Realistically, would the election of Marine LePen mean French

She's not going to be elected you sperglord

she has 25-30% of the vote in a second round vote.

socialists will rally behind a conservative candidate instead of her.

>>72043547
>>72043554
She's first in the polls

>>72043603
its a runoff election you moron

>>72043603
Not all of them and the runoff is a sure loss with a 20% margin.

>>72043518
I'm literally not shaking right now because she has no chance. CNN told me so!

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>>72043802
Mainstream media in many countries already regurgitated the whole """"""""mathematically IMPOSSIBLE for the buffoonish Drumpf to even win the presidential nominee xD""""" ... when seen in conjunction with the whole notion about Trump renting pisswhores to spite Obama at that Russian hotel (4chan prank post; verified as made up), the normie Western Hmisphere's media of the globalist bent has near 0% confidence from people these days

>>72043603
>2017
>listening to polls
We can only know the results once the election and counting has been finished

even then there's still the risk of electoral fraud such as the U.S. electronic machines "accidentally 45-60% of votes in a state here and there" with no recounts made :^)

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>>72043802
ah yes, the faux broadcast meme

>>72043802
If it was only one round she would win, but being two rounds, all the leftists will vote for the cuckservatives just so she doesn't win, they did the same with his father many years ago.

>>72043518
EU is dominated germoney/(uk)/france/italy/spen

>>72043518
She's a populist.

She'll tune her speeches and program so that it matches exactly what the class of people that feel "leftover" (the one that elected Trump) will vote for her.

Leaving the EU is free points in polls from those people.

A Frexit today would never pass the referendum stage.

>having a female leader
lmao

Can other countries stop talking about our politics like autists ? K thx bye.

>>72045380
>t. Ahmed

>>72043518
She is a fascist

She will lead France to conquer Europe like Napoleon and use right wing death squads to murder all Muzzies like Hitler.

>>72045197
>A Frexit today would never pass the referendum stage.

Ah yes, Brexit was also never going to happen.

>>72043518
I hope France doesn't leave the EU

>>72045590
>Brit """""education"""""
Hitler was unironically a fan of islam

>>72043518
>Realistically, would the election of Marine LePen mean French secession from the EU and then collapse of the union?

we can only hope

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>>72045380
But everyone talks about ours

>>72045649
What're the chances your populist wins and you secede?

>>72043743
Not that much, the polls give her a 40-60.
But you know the polls...

>>72045840
it doesn't work like that here, nobody wants to cooperate with Wilders and you can't do anything here without cooperating

>>72045606
Britain was always Eurosceptic and much more right wing than the rest of Europe tbf

>>72045860
isn't that what a 20% margin means?
Is that a 10% margin?

>>72045380
Yes Pierre, I'm sure you never talked about the US election.

>>72043518
First, even if she was elected, she would never have the majority at the Assemblée, meaning she would get a legistative hell everytime she would try to pass a law.
As for the Frexit, she would do a referendum, and even that is not guaranteed since the brexit

>>72043518
Yes, she will organize a referendum on the Frexit, but it means yes, but she won't be elected.

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>>72048327
>meaning she would get a legistative hell everytime she would try to pass a law
Et c'est ainsi que l'on inventa le 49.3

>>72045380
Just feel grateful that you're not an english speaking country, everyone explains your own politics to you based on one article they read

>>72043547
>She's not going to be elected you sperglord

"Donald Trump will never be president"

Ah yea. Trump only had a 2% chance of winning too I recall.

>>72048777
Le 49.3 ne sert à rien si la loi n'est pas constitutionnelle. Et si elle l'utilise trop il y'aura des manifs de partout, regarde la loi travail

>>72049466
EH BIEN ON TIRERA SUR LES MANIFESTANTS
ON LES FUSILLERA
TOUS
OUI MONSIEUR

>>72049554
Kek, bah ça sera bien la merde, si vous me le demandez

>>72049554
C'est sûr que pour le coup ça changera des gens dans la rue qui gueulent à la dictature dès qu'il y a une loi qui leur déplaît si tu te mets à les doucher au Famas dès qu'ils prennent le pavé.

>" M-mais je croyais que sous Hollande on était en dictature socialiste ! Je l'avais gueulé lors du blocus de mon lycée avec mes potes de L !"

>>72049110
That's different. Europeans have very different values than America, someone like her would never get elected there.

