo

best hurricane name ever
>>
Is it just me or has Irma done nothing but go through eyewall cycles one after another after she reached her initial cat 3 strength?
>>
>>140078922
typical woman going through her cycles and getting meaner with age
>>
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>>140077374
Good luck out there Texas guy

>Pic related is good shtf advice, if it's blurry (mobile users) go to the bottom of the page and click desktop site, refresh and it should be clear. Unless I uploaded a blurry image, kek.
>>
>>140078136
Considering it's still forecasted to be a good ways out at sea by Thursday I'd say yeah it'll be unknown what Cat it'll be. The only thing even remotely accurate this long of a time out is where it'll hit or if it'll hit at all which isn't that great either.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?cone#contents
Might be later than Tuesday/Wednesday now that I see the track. Just keep an eye on your local news weather forecast for the next week though.
>>
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Ventusky's moved landfall to be near Wilmington
>>
>>140079119
thanks for that one, saved
>>
Irma this isn't funny anymore.

I need you to STOP
>>
>>140069232
This one works
>>
>>140054999
Checked
No step on snek
>>
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>>140082090

Jesus Christ Puerto Rico... it's always want want want with you!

>i'm broke. gimme a bailout
>i got hit by a hurricane. gimme disaster funds.
>i don't get any respect. gimme statehood.
>>
>>140082090
Hope you live on a hill, buddy boi
>>
>>140083188
well there is that badass castle in puerto rico. i wonder how many people it can hold
>>
>>
>>140083497
>>
>>140083528
>>
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>>140083497
>>140083528
>>140083550

HOLY SHIT YOU WILL FUCKING DIE
>>
>>140052118
>>140052850

Fuck you faggots. Irma will not hit Florida and if it does I'm coming to rape your boi puccis.
>>
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>>140055604
>global warming
>freak hurricane

But that's a false dichotomy and bull shit. Since 2005 there have been almost no major hurricanes, and few hurricanes making land fall. If the global warming cultists are correct then how come it's been over 10 years since we have seen a major storm?

Also, I'm tired of a weather event happening and people claiming the devastation is from AGW. Huston got fucked because it's a low lying area that got tons of rain dumped on it. This has happened in the early 1900's, and with greater effect. Fuck off with your cult bull shit.
>>
>>140083770
The Canadian model has it hitting Florida.
>>
>>140084023
>Canadians
>knowing anything about weather

Not too spooked right now.
>>
Here's a gif of the latest GFS forecast
>>
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>>140084023
>>140084635
And the Japanese model
>>
>>140083528
>>140083550
The landfall models moved 200 miles south overnight.

Good luck Florida.
>>
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jnBv62AJ3Tg
>>
>>140049818
I second this. Everyone else politicizes cyclones in the US, we need to know what's true about these storms to discredit the political bullshit being pushed on us when they are discussed by normals.
Also, I guffawed at that pic. Thanks.
>>
>>140049924
The altitude you have here is not good for ground level winds, more useful to predict steering. Still, if this path holds I'm predicting lots of power outages.
>>
>>140084023
lol that L is pretty much exactly where I live
>>
>>140086175
Filll up your air boat
>>
>>140086175
Oy vey, ids like annudah shoah!
>>
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>>140086832
>>140086855
>>
>>140048985
911 landfall
>>
>>140086175
>lol that L is pretty much exactly where I live
>>
>>140049702
>memegenerator
>>
>>140052126
Oy Vey It's a SHOAH of Biblical Proportions! We need to EVACUATE EVERYTHING RIGHT THE FUCK NOW
>>
>tfw live in nc
>family got hit in texas
>good freinds in sc
>family also in florida

If anything real goes down I swear to you /pol/ I will live stream out in the hurricane as my final gift to the world.
>>
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>>140087927
>>
>>140052126
Matthew was supposed to do the same thing, and then ended up being 20 miles too far to the east.
>>
>>140084023
Direct hit to Miami.
>>
>>140054864
>I love my family but I think only something like a 30 foot wall of water crashing through downtown Houston can wake them the fuck up.

