>it hung on with it's focus band!

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Hit 5 time(s)!

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>(your pokemon) was frozen solid!

>Critical Hit!
>(Pokémon) was burned!

>>26488823
REMOVE SCALD

>+6 evasion on me and -6 accuracy on foe, no weather
>"Pokemon used Thunder!"
>"A critical hit!"

this happened three times when I was just trying to defeat HGSS Lance with a team in its late thirties

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>>26488095
>it's
>not its

>>26488843
i thought there was some shit where crits ignore accuracy/evasion modifiers?

>>26488887
the apostrophe is used to show possession. In this case, the focus band belongs to the Pokémon, so "it's" is correct.

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>Sheer Cold hit!
>It's a One Hit KO!

>>26488905
No it doesn't you mong, in this case the apostrophe is only used in place of the "i" in "is" in order to make the contraction of "it is".

"Its" is the possessive.

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_________'s Quick Claw let it move first!

>>26488905
https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&cd=1&ved=0ahUKEwj_juLXyPnMAhVSb1IKHb9wCJMQFggNMAA&url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.elearnenglishlanguage.com%2Fblog%2Fenglish-mistakes%2Fits%2F&usg=AFQjCNEAJ_c2K3jhfeEBfe87YVXux6zTxw&sig2=5r2vkYQescBT5nbyI8BGWQ

>>26488913
>At a VGC tournament
>Opponent ignores my Lapras repeatedly using Sheer Cold to focus on my other Pokémon
>On the third try, it hits (About 65% chance to have hit by then)
>They turn their DS off and complain about how bullshit it was

>The foe's Darkrai can't use Dark Void after the taunt!

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>(Pokemon) is hurt by the spikes!
>Pointed stones dug into (Pokemon)!
>(Pokemon) was caught in the sticky web!

>>26488934
>using OHKO in competitive
Lol, faggot. Still have no idea why that retarded shit isn't banned under VGC rules.

>>26488934
>About 65% chance
Nah nigga, it was a 30% chance. Each instance is independent of each other.

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>(pokemon that learns sheer cold) used mind reader!
>switch
>it misses
Do people not understand that mind reader is a huge "SWITCH' signal?

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>opponent playing poorly
>he's still going to win

>>26488973
>Tfw no mind reader/sheer cold Pokémon with shadow tag

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>>26488979
>team of six talonflame that only know brave bird
>you're going to lose no matter what and it's completely out of your hands

>Magnitude 10!

>>26489001
>2016
>still bitching about fearless pheasant

Stay bad

>>26489010
I don't want to dedicate a mon to just countering talonflame

>>26488966
I think he meant that there was about a 65% chance that he would hit given three turns

That's right, isn't it?

>>26489015
Realistically you only need to dedicate a move. Get

G

U

D

>>26489037
but gale wings
i cant land the crabhammer man

>>26489028
Its counterintuitive but probabilities don't stack that way. Check out gamblers fallacy.

>>26489043
No, they're right. If you use Sheer Cold three times in a row, there's a 65% chance that you hit at least once.

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>my pokemon has 35 HP
>get hit and lose 17 HP
>instead of switching or healing, i determine that the next attack will only do 17 damage (leaving me with 1 HP)
>get hit and lose 18 HP

>>26489043
The chance of it hitting on the first hit is 30%
The chance of it hitting at least once by the first hit is 30%

The chance of it hitting on the second hit is 30%
the chance of it hitting at least once in the first and second hit combined is 49%

The chance of it hitting on the third hit is 30%
The chance of it hitting at least once in the first, second and third hits combined is 65%

Not sure if you're trolling

>>26488957
Because practically nothing is banned under vgc rules? Also because OHKO moves aren't really that great. 70% chance of completely wasting the turn, plus most mons don't have moveslots to spare. Assault vest Lapras is the only set I've seen that doesn't really have better options for a final move.

Technically>>26489043 is correct, each individual attack has a 30% chance
However, you can assume that out of ten attacks 3 will hit, meaning that each miss increases your "odds" of hitting on the next attack (like>>26489053 and >>26489028 said)

You're both right

>>26489078
>Not knowing or planning about rolls
It's your own fault.

