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Well, who wins?

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Thread replies: 45
Thread images: 7

File: elephant vs bird.png (58KB, 792x1368px) Image search: [Google]
elephant vs bird.png
58KB, 792x1368px
Well, who wins?
>>
It's an odds fuckfest, there's no sure way to pick a winner
>>
>>384179109
You didn't include how frequently melee attacks are made, so there's no way to calculate it.
>>
File: Burd.jpg (37KB, 739x415px) Image search: [Google]
Burd.jpg
37KB, 739x415px
>>
why do people create these retarded things?
>>
>>384179895
>33% (1 in 3 attacks are melee)
>>
Looks like the stats of a shit game.
Would never play.
Fuck random chance.
>>
On the catalog thumbnail the elephant looked like Mechazawa. For a second I thought this thread might be good.
>>
>>384180161
my bad. Since the 50 damage from the bird is negligible compared to 450 you can count it as a miss. so its 4 hits at 1/3 vs 2 hits at 1/5, and the elephant has a <10% to win the fight each round. the bird has it.
>>
File: 1498886539482.gif (789KB, 144x192px) Image search: [Google]
1498886539482.gif
789KB, 144x192px
>>384179109
>Elephant will win in 10 rounds

>Duck would win in 30, but has time to pull off 3 melees for 450 damage each, bringing it to about 9 rounds together with regular damage

So it's about 65/35 in the Duck's favour, accounting for the 80% dodge rate not evening out or the elephant's instawin.

Shit game, Elephant is obviously the better character.
>>
1000000 Fights
Times won:
Elephant: 751447 Kills 75,14%
Bird: 231962 Kills 23,2%
Ties: 16591 Times 1,66%
>>
>>384181865
Tell me more
>>
>>384181865
P O I S S O N
>>
I hate these threads cause after my head injury I can't do math(s) very well and struggle with even basic shit.
>>
>>384182046
>>384182123
wait, I fucked up on the instakill part

brb
>>
>>384181865
this is about what i figured.
burd
550/3 = 183.33 dmg/rd, but 3.3% chance to die. takes 8.2 rds to win, on average
(but about 30% cumulative grab chance)

phant
38/rd takes 7.9 rds to win

without grab trunks has the edge, with it he pulls ahead quite a bit
>>
>>384179109
The bird needs at least 4 attacks to win, and that is if her 33% procs every times.

Elephant needs 2 hits or a 1/10 chance for a free win. Pretty fucking super rigged in his favor.
>>
>>384182291
>2 hits, or a 1/10
See me after class.
>>
>>384181865
>>384182275
>>384182245

10000000 Fights
Times won:
Elephant: 6198512 Kills 61,99%
Bird: 3489565 Kills 34,9%
Ties: 311923 Times 3,12%
>>
>>384182481
Fuuuck
>>
>>384182481
huh i wouldn't have thought the numbers would change that much between 1m and 10m. still simulating?
>>
>>384182275
>>384181720
elephant can only try to instakill if bird does melee attack
>>
>>384182789
see >>384182879
I fucked up and gave 10% instakill all of the time on the first run
>>
>>384179109
>melee is stronger than shooting

fake and gay
>>
File: 1475938734564.png (526KB, 870x652px) Image search: [Google]
1475938734564.png
526KB, 870x652px
Assuming both attack at the same time, it'll take 2 attacks for elephant to kill bird. Introduce dodge though, and it'll take (0.2*2=) 10 attacks. Introduce her attacks and it's (33/10=3.3) 3.3 % of her every for an instawin. (100/3.3= 30.3) It'll then take (10*(1-0.303)) 6.97 attacks to kill her.

Bird usually needs (1500/(100-50) 30 attacks. Add in melee (900 damage across 3 attacks) it's an increse to (7/3) 233%.100*2.23 = 223 dmaage per attack - 50 def equals 183 damage.

1500/183 =8.19

In most cases Elephant would win.
>>
>>384182275
hm actually trunky has significant overkill damage. always only takes two landed hits so his dps is actually only 30, taking his average win to 10 rounds.
overkill for burd is much smaller. still the difference is less than the 24% instadeath over 8.2 rounds it takes bird to win
>>
10 runs of 3mil fights

1. 3000000 Fights
Times won:
Elephant: 1854921 Kills 61,83%
Bird: 1043773 Kills 34,79%
Ties: 101306 Times 3,38%

2. 3000000 Fights
Times won:
Elephant: 1863632 Kills 62,12%
Bird: 1048510 Kills 34,95%
Ties: 87858 Times 2,93%

3. 3000000 Fights
Times won:
Elephant: 1862008 Kills 62,07%
Bird: 1051577 Kills 35,05%
Ties: 86415 Times 2,88%