Some people are not meant to be saved anon. Let go.
>>
>>140088509
Will you make paranoid videos with your guns in memory of Carlos?
>>
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>>140049840
But I just bought a house in Lewes...
>>
>>140084778
>>140084023
good news, florida beaches are tired of all the trash, it'll clean up now
>>
>>140089342

That's no way to talk about our tourists and transients.
>>
>>140064898
If you got insurance getting condemned is the best thing to happen to you anon, it forces the insurance to pay for a new house.
>>
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>>140089414
I'm including all spanish present there, you know how they got there
>>
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why is flood insurance even a thing when we know no one buys it and we know everyone gets fucked if you dont
>>
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>>140049840
Should I stay? Kinda want to stay.
>>
>>140066598
This is exactly why we need /AHSG/ in /pol/ for a couple months out of the year.
>>
>>140090021
Livestream and shitpost until the end.
>one of us in the wreckage
>>
>>140090021
Stay. /pol/ needs anons to give live updates
>>
>>140090021
it's updated to florida now
>>
Is the nyc dream dead?
>>
>>140090239
the dream is still alive for the whole east coast
>>
>>140062370
YUUUUUUGE!!!
>>
>>140090301
I kind of hope for this actually. Anons from the east coast livestreaming it on /pol/ would be pretty good and make a good way to keep updates
>>
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Guys... I live in WIlmington. We just had our first Pride Parade yesterday, full with trannys and everything degenerate.

I think God is coming for us.
>>
https://earth.nullschool.net/
Seems like it's on a direct path to Orlando.
>>
It's confirmed that Irma isnt going away.
The question is where it will land.
>>
>>140090787
Just like Texas
>>
>>140088816
did he died?
>>
>>140077605
>I'm going to have a beachfront apartment now

wew
>>
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so how bad was Harvey compared to Katrina? and how is Irma looking in the context of those two?
how many ded from Harvey so far?


thanks and stay safe burgerbros
>>
>>140091382
Not for long you're not.
>>
>>140091497
Not as bad. Lazy niggers who dont work made it cost alot more than it should have.
>>
>>140090021
Category 5 on landfall is a disaster. Don't risk it if landfall is projected in your area within three days. Good luck anon.
>>
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I want a smug tv weatherman from the 80s to do all the reporting on Irma. It would be comfy as fuck
>>
>tfw moved out of Greenville NC last May due to finishing grad school
>Dont get to die to a hurricane


Feels fucking bad. Maybe we'll get some rain in Charlotte
>>
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>>140093859
Ayyyye, one of us.
>>
>>140082090
hop in your callo and drive out to meet her :)
>>
>>140065274
Dude, turn on your pool filter. The water in it is disgusting.
>>
>>140065274
Cleaning floodwater out of a pool system is a bitch-and-a-half. Good luck, anon.
>>
>>140049924
I live in Charlotte and work in the hood. Can almost guarantee I'll be killed by "looters" if this happens
>>
Seems like someone should put a few historical statues in chains, you know, to stop 'em blowing away.
>>
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>>140082090
I like what I'm seeing.
>>
>>140090221
Thank god we need some excitement down here.
>>
cant wait for shep smith

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pw7e6WTQd_0
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jgoSwMKKq1o
>>
She's moving west
>>
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>>140095528
I would love a good storm, but I also don't want the SpaceX Falcon Heavy launch to be delayed. I'm looking forward to watching it blow up in November.
>>
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guys I'm scared should I be stocking up on nonperishable food items?
>>
>>140097131
Depends on where your proxy is
>>
>>140097131
Nah eat your neighbors
>>
>>140096476
>literally trading one happening for another
>>
they should be able to track irma better than telling everone "idk lol" until its already hitting an island. Fucking hacks
>>
>>140051184
Turning out back to sea soon enough to not hit the northeast?
>>
>>140097500
most of the weather models are outdated as fuck
>>
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>>140097409
>“I encourage people to come down to the Cape to see the first Falcon Heavy mission,” he added, hinting at the riskiness of the launch. “It’s guaranteed to be exciting.”
>“There’s a lot of risk associated with Falcon Heavy, a real good chance that that vehicle does not make it to orbit,” Musk said, referring to the inaugural test launch. “I want to make sure to set expectations accordingly. I hope it makes it far enough beyond the pad so that it does not cause pad damage. I would consider even that a win, to be honest.”
https://spaceflightnow.com/2017/07/25/musk-sets-expectations-low-for-maiden-falcon-heavy-launch/
>>
EVACUATE
>>140097952

EVACUATE
>>140097952

EVACUATE
>>140097952

EVACUATE
>>140097952

EVACUATE
>>140097952
>>
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>>140097706
im just buttmad because i got too comfy watching harvey from my room in Orlando. And regardless of what you fags are saying about it curving up it looks like a florida hit to me
>>
>>140065421
Has anyone heard from carlos since the "complica" post?
>>
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>>140049702
>>
>>140050324
>>
>>140048985
>>
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>>140052126
>THE ENTIRE EAST COAST IS GONNA FUCKIN DIE IN THIS STORM

Maybe, if most of those homes weren't made of brick and concrete
>>
>>140048985
José is coming behind Irma
Thread posts: 314
Thread images: 91



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