>>26489102
I know about it now but i still press my luck and get pissed off every time

>>26489015
ttar 4 lyfe nigga

In addition, I run a Weavile that also doubles as a secret Talonflame destroyer. Or really any strong physical attacker. It's hilarious seeing people get salty over it as it dismantles their setups and stuff. I just bait a big move and hit back with counter. It has focus sash so it can pull it off.

>>26489099
Each miss definitely does not increase your odds of hitting the next one, that's exactly the gamblers fallacy that >>26489043 brought up. The 65% only comes up when you are looking at the 3 attacks altogether. Once you miss the first two sheer colds, your chance of hitting at least once has gone down from 65% to 30%. I think you know that and the phrasing was just off, but I just wanted to be clear.

>>26488927
>Sunflora's Quick Claw let it move first!
>Piloswine used Ice Shard!

>>26489094
Still, there's a 30% chance that it will hit, and that's just silly.

>>26488899
No, they ignore def boosts

>>26489133
>Each miss definitely does not increase your odds of hitting the next one
i know that retard, but if a move has thirty percent accuracy, you can assume hit will hit 3/10.
>inb4 muh gamblers fallacy
yes, i know that too, fallacy man. Turn the autism off for a minute

>x used acupressure!
>x's evasion rose sharply!

>>26489043
Hey, I remember you. You didn't listen to me last time, but I went out of my way to get a link for you now. I hope this clears up how probability works.

https://www.mathsisfun.com/data/probability-events-independent.html

Scroll down to "two or more events".

The odds of each INDIVIDUAL event failing are constant. 70%.

But the odds of MULTIPLE events failing IN A ROW are different.
Multiply 0.7*0.7*0.7. We end up with 0.343. Multiply that by 100 and we get the % chance, 34.3%.
But we want the odds of succeeding. Take 100 and subtract 34.3. We get 65.7%, just like the original post said.

Just to make this clear: the third try is not any more likely to hit(no one is arguing this), but the chances of hitting any one of 3 tries is much higher than in one try only.

I didn't learn very much probability, so if this is wrong, please tell me. But the point still stands that it is more likely to happen with more trials, but each trial has equal chances.

Flipping 100 heads in a row is really unlikely, even though each flip is 1/2.

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>the foe slaking used gunk shot!

>>26490128
The original post said 65, not 65.7

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>>26490311
>about a 65% chance

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>gliscor used ice fang
>skarmory was frozen solid!
>skarmory thawed out
>skarmory flinched!

>>26490128
Thanks for the link, I recall the original discussion and I did have it wrong then. I phrased my post incorrectly this time too. Meant to say that you can't sit in a battle and expect "Ah, now my Sheer Cold is going to hit after three uses, its more likely. But yes you could then look back on the total battle and say "I rolled three misses in a row, that's improbable. I now have the mathematical justification I need to become frustrated and whine on /vp/"

>____ used waterfall!
>it misses!
>graveler used self destruct!
Everyone's dead

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>The foe's Azelf used Taunt!
>Azelf fell for the Taunt!
>Azelf can't use Taunt due to Taunt
I miss Gen 4.

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>Couldn't get away!
>The wild Abra used Teleport!
>The wild Abra escaped!

>Pokemon used (insert 100% accurate move here)
>It missed!

>Pokemon used (insert move with no flinch secondary effect here)
>Your Pokemon flinched!

Fuck Bright powder and Kings Rock

>Alomomola used sclad!

>attack before the opponent two turns in a row
>"Clearly my Pokemon is faster, so even though it can't take another hit it should be able to wrap this up next turn"
>lose the speed tie and get KOed on turn 3
I lost my Snorlax to this at the end of Victory Road in a Y Nuzlocke. RIP Calorie King.

>>26488934
People like you are gay.

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>>26488095
>it hung on with its focus band!
>it hung on with its focus band!
>it hung on with its focus band!
>it hung on with its focus band!

FUCKING BATTLE MAISON BULLSHIT

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>>26488920
There's no hope for him, anon.

You needn't concern yourself for those who haven't earned the privilege to understand grammar.