4. 3000000 Fights
Times won:
Elephant: 1857387 Kills 61,91%
Bird: 1045748 Kills 34,86%
Ties: 96865 Times 3,23%

5. 3000000 Fights
Times won:
Elephant: 1855510 Kills 61,85%
Bird: 1043981 Kills 34,8%
Ties: 100509 Times 3,35%

6. 3000000 Fights
Times won:
Elephant: 1861912 Kills 62,06%
Bird: 1047941 Kills 34,93%
Ties: 90147 Times 3%

7. 3000000 Fights
Times won:
Elephant: 1860743 Kills 62,02%
Bird: 1048056 Kills 34,94%
Ties: 91201 Times 3,04%

8. 3000000 Fights
Times won:
Elephant: 1859515 Kills 61,98%
Bird: 1046695 Kills 34,89%
Ties: 93790 Times 3,13%

9. 3000000 Fights
Times won:
Elephant: 1860607 Kills 62,02%
Bird: 1049044 Kills 34,97%
Ties: 90349 Times 3,01%

10. 3000000 Fights
Times won:
Elephant: 1860851 Kills 62,03%
Bird: 1048138 Kills 34,94%
Ties: 91011 Times 3,03%
>>
>>384184007
can you tell how often elephant wins by grab?
>>
>>384179109
porn of these two when
>>
>>384184292
I can't without changing extensive amounts of code, but what I can do is disable elephant grab and run it again so you can have an idea:

1. 3000000 Fights
Times won:
Elephant: 1415781 Kills 47,19%
Bird: 1450908 Kills 48,36%
Ties: 133311 Times 4,44%

2. 3000000 Fights
Times won:
Elephant: 1424429 Kills 47,48%
Bird: 1460812 Kills 48,69%
Ties: 114759 Times 3,83%

3. 3000000 Fights
Times won:
Elephant: 1424291 Kills 47,48%
Bird: 1460399 Kills 48,68%
Ties: 115310 Times 3,84%

4. 3000000 Fights
Times won:
Elephant: 1422689 Kills 47,42%
Bird: 1459716 Kills 48,66%
Ties: 117595 Times 3,92%

5. 3000000 Fights
Times won:
Elephant: 1426564 Kills 47,55%
Bird: 1462209 Kills 48,74%
Ties: 111227 Times 3,71%

6. 3000000 Fights
Times won:
Elephant: 1427910 Kills 47,6%
Bird: 1460652 Kills 48,69%
Ties: 111438 Times 3,71%

7. 3000000 Fights
Times won:
Elephant: 1423307 Kills 47,44%
Bird: 1457295 Kills 48,58%
Ties: 119398 Times 3,98%

8. 3000000 Fights
Times won:
Elephant: 1423953 Kills 47,47%
Bird: 1459531 Kills 48,65%
Ties: 116516 Times 3,88%

9. 3000000 Fights
Times won:
Elephant: 1422682 Kills 47,42%
Bird: 1459291 Kills 48,64%
Ties: 118027 Times 3,93%

10. 3000000 Fights
Times won:
Elephant: 1422964 Kills 47,43%
Bird: 1462065 Kills 48,74%
Ties: 114971 Times 3,83%
>>
>>384184692
so the elephant gets a 33% chance buff over a pure fight
>>
those threads get wrapped up way too quickly unfortunately
>>
>>384186276
What's the difference between the latter threads and the knight vs dragon and minotaur vs kobold threads that got like 200 replies? I'm still trying to figure it out
>>
>>384186597
furries and people posting new scenarios basically
>>
>>384186276
We're just holding out for porn.
>>
File: 1500006741771.png (6KB, 200x250px) Image search: [Google]
1500006741771.png
6KB, 200x250px
Well, now I know what to focus on then. Maybe I'll have an extra pic in reserve in case the main one gets solved too quickly
>>
>>384184692
Now tell me what are the odds of getting my waifu in gacha games.
>>
>>384187853
you have to gib numeric variables that make sense first
>>
>>384188198
30 prisms per summon
1%

I need to know when I will have to start whaling
>>
>>384187278
I want to fuck that sticklimb wolf
>>
File: lol.png (53KB, 792x1368px) Image search: [Google]
lol.png
53KB, 792x1368px
>>
>>384189549
wew
>>
>>384189549
>implying her chance to dodge wouldn't drop to 0% when she gets a look at that elephant dick
>>
File: 1476038445143.jpg (24KB, 366x286px) Image search: [Google]
1476038445143.jpg
24KB, 366x286px
>>384187278
>>384189549
>>
>>384189549
thanks for improving the shelf life of the thread anon
Thread posts: 45
Thread images: 7


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