Gucci Mama is a Cinccino with Skill Link and a King's Rock.
Let's say Gucci Mama attacks a Shuckle with Tail Slap. Tail slap hits 5 times, with each hit running a 10% chance to cause the Shuckle to flinch.
Q1: What is the overall probability for Shuckle to flinch that turn?
Q2: If Shuckle was also paralyzed the turn prior, what is the overall probability for it to skip its turn?
Extra Credit: Is Cinccino the cutest Pokemon?
50% chance to flinch
>>31723908Can we assume the move hits?
1. ~41%
2. ~55.7%
It's been awhile since probability
>>31723972
AlsoExtra credit: yes_________
>>31723908
>using shitcino
>>31724068
>>31724081
Did somebody call for a real skill link user?
>>31724105
Go away, blue waffle.
>>31724105
Thats not mega heracross.
;_;
50
83
yes
>>31723908
300K STARTING, ANY JOB I WANT mode: the Cinccino is Technician instead of Skill Link so now Tail Slap hits a random number of times.
>There is a ~33.3% chance that it will hit 2 times, a ~33.3% chance it will hit 3 times, a ~16.7% chance it will hit 4 times, and a ~16.7% chance it will hit 5 times.
Taking into account accuracy, what is the probably Shuckle is flinched?
>>31724565
~27.9% assuming you successfully make contact
>>31725205
>>31724565
Didn't read the last part. Reading the problem correctly, my biggest flaw
23.7%
Is /vp/ dumb or something?
>43% or some shit like that assuming it hits, you should be using Bullet Seed though as Tail Slap will be NVE and Bullet Seed has 100 Acc as well as hitting effective
>I can't maths percentages I just memorized the above
>yes
>>31723908
>tail miss
Wouldn't you just add the fractions and get a 5/10 chance, or 50%?
>>31727504
No, the events are independent. That's like saying you could flip a coin twice and be guaranteed to flip heads at least once.
>>31727390
Bullet seed has the same acc as Tail slap and Rock blast
>>31727704
No, it doesn't. Tail Slap is 85, Rock Blast is 90, Bullet Seed is 100. All with a Power of 25.
Do you even Cinccino?
>>31727861
>Do you even Cinccino?
I would do a Cinccino, yes.
>>31723908
So wait is /vp/ truly underaged?
>>31727909
It better be consensual and tender.
>>31728039
My major is English. I understand the necessity of Math, but I can't be fucked to do any of it unless it's absolutely necessary.
It never is.
>>31723908
to flinch is ~46%, to skip turn is ~75%
no, because joltik exsists
>>31723908
1) 40.951%
2) 65.951%?
3) sure
>>31728259
>2) 65.951%?
i must amend this
55.71325%
>>31724565
question: does each hit of the multi-hit moves get boosted by Technician, or is it just the first?
And if it is the case that each hit deals more damage, is it more damage efficient on average to use Skill Link, for max normal damage, or Technician, for random boosted damage?
>>31723908
>Extra Credit
Cinccino is one of the best possible shouldermons.
10/10, would tirelessly breed, raise, and battle.
>>31729027
it needs to hit 4 times to outdamage 5 hits on link skill
so technician is better most of the time
With skill link:
25x1.5x5= 187 (pokemon drops remainders)
25x1.5x1.5=56(for one hit)
2 hits= 112
3 hits= 168
4 hits= 224
5 hits= 280