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Is who wants to be a millionaire just a game of luck? I mean,

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Is who wants to be a millionaire just a game of luck?

I mean, there's 33.34% chance of being right unless the person happens to know the right answer, and lifelines can only get you so far into the game.

Let's say there are 15 questions with 4 choices each. Let's also say there are 3 lifelines: call-a-friend, 50-50, and ask-the-audience.

For each of the 15 questions, there is only 1 correct answer, and 3 incorrect answers, so immediately your chances are 1/3 = 33.34%. You can use each lifeline once. Using phone-a-friend, let's say gives you a 95% chance the person you call is correct. So 1 question is 95%. Similarly, we can say ask-the-audience gives you a 95% chance. Finally, 50-50 will remove 2 wrong answers, so you have 1 right answer and 1 wrong answer, so you basically know the answer. To recap:

Question 1: 33.34%
Question 2: 33.34%
Question 3: 33.34%
Question 4: 95% <--- ask-the-audience
Question 5: 33.34%
Question 6: 33.34%
Question 7: 33.34%
Question 8: 33.34%
Question 9: 95% <--- phone-a-friend
Question 10: 33.34%
Question 11: 33.34%
Question 12: 33.34%
Question 13: 33.34%
Question 14: 33.34%
Question 15: 100% <--- 50-50
Total: 690.08%
Divided by 15 questions = 46.00%
So basically, it's more a less a game of chance, but more than half the people on the show will lose, so it's not very fair. That show is making tons of money off of people.
>>
>>59149631
Go troll >>>/sci/ with this.
>>
>there is only 1 correct answer
>and 3 incorrect answers
>immediately your chances are 1/3

sage
>>
>>59149631
Is this a troll or are you retarded?
Random chance of getting the n. question right by just guessing:
1. 25%
2. 6.25%
3. 1.56... %
4. 0.39... %
etc.

It's already below 1% at the fourth question.
>>
>>59149631
Not only is your math horrendously wrong, you're basing all of this on the assumption that the vibrant won't know (or believe they know) any of the answers. Who the fuck is going on a trivia show with the chance of winning a million bucks and guessing every answer randomly?
>>
blast from the past
>>
i watched that episode when it first aired. he used one life line at the end to call his dad and tell him he was gonna win.
>>
>mfw you have a 95% chance of winning if you know the answers to all the questions
>>
newfags haven't seen this pasta before
>>
First off you're going to tell me that 1/3 is 33.34? Why the fuck did you round up?

So, if you have a multiple choice test with each question having 4 choices, you're telling me the chance of getting the question right by guessing is 33%? 33 fucking percent?
>>
>>59149631
brb posting this on /sci/
>>
quality thread
Thread posts: 12
Thread images: 1


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