HUP HUP HUP Edition
>>64765139 → #
>FAQ and abbreviations list for those new to /bet/
>Help for gambling addiction/suicide hotlines
>/bet/ approved spreadsheet for tracking your bets
>lose money on a typical day of sports gambling
then why are you sports gambling?
>"and they're horrible. all 3 interceptions he's thrown have been horrible"
based Gruden holding nothing back
>Euan will never have another dream
These are in Norwegian though, so you're probably gonna need someone to translate them although you could try to just listen for the player/team names. He usually tweets "videobets in progress" while it's uploading.
for what purpose?
late post if earlier ones didn't answer you
he sometimes posts a video and says the bets outloud or posts them directly on twitter, i guess today is through video but yesterday was decent and on twitter
i can make a collage of the tweets if you want
>can anyone tell me why this wasn't tipped special?
From an advanced stats perspective the teams were pretty similar and the Chiefs playoff win drought was legendary. Two years ago Reid managed to throw away one of the biggest playoff leads ever.
But they were tipped large by multiple people.
Monterrey DNB @1.64 value if you have bovada. Line's at 1.40 at most other places
>i think seahawks might be a special
if the weather wasn't so damn cold/windy and/or Lynch really was back it would be a special. I'm still on special anyway but I'm definitely wearing homer goggles.
>Houston defense on one of the most impressive runs in the last 20 years
This game was 13-0 at halftime. Only reason it got out of hand because Hoyer the Texans QB stunk it up so much that the Texans Defense just gave up.
That the bird you went out with last night?
>Tfw bet over 30 on chiefs game
Just end me now m8s. I can't take this anymore
>When a team posts an image to tell you their lineup but they fuck it up so badly you can barely read the names
Pretty confident they will. Really just depends on whether Roethlisberger is on point today or not. If he's playing good it's going to be very hard for McCarron to stick around no matter how bad the Steelers defense is. If the Steelers win imo it will be because they put up points so personally I'm on them scoring over 22.5pts and 2.5TDs. (small)
Terrible odds? Literally all they have to do is beat a team who hasn't beat anyone with a winning record all year.
I did it because looking through, I thought they were the best two bets to make and I decided fuck it. Why would they have to be on the same day? It's not like I tied my bankroll up.
Meant to add that the odds for Pack are better than what I got for the Chefs. Are we going to forget that the Redskins suck just because they made the playoffs? They don't have a single redeeming quality besides a shit division just like the Texans.
>take a powernap shortly after lunch so i can catch the rest of the skedge and not lose my edge
>wake up 12 hours after bypassing all alarm defenses
what have i done, scared of scrolling up and getting hit in the face by the missed value
anyone on the NZ/mejico games up now?
Terrible odds compared to elsewhere. You should be able to get the ML for -105. I don't disagree that the Redskins are shite but there's more going for them than you might think
>Why would they have to be on the same day?
Because you can usually get better odds gameday morning on the NFL, and you can put the best stake on rather than 1.87 units or whatever
And it sounds like you have a real problem with the Redskins, did your mother get keked by a Native American?
Possible Hawkes Bay 0.0 value, I'm monitoring now but desu its probably nothing. Think Wellington only on top in first half because they ahd the wind behind them and Hawkes came out and equalised almost straight away but I want to wait for a few more mins of 2nd half rball before making that bet.
You missed nothing friend besides a sweaty large in Trinidad. On none of the games right now was going to be some potential value in the Auckland City game, but prices have been smashed in already.
small on nexaca @2.10, new season, bit of a lotto but twitchers not smacking due to rball and teams are closer than last season's standings suggest as nexaca choked and lost last 5 games t b h
And I'm an Ameribet so my options are severely hampered.
And no, I actually have a ton of Choctaw friends. I just think the professional football team from Washington bumbled into the playoffs.
Well as it stands now, I couldn't have done a parlay if I waited a day. It seemed pretty obvious to me that the Chiefs would wreck Houston. So I added that and my 2nd most confident pick together. Maybe not a viable longterm strategy but now I'm in a situation where GB beats Washington and I more than double my money. Would be different if my second bet was -7 or some shit but I'm pretty much golden if they find some way to beat the Redskins.
I don't trust raptors with any point spread and only get on ML for them
Looking good so far for the spread though
Glad to hear, hope you keep it up. I just really don't like the odds for the amount of randomness myself
>I just think the professional football team from Washington bumbled into the playoffs.
I hear the SOS argument but they HAVE been playing hot as fuck at home and Green Bay has been playing ice cold pretty much everywhere. This is a game where anything can happen. I might be biased as I've lost a LOT of money on GB this year but they have been about as anti-clutch as it's possible to be.
