If Franz wasn't assassinated, how long would it have stalled WWI?

>>2493354
Forever

>>2493354
A decade or at minimum, 5 years.
The Archduke had the intention of giving the Slavs their own semi-autonomous region.

Austria-Hungary's leadership believed Serbia to be an existential threat to the empire. You might disagree but they believed it.

They didn't necessarily want to destroy Serbia but they needed the Serbian nationalist terrorist groups to stop.

Serbia's government didn't really have control of the population of nationalists and I really doubt 10 years would have passed without Serbia provoking AH to put a stop to it.

So the question is really how long could the serbs control their urge to chimp out and would Russia ever allow Serbia to be cut down to size without intervening?

That's ignoring France and Germany butting heads on the other side of the continent. Pretend all you want Germany started the war but France wanted Alsace Lorraine and its leadership was composed almost entirely of Franco-Prussian veterans waiting for the right time.