Would you invest your money into S&P500 right now?

>>1763349
Ive been waiting for a correction for the last 3 years. I have about $30,000 in the bank.

I invested my money into the s&p over 1 year ago.

>>1763349
Yes, but only because it's better than sitting in cash waiting for a stock correction. I'd be quick to sell if things look like they're going south though.

An equal-weighted SP500 fund would be better, the boys at the top are extremely overbought right now.

>>1763358
>Yes, but only because it's better than sitting in cash waiting for a stock correction.
i thought it's actually pretty good strategy to buy a little of S&P

when correction happens I would not sell it - i would rather wait one year and buy even more of it

>I'd be quick to sell if things look like they're going south though
i think that's a losing strategy

>>1763364
Buy low, sell high.

If the market corrects or going into a recession you might be looking at unrealized loss for years until it climbs back up to where it was. No point in holding on to it if you know it's going to be dead money.

You'd want to buy into it during the recession, so you'd want most of your capital in cash so you can average it down. Don't put everything into an index right away especially with stock prices as high as they are.

>>1763379
that's my point:

is it high or low now?

>>1763349
no

>>1763383
It's stupid high. It will probably go up another 3-5% so it's worth buying and holding until then, but it will inevitably crash down 20% minimum at some point in the next several months.

>>1763387
>>1763389

so... is buying gold/shorting S&P good strategy in medium term?

>>1763379
And it's been high since forever, stop being a fucking retard

You can't time the market.

>>1763389
>It's stupid high. It will probably go up another 3-5% so it's worth buying and holding until then, but it will inevitably crash down 20% minimum at some point in the next several months.

I've been hearing this EXACT thing on /biz/ for over 2 years now.

I have literally heard this very thing.

"S&P is overvalued, crash is imminent!"

"OKAY GUYS IT'S HAPPENING FOR REAL NOW"

"OKAY GUYS NOT MUCH HIGHER IT CAN GO. IT'S CRASHING NOW!!!!"

It hasn't happened. Stop

>>1763400
no just buy and hold the s&p

You can't time the market

>>1763400
Perhaps, but I'd wait on that kind of strategy for right now. Although stocks are overvalued, there is no recession in sight. Stocks are expensive mostly because the bond market is such shit right now because interest rates have been too low for too long, there is nowhere else for investors to put money since bonds are basically worthless.

So, my plan is to just hop on board the current bull run until something happens to where the market shits itself. Then I'll probably change strategies.

>>1763409
Yeah that's exactly why I say go ahead and buy indexes, just be ready to sell when it starts to correct. Stick a 2% trailing stop loss on it if you want.

Holding on to stocks while it drops 20-30% is for lazy people.

>>1763349
no. literally would be to put your dick in crazy.

is any other /biz/nessman ready to watch the leddit live suicide on monday?

>>1763424
There's minor dips all the time.

It's not for lazy people because it's impossible to predict how it will go the next day.

>>1763442
You're probably right and in most cases it's probably better to just buy more when an index dips, but that implies you have some cash or liquidity around to do that. The stock market now is in dire need of some heavy correction though. So I would not tie all of your investment money into an index all at once right now.

I think the conventional wisdom for buying an index from sitting on a huge pile of cash is to average in 10% a month. Where you'd try to find the dips and buy then.

But yeah, very hard to time the market.

dont listen to biz, do the opposite, go all in

>>1763453
That's not actually better mathematically

Google "dollar cost average vs lumpsum".

Lumpsum all in is best long-term. The VAST majority of time. Yes it would fuckinh suck and you'd want to commit suicide if you bought in JUST before the 2008 crises. But that doesn't happen often.

>>1763353
do you know how much money you've missed out on?

>>1763358
>>1763379
>>1763389
>>1763415
>>1763424
>>1763453
horrible advice

>>1763563
Anon is an idiot, they could've been balling by now.

>>1763563
>>1763676
in my case i simply didn't have the money to invest earlier

no point in "what iffing" now

>>1763353
>timing the market

laughinggirls.jpg

File: 1326747248183.jpg (6KB, 213x219px) Image search: [Google]

6KB, 213x219px

>market timers

Dump everything you have into stocks and don't touch that shit for 2-4 decades.

>>1765227
Fucking this!

When will the timelets learn!

I would invest a fixed percentage of my income in an S&P500 index fund ANY time. Though I'd also want to have small cap stocks.

"The best time to invest is 20 years ago. The 2nd best time to invest is today."

Likely scenario: 7% returns + reinvestment makes me pretty rich. Worst case scenario: Great Dep 2.0, I kill myself. Big deal.

OP here

I'm all in now so crash tommorow is probably imminent

>>1763358

/thread

approach it like you would the casino. Don't invest everything you have, just what you can afford to lose. As you make more money (I assume you have a job), then gradually buy more.

>>1763349
nah they hit a QUARTER LOSS

2014: hurrdurr market crash imminent
2015: hurrdurr market crash coming for real this time!
2016: it's really happening this time!
2017:crash coming in a few months!
Fucking bears when will they learn

Why are bears so over-dramatic

If inflation is 2% a year

The stock market goes sideways in 2017 & 2018, then drops 2% in 2019

That would be a sizeable 7% correction in real terms, meanwhile everyone diligently adding to their investments wouldn't be freaked out

I have this unsettling feeling that the value of the dollar is set to double.

I know it sounds crazy, But perhaps the rest of the world's currencies are much weaker than ours, and there will be a rush to buy dollars in the future.

What is the alternative? the other big economy is china, and their currency is not freely traded.

>>1765642

OP here with an update

I FUCKING DID IT AGAIN

>>1763389
TRUMP TRUMP TRUMP

Trump is potentially going to destroy the system of regulatory review and notification and allow preferred companies (which you won't get to know) to ignore judicial orders for stuff like commercial litigation, patents, etc.

The normal order of things is all priced into the S&P right now. But the normal order may be gone.
If there is news of the DOJ or Marshal service blatantly failing to enforce a court order, investors will realize that the system has changed and that their stocks arn't worth that much without legal norms and process.

I'm only 25 so yes all of it

>>1763356
>I invested my money into the s&p over 1 year ago.

6 years ago for me. It's now a big pile of money that gives me a present every quarter that gets bigger every year.