>I've lost a LOT of money on GB this year
>they have been about as anti-clutch as it's possible to be
>tfw bet almost $1k on packers vs lions, broncos, bears
>they lose all 3
Lions and Bears were my first bug humbling losses. I was like 3 fucking years old the last time the Lions had won in Lambeau. Lost $550 between them and nearly wiped myself out twice. Then I bit hard on an inplay over line in the last viking game, rebacking all the way down to o30.5. Can't fucking BELIEVE Rodgers couldn't score with 4 downs from the 8 yard line TWICE in a season to fuck me over.
DVOA is the best stat for quantifying the NFL (possibly THE goat advanced metric for any sport). It's not going to be better than vegas but it's as good.
>So Bengals ML is a losing bet?
I think Pittsburgh probably wins but it's REALLY early in the game. This is looking like a game that will be close all the way through. Low scoring affair unless things open up by the end of the 2nd which would mean it could be anyone's game at any time.
>The amount I can cash out fluctuates like crazy
American football engines change score lines for in-play based on field position. They convert how far a team is from the goal into a spread based on past percentages of plays from that down and distance. In a closely predicted game like this with a score of 0-0 the line is going to move a lot even though no one has actually done anything.
>tfw got mad I didn't get on pistons
>pistons leading by 10-15 in first half
>lead down to 4
>meanwhile raptors trailing earlier
>now raptors up by 14
t-thanks ameribets, sure saved me today
i think it's a trap game, I would just hedge on it immediately after the steelers punt this drive
this must be your first steelers game
welcome abroad to tomlin coaching train
*smacks lips profusely*
Would make potentially less than half of what I could. I was sure about the Texans game and fairly confident about GB.
Let's say you split it up even
16@-110 is like 14.4 and some odd dollars
16@-105 is like 14.6 and some odd
So maybe 29 ish of profit.
32 in this parlay is 87 dollars of profit. The other is clearly safer but I get tired of safe bets all day everyday.
I had what I felt were two great lines.
I don't know about rain off the top of my head but games scores fluctuate 4 points between a dome and an open air stadium on average. Rain is probably at least a 5 or 6 point swing.
>he didn't buy powerball tickets
It's like you guys aren't even trying to become rich
if this wins, i'm at +800 in 3 days, if it loses i'm at +150 for 3 days
don't let me down big ben
on tampico 0 ah medium large
also did leon sell half their players? they were underdog at home against a bottom tier team yet up 2-0 now, o1.5 came in so happy but wish i had looked more into the reason for those odds
buying a ticket every once in a while gives you a *small* chance to win something, while not buying something gives you zero
it's only $2 a ticket so unless you overdo it, it honestly that big of a deal
>tfw live in state that doesn't sell powerball tickets
>spending $2 triggers you
>not making enough money betting to buy $2 tickets at leisure
yeah just noticed leon were actually small favorites at kick-off but people figured out what you said and the odds shifted despite a rather equal game
chiapas looked dangerous from what i watched but did concede a counter-attack, will have to wait a bit
>Reading stories of lottery winners who blew all their money
>The majority of them aren't people who blew it on cars and parties and shit as you'd think, but people who got sued by their friends for not splitting the money, people who tried to claim the money through divorce, hand outs to family and friends and such and just general leeches attaching to them because they're rich now.
The Griffiths bought their dream home then life fell apart
Before they won a $2.76 million lottery jackpot, Lara and Robert Griffith hardly ever argued.
They bought a million-dollar house and a Porsche.
But 18 months ago, six years after their win, Robert drove away in the Porsche after Lara confronted him over emails suggesting he was interested in another woman.
Their 14-year marriage was over, a freak fire gutted their house, and every penny of their fortune was gone.
In 2004, Sharon Tirabassi, a single mother who had been on welfare, cashed a check from the Ontario Lottery and Gaming Corp. for $10,569,00.10 (Canadian).
She subsequently spent her winnings on a "big house, fancy cars, designer clothes, lavish parties, exotic trips, handouts to family, loans to friends" and in less than a decade she's back riding the bus, working part-time, and living in a rented house.
Luckily Tirabassi put some of her windfall in trusts for her six children, who can claim the money when they turn 26.
Construction worker Americo Lopes won the New Jersey lottery, quit his job and then lied about it, claiming he needed foot surgery.
After coming clean to an ex-colleague, he and a few others ganged up on Lopes for not splitting the winnings as promised.
Sadly, the court ordered Lopes to split the prize.