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>>72050846
Y-yeah

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>>72043518
maybe

>>72050929
>literal decades ago

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>>72043547
>She's not going to be elected you sperglord

Didn't you people say the same about Trump?

I'm 70% sure she will get elected.

>>72051171
History works in cycles

>>72051222
I don't think she will, but who knows. The biggest contender now is Macron. Fillon went full Ariane and exploded in the stratosphere

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>>72051256
So France will be like this again
https://youtu.be/msXl2ZybwTk

>>72051308
who the fuck even votes macron
i know no one who likes him or who knows people who like him even left wing people
i bet he'll be a massive disappointment

>>72051336
When Russia decides to invade us, maybe. Also fuck Dice, even if the "Pour la France" still got a chill down my spine

>>72051424
I know a lot of people who will vote for him. Look at poles instead of around yourself

>>72050929
is cheeto voldemort literally hitler?

>>72051222
No, I wanted and knew Trump would get elected. But Europe is an entirely different beast, and such a candidate would never get elected there.

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>>72051489
Not wanting to form an alliance with the Slavs again

>>72051624
Russians are the same shit than Brits. Can't be trusted. Ever

>>72051561
kek'd. They ought to train you shills better

>>72051561
the thing is france is quite a lefty country so if she comes up against a thatcherite candidate in the 2nd round she might stand a good chance.

also france has been rocked by so many attacks, a bit of xenophobia is probably to be expected

>>72051665
France has no conflict of interests with Russia, none whatsoever

>>72051714
Russia is a risk, especially with the crimean war. They pulled from eastern Europe not even 30 years ago, Putin will try to come back. Regional power against regional power, there is conflict of interest, especially if it starts shit with the union

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>>72051489
What about your flag appearing

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>>72051833
Literally 2deep4me, holy shit. Thanks for pointing it out

>>72051814
>Regional power against regional power

France is not a regional power in Ukraine. You have already lost the EU economically to Germany.

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Even against a goat she would lose

>>72052019
But EU still is. Also just wait for us to get our shit together, Hans.

>>72052131
You can never beat Germany in the EU, it's simple geography.

>>72052705
What does that even mean ?

>>72043554
SHe duùb canadian


She has 44% currently

http://www.sudouest.fr/2017/02/20/sondage-presidentielle-marine-le-pen-atteint-un-nouveau-sommet-3213850-6121.php

>>72053003
>dans l'optique d'un second tour avec françois fillon
Of course, a big part of the left would simply not vote for Fillon, meaning she would get a better result.
You scared me for a moment

qu'est-ce que sont les promesses de campagne de Macron? Il a une position politique fort ou il est seulement une alternative à Le pen?

>>72053003
>SHe duùb canadian

i mean : shut up dumb canadian*

Anyway, ferme ta gueule, tu es une salope défaitiste qui a fuit au Canada, donc ferme-la et occupe de toi de ton nouveau pays.

>>72053102
Il propose à la fois une continuité de ce qui a été fait par Hollande (rigueur budgétaire), mais également des transformations assez profondes dans l'éducation et le travail, comme l'allègement du nombre d'élèves par classe et plus de rigueur pour les chômeurs.
Il veut également engager plus de policiers, et changer les condamnations pour les peines qui actuellement correspondent à deux ans de prison pour désengorger les prisons et rendre les condamnations plus rapides.
Il veut également une garde frontière européenne pour éviter d'autres crises migratoires et c'est un fédéraliste convaincu.
Dans l'ensemble il apparaît à la fois comme le plus raisonnable, mais aussi le plus ambitieux, car ses propositions sont réellement applicables, pas comme les promesses d'autres candidats (Hamon, Fillon, Le pen)

>>72052127
Corto Maltese

Go read it. You would love it.

>>72053354
j'ai compris, merci pour l'explication :)

>>72053779
De rien. Cette élection va être très intéressante, le paysage politique est en train de se recomposer. Si fillon ne passe pas au second tour, la droite va exploser, et la gauche est aussi en train de se fissurer entre Macron et Hamon. Si c'est Macron qui passe une bonne partie le rejoindra ou s'alliera.
Les partis traditionnels sont essoufflés et n'arrivent plus à répondre aux problèmes des citoyens ou du pays.

>>72051489
Yeah I would vote Macron.

>>72054131
Kek