http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-syria-options-exclusiv-idUSKCN12D2B2
As the above article details, in October 2016 the Obama administration was considering launching airstrikes on Syrian government positions, despite the risk of confrontation with Russia.
Of course, Obama decided not to, and thankfully the current President seems less inclined to take such actions. But what if Obama had authorized the strikes, killed a few Russians and Iranians in the process, and Russia shot down a few US warplanes in retaliation?
What would happen, assuming attempts to peacefully negotiatiate the crisis fail, and that Iran, incensed by it's own losses in the airstrikes, gives Russia full use it's bases? Could the US get other members of CJTF-OIR in on it's actions against Russia, Syria, and Iran? Could Russia get CSTO involved, and if so, what difference would it make? Could Russia maintain control over Syria, or would America succeed in forcing them out?
>>32830677
>That pic
Only Two of those Russian ships actually have offensive capabilities and decent defensive capabilities.
>>32830677
In the long term Russia would not be able to maintain it's forces in Syria. They would have no resupply or reinforcements. Anything they had there would get destroyed by cruise missiles and airstrikes. Russia could try to minimalism their weapons by moving their weapons into the country side and spreading them out but Syria is still not secure enough where that could be taken to full advantage. The Russian navy in the Mediterranean would be fucked. The Black Sea fleet would be confined to Crimea. They could do some damage with their new generation of anti ship missiles and S-400 but those aren't some kind of unstoppable wonder weapon. Their land based aircraft in Syria would be fighting a loosing battle because of numbers. Most of their aircraft are ground attack and only have a handful of fighters.
>>32830677
>Russians go support and uphold Syrian government.
>Lets go attack them!
Nobody is going to get on that train.
>>32830677
>and Russia shot down a few US warplanes in retaliation?
You're right, this is a fantasy.
>>32830677
>But what if Obama had authorized the strikes, killed a few Russians and Iranians in the process, and Russia shot down a few US warplanes in retaliation?
Why do this shit? Russian fatalities from US strikes would be an excellent propaganda pieces for Putin. The western press will be certainly silent about it, but the Russian press will inflate anti-Americanism and Putin's ratings through the roof.
>>32832418
>but the Russian press will inflate anti-Americanism and Putin's ratings through the roof.
Oh you're right. That might help his re-election chances.