Ontario resident Ibi Roncailoli walked away with $5 million in a 1991 Lotto 649 drawing, but she didn't tell her husband how she decided to spend it.
When Joseph Roncailoli, a gynecologist, found out Ibi gave $2 million of her fortune to a secret child she'd had with another man, he poisoned her with painkillers, the Toronto Star reports.
He was found guilty of manslaughter and reportedly asked Ibi's family to help foot the bill for her funeral.
In 2002, West Virginia building contractor Andrew Jackson Whittaker Jr. walked away with $114 million after taxes on a $315 Million multi-state Powerball draw.
That was just about his last stroke of good fortune.
In two separate instances, thieves ran off with $745,000 Whittaker stashed in his car. Later on, he was sued by Caesar's Atlantic City for allegedly bouncing $1.5 million in checks.
Within four years, his fortune was gone.
The only thing this shows is that only stupid/cunty people win the lottery. Ergo, unless they are considered to be more lucky than everyone else, only stupid/cunty people enter the lottery in the first place
too bad, granted i had the overs i couldn't hold out any longer t b h, let's hope that's it for the 1st
57 MINS - #NavyBlues Micah LEA'ALAFA goal disallowed for offside but play stops after the net breaks & needs running repairs. #ACvSU 1-1
pmsl. Also Mackers is on -3. Hope they win by just two desu.
>Cashed out Bungels for a profit
>Steelers -2 refund
>Steelers o2.5 TDs lost
>Up a small medium
Absolute mad man. Probably the type of kunt you would want next to you in the trenches when the aboriginals come attacking.
With you buddy.
Really glad I stayed away from picking a team in this game
Got on u38.5 at least
respect for your more ballsy under
not sure about survivor but I know for a fact there are game of throne bets on stuff like (who becomes king, dies next, etc)
although that would be the epitome of gambling without any secret knowledge
>someone, somewhere in the world bet the unders in a Warriors Kings game
For what purpose?
Theon is pretty great value tbqh. Stannis is going to kill him in the books because his redemption is over, saving Sansa. He saved Sansa in the show, so it is likely it is over for him this season, especially considering they are introducing his uncles who will be the driving Greyjoy characters alongside his sister. And it is coming to an end, so expect main character deaths to go up.
>Line all the way down to +2 @1.7
Can only imagine the absolute madman in Macau backing this shite.
did you find anything about hoi king btw? i was considering the - because i couldn't find anything about them at all and woo foo were quite dominant in the 2nd division. hoi king is an area with several clubs but tihs one is probably just some literal whos
got a bit influenced by the + being smacked in asia and backed off though
what do you mean lad? HK premier is literaly mainstream for most retired soldiers, got anything on the match
shame about sydney, deserved that point
taking tai chang 0, no way they lose this by 2
spock man of tennis mouthguards has been playing pretty well
can't be too sure of federer nowadays, he btfo thiem but struggled with memetrov
will watch couple games before deciding imo, i think it's first set tiebreaker and 6-4/6-2 second set
adelaide slags need a win in the fight for the play-offs, playing full squad but only drew at home against perth, keeping an eye on but the twitchers are already getting their fingers on it so will probably make the bet soon
nothing to bet on and personal life is literally based around lotto shite like nba and nfl matches
only cool thing happening today was steelers-bengals ending and watching djokovic booty blast nadal
hopefully federer can do the same in 12 bings
just bad writing, my drought has been going on for about 4 days now so it wasn't all in one day
was on 10k a couple weeks ago after a few good bets
was down to 8k recently
after the past 4 days I'm on 5.5k
so 50% is an exaggeration but not by much
and yeah, 2.5%
wouldn't make a difference for me then, although stashing buttcoins would be a cool thought for the future
will look to get on
kokkinochoria slags + if limassol get 4 or so in the first half
ha noi if handi if rball is good
overs in the kuantan game if no goals and enough action in the next 10-15 mins
kokki slags have good mutuals vs teams of limassol's caliber
thanh hoa was relegated last year, easily the worst team, ha noi was upper midtable, really doubt a relegated team managed to sign players good enough to warrant the odds, but as i said it depends on rball
kuantan game looks like overs but the odds don't really look that good now, not likely to take this one i guess, unless there's tons of DAs or a disallowed goa
not him but aren't they second and third in the league
my bad on that one, should be more equal then, having second thoughts about the kokki slags too actually since both their close matches with 2nd and 3rd best teams were actually winnable ones, they might be broken now.plus the line is at +4.75 already hmm
>Self-excluded myself from unibet for 24 hours to find my lost head
>get back on and the first thing they do is offer me a free 5£
So do I try a cheeky accy or should I put them on a goalscorer who's not starting?
