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When will the nerds get anything right?

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Thread replies: 18
Thread images: 4

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When will the nerds get anything right?
>>
>>8654860
When will plebs realize that probability means there's still a chance.
>>
So the Pats had a .20% chance of winning the super bowl, and they did.

Please point out the issue here?
>>
>>8654860

We have this phrase in English, "Overcoming the odds".
>>
>>8654865
probably never
>>
>>8654865
>>8655002
.20% is ridiculous if you know anything about sports. They failed to account for the intangibles. I'd say they were off by atleast 10-fold, 2% would have been much more reasonable, but still pretty low IMO.

Being off by 1000% is not impressive.
>>
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>>8654860
>>
>>8654860
Public stats are paid,like propaganda.
>>
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>>8654860
please don't post fake news
>>
>>8656010
funny...
>>
>>8654865
>.20%
there's a higher chance the jewish odds were rigged than anything else.
>>
>>8655002
The issue is that OP doesn't understand statistics and the personal incredulity fallacy.
>>
>>8654860
https://youtu.be/ET1-_PeExMs?t=1m30s
>>
>>8655892
>They failed to account for the intangibles.
Guess why they are called "intangibles".
>>
>>8654860
Most business guys are seriously brain-damaged. If you hold open a door for suits, you'll rarely hear 'thank-you' because suits have the most pathetic, worthless lives imaginable; next to the cell phone addicts who have absolutely nothing but their game boy toy.
>>
>>8657482
How does one aspect of their life, their work, mean their entire lives are worthless?
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>>8657738
Its because we are taught that we need to find a good job and that it defines our lives.
>>
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>>8657478
And yet they are doubtlessly factors. This is why a statisticians opinion will always pale in comparison to the conclusion of a poorly-regulated and high-volume prediction market. Only when you're asked to put your money where your mouth is will you acknowledge the intangibles, rather than clinging to your textbook.
Thread posts: 18
Thread images: 4


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