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Artificial intelligence is now able to beat professional poker players

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https://www.usnews.com/news/at-the-edge/articles/2017-03-07/artificial-intelligence-just-beat-professional-poker-players-whats-next

>Artificial intelligence has finally conquered something – poker – that should tell the rest of us just what it's capable of in the not-too-distant future. It's both an incredible future, where much is possible – but it also may very well be one where robots replace human labor (and jobs) and where AI machines start to outthink humans.

>AI programs have beaten human opponents in much simpler games in recent years. But in each of those games – like backgammon, checkers, chess or the game show Jeopardy – the common thread was that players have what is known as "perfect information." There was a defined universe of information (albeit a huge amount in some cases), which AI could access faster and more efficiently than humans could.

>AI works great in situations where it can access massive amounts of data, learn from it and get better at using that vast pool of information. Even in complex games such as chess, being able to imagine a seemingly infinite set of possible outcomes from each move can be managed and largely controlled by AI programs because there is a defined universe of "perfect information." All players in each of these games have identical information about the current state of the game.

>Poker isn't like that. It's a game of chance, but also the quintessential game of imperfect information – something that poses a significant challenge for AI. Humans have to make intuitive leaps in logic at the poker table. What cards do opponents hold? Is a player bluffing or not? Is a bet random or not? The best poker players in the world work hard to remove patterns (tells) in their play in order to keep opponents guessing. They provide "imperfect information" throughout the game, and AI has always struggled to process this.
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>Until now. Scientists recently introduced DeepStack, an algorithm for imperfect information settings. DeepStack "combines recursive reasoning to handle information asymmetry, decomposition to focus computation on the relevant decision, and a form of intuition that is automatically learned from self-play using deep learning," researchers said in a recent paper published in Science magazine.

>In other words, DeepStack played poker against itself and learned how to make the same sorts of intuitive leaps in logic at key decision points in poker games that all professional poker players face, and then developed a level of intuitive reasoning that matches the pros.

>DeepStack then played those poker pros in real life, and defeated enough of them to prove that it had mastered the game – which is a feat that no AI research had been able to accomplish in the world of "imperfect information" games. "In a study involving 44,000 hands of poker, DeepStack defeated with statistical significance professional poker players in heads-up no-limit Texas hold'em," the researchers wrote in Science.

>Poker pros routinely assess odds in their heads before they make key decisions. They then generally bet (or not) based largely on the mathematical odds confronting them. But not always. Sometimes they go on intuition based on their own deep knowledge of the game, players and circumstances.

>DeepStack took that process – both the certainty of mathematical odds and the deep learning of intuition at key moments – and used that to beat a statistically significant number of poker pros in 44,000 hands of poker.

>While this breakthrough may seem innocuous, it's anything but.
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>What DeepStack has done here, with the game of poker, explains why business leaders such as Elon Musk and scientists, including Stephen Hawking, have said publicly that the public should fear AI research without any guardrails in the future. AI could literally start to replace humans. This concern is exactly why a consortium of academic scientists and business leaders recently announced guidelines for AI research that are designed to build precisely these sorts of guardrails around AI to keep it from supplanting us.

>The Future of Life Institute, whose scientific advisory board includes Musk and Hawking, issued guidelines that it hopes all AI research companies will follow.

>"The goal of AI research should be to create not undirected intelligence, but beneficial intelligence," the institute said in announcing the core principles.

>Musk was thrilled.

>"Top AI researchers agree on principles for developing beneficial AI," Musk tweeted afterwards.

>But this was just the first step. AI research without boundaries can literally outgrow us, the human beings who created it. Once a super-intelligent, big-data-crunching AI machine learns how to think and learn for itself, it may decide that carbon life forms are the obvious target in any threat scenario. At that point, it won't care what world leaders, CEOs or research scientists think.
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Inb4 insane anon rambling about ai not being real or some shit
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