nice to hear that
i'm also medium-large on atromitos slags 0, they're on a 5 game losing streak but aris is a bottom team and it's time to bounce back desu, showing effort from the start
>literally warned myself about federer
>still bet on him
yeah double-checked it, thought it was FT ever since i bet on it lel, plus it took a long-ass time for the money to actually showed up despite it being settled so i thought it was some bs
zzz villanovense scored as i was doing a quick write up, only on 0.5 fh was about to get on FT but decided i'll inform you folks first waiting for one more trickle of the odds, re-backing in a second desu, open as fuck and both teams craving 3 points
Not a habitual gambler but I am putting some money on Sven Nys to win Belgian Championship. It's his last and he's a total training nut, will be completely pumped for this. Van Aert is the favourite but I can see Nys taking it and the odds are good.
Pmsl at the teamsheet trawlers backing Oxford into this price just because some Swansea players haven't had many apps this season. They're still miles better than the sunday league players Oxford have out lmao, Swansea DNB must be the mainstream bet of the weekend.
+0.25 was 1.77 before the goal lmao clueless teamsheet wankers down again
Imagine thinking that just because a team runs up the pitch more than the other team that it makes them the better side haha
Anyone who places too much importance on how many apps a player has clocked up this season rather than their actual quality is a teamsheet wanker and anyone who places too much importance on how many times one team has ran further up the pitch than the other within the first ten minutes is also a wanker. Anyone with brains like me could see that the price had gone way too far. Pathetic.
>villanovense scoring not one but three late goals
absolutely based, after 10+ bets got my roll back up to pre-apollon slags levels and maybe a bit higher, really happy that i was able to chase in a calm and shrewd manner
can i play the ''you cared enough to post'' card now?
i'll let you know if i spot a worldie, would be nice if some other people posted tips too, literally nothing except the cup coinflip
limassol train, would be uac if you got on soon enough at ht, i was down a bit because of 2h bs with early goals then a drought, also lost a large on turkish slags because they conceded a late goal from 1st shot up by 5
got a couple good bets in, roll is literally the same now as when you went to bed with about 20 bets made lel
Can someone explain this game? It's not even like Swansea have been unlucky, they've been totally outplayed. Comparing player to player can you really make a case of Oxford havin
Edit: never mind, what a ball Jack Cork
pmsl if you missed this
Feel a bit sick about that one. Had alarm set for that and woke up enough to turn it off, but not enough to actually get behind the comp.
Anyway on Rangers and Amazon Dramas +0.5 FH. Would back +1.75, but PAOK ladies 2spooky4me.
dramas not on 365 and don't have shekels on mara so not on
bani sweef looks tempting, wanted to get on after they conceded when the rball was rather equal. forgot they equalised and are like 5-1 in DAs since that 0-1, research supported home win but felt it was priced well, rball too surreal though
Just realized that since friday I've made over 1 year of the median wage in this country.
20 lid, backed up by stats as slovakia has the highest age when people move out of their parents house in europe if i remember correctly
>made 5 times the monthly minimum wage in the last 3 days
i guess i should start stacking them shelves like a good goy, gambling is impure and irresponsible
>win more bets with virtual money on OLBG than I do with real money at the bookies
just kill me
haven't moved out yet, dunno what made you think that
bani and rangers surreal, still a bit salty about that HT
from a fanpage i read, RWD are/were a steaming pile of poop, the guy doesn't even date his posts or anything for that matter though, tried doing the java script for last modification of the site which showed the present minute so not much help there
couldn't find what league ffs
I mean I appreciate tips but when there are 100 games on it's difficult, hate scrolling through 50 different leagues searching for a name that I recognise
-20 degrees in Minnesota today.
Would be really REALLY worried if I had staked on a baby QB with tiny hands. Poor kid won't even be able to hold the football.
>decided not to bet at 3-1 thinking the goals came in too early
will never forgive myself
lots of malta and it's been a while since someone leaked a cheeky kurt tip, is the group still 5 bucks? still profitable?
almost no pga related posts lately though, not like it's a bad thing, mackers must have actually turned it around in 2016
also please consider picking up a harmless amphetamine habit. +- few euros while you were asleep despite lots of bets, up 700 since you woke up, surely due to transatlantic shrewdie energy
>he wasn't on napoli -1 AH
>he hasn't disgusting sums on Napoli Juventus double
mainz over 2.5 @2.75 is a gift from heavens t b h
also werder bremen FH at around the same, rather take that than the - since it's a friendly. these lads are visibly outraged by the recent mudslime rapes and are playing with the hatred their ancestors had towards the jews