I made a $500 bet that this cunt Hillary will not win the next election
What are my odds?
nigger with that logic anyone has a 50/50 shot ofbeing the next president
god damn man i have a 50 percent chance of being the next pres. fees good man. apparently you do to
shitlogic is shit
>be an independent that plans on voting for the most moderate candidate running
>"Fucking liberal femnazi cuck"
She won't even get the nomination. It's money in the bank son.
i could say i have a mustang gt and over 100,000 in thebank but you wouldnt believe that either. I am not trying to make you guys believe anything... Believe it or dont. this is /b/
who willget the nomination then
rubio is literally an idiot. remember that rebuttal he did a couple years ago? he took a drink of water on tv and it made him look like god damn forrest gump.. he is the second coming of george w bush
>She won't even get the nomination
>After CNN busted a nut over her going to a mexican fast food place
I dont know. Paul's agenda looks pretty sweet, and the other candidates are retarded for the most part. People dont really trust the clintons, but they also dont trust the bush family, so the likelyhood of either winning are diminishing.
>is this a rubio ad?
idk... why are you lying?
maybe to make yourself seem like an adult as oppose to a retarded kid who has no clue how odds work
>everyone in the country would be 50/50
>everyone would be 50/50
>700 million people would be 50/50
Why would most americans nowadays freely give up their rights as citizens. Do you know how hard it is to get certain things now? Imagine how much more difficult its going to be living with a religiously dominated leader with anti abortion and pro gun beliefs.
>nigger with that logic anyone has a 50/50 shot ofbeing the next president
>god damn man i have a 50 percent chance of being the next pres. fees good man. apparently you do to
if you still dont get why these statements prove you have no grasp of statistics and odds, than you are completely hopeless and need to just kill yourself
Deprived of any other information other than it is a front door ith a lock, the odds ARE 50/50. All we know is it is a door that can be either locked or unlocked. You'd have to provide other information to change those odds.
What kind of neighborhood is it? Is anyone home? Did you watch them leave or enter the home (Which could give you a definitive answer)
i wont bet ya, shes got it in the bag.
I always vote republican, but its so clear the righties are just happy to be bench riders and collect a check. they dont know how to win and dont want to. just in it for 2nd place and easy money.
Now if they wanted to go against clinton... they could bring up the treatment of walmart workers. remember how the news would go on and on how they dont offer their workers health care. Guess who was on the walmart board of directors duing that time? hillary
Her comment about being shot at during the serbian crisis was made up. not to mention her husband sided with the invading muslims during that time instead of our christian brothers who were figting against the enemy we all have now.
she got alot of warts, and because shes a female, its like shes immune from attackes because of it.
this country is over. being a victim is what wins.
>502▶>>611338706 >>611338861 >>611340897 >>611341204 >>611341218 >>611342440 >>611344663
>I made a $500 bet that this cunt Hillary will not win
shes damaged goods thres no way she will win. shes already been outed as a criminal and liar and overall grade A cunt
She will be buying votes by offering the same supposed free stuff Obama did....dangling the carrot of free college to buy the young voters. The other side won't be offering free stuff. Thanks to the fact that hardly anyone votes. The union worker states and morons that believe anything is free will give her win
Offshore betting sites have her at +100 for payoff and generic republican at +120, so I'd say 50/50.
It's too early to fucking tell though, so have fun with your $500 coin toss that takes nearly two years to resolve.
You just lost $500 faggot
Chances are every women and all the minorities will vote for her
White middle-aged conservatives have no chance of countering that even with the Electoral college system
But I don't think she'll win a majority in the Senate or in the House of Representatives
Swing votes are fed up with obongo and the democrats.
Jeb Bush is going to end up winning the republican primary. Hes going to go on and pull in all but the most mouth frothing rightards with his families republican image. This will prevent him from alienating traditional republicans with a reformist policy on immigration.
This will then lead to a pro immigrant vote for him, a usual stronghold of democrats. His only real opposition will be from homos and feminists.
Plus who the fuck wants another Clinton getting oral under the desk incident? Disgusting.
Not enough people care, and the sheeple that live in shitty apartments or have to rent crappy houses are happy because they think they are getting something free.
If those people ever realize that they will never get ahead or have a decent life, then something might change. Until then whoever offers free stuff will win
considering the shit candidates we have right now... im going to have to vote for either rand or hilary
problem is rand will never get the GOP nomination so he will have no chance to win. Independents can not win so ill probably end up voting for hilary
Agreed, it's shocking how much of our population thinks taking supposed free stuff from the government that our tax money funds somehow equates to them getting ahead.......at some point someone will have to pay
Your bet is NOT value. It does seems likely that Clinton will win the next election as she is considered favourite by every bookmaker. HOWEVER! you could have got value for money by placing this exact same bet on at betfair. The odds at betfair are 2.16/1 and i presume the odds for your bet are 1/1. The returns on betfair for a $500 bet returns approximately $580 rather than $500 with your friend.
Tip: Learn how to use oddschecker.
Lol, good luck bud, whether you hate her or not, ( I personally believe a woman pres would be a great change of pace) she's gonna win. Unless god shits out another candidate that's miles ahead of what republicans have now, there's no chance
Not with someone home. Most houses with people inside during the day leave the front door unlocked. But you didn't provide any information other than it is a door with a lock. No time of day, no information about the neighborhood, is the property fenced, is anyone home, is it secluded or lumped in with many other houses?
With the information you provided, the door has a 50/50 chance of being locked
its frustrating isnt it
how come good people never make it to the top? literally the only choices are always faggots who are only trying to get power to make themselves and friends rich, and satisfy their own ego. they literally cant give two shits about the country
Id like to give a round of applause to jolly ole England.
they are the ones pulling the strings to make sure all their old white colonies that rebelled have been turned on their head.
what better way to get even.
If the dems are smart you win.
Picking Hillary is basically the worst thing they could do. She's already committed a few criminal acts (though her supporters wouldn't care if she'd gassed the jews herself) and the dems would be delusional to think any Republican would work with her. About the only way you're going to find a worse candidate is if Diane Feinkeinstein runs.
IMO if they want to win they need to find a moderate who appeals to both sides and isn't out to fuck anyone over. If they can't I'm betting the right foot on that left right left right march is coming.
>Clintons- Economic bliss
>Bushs- Economic turmoil.
You just lost $500 smackers
Hey, hey guys what does this say? I got it free at a yard sale and was wondering what does it say or what language it's in
no american man worth his salt would want a female president.
plus, hillary is a rotten punk. shes not upstanding. her daughter married a jew. shes beholden to foreign interest due to her greed. shes gotten away with murder.
nice change of pace... hows that koolaid taste. prolly just like the obama nigger drank you had and look where that got us.
plz, dont vote. you arnt ready for it yet.
Nobody cares about that shit anon.....they just want free phones, and gay marriage. And the thought that they have free healthcare, and possibly free college...Who fucking cares if she commits crimes or denies help during bengahzi
so someone who thinks you should be able to make your own life decisions is retarded? you like having nanny gov tell you pot is bad for you? you like having nanny gov tell you how big your soda bottle can be? seriously, every time someone like you spouts your angsty liberal bs im always amazed considering libertarians literally represent everything you libs want minus the extra taxes
I'm about 80% sure that dems won't win, as long as republicans don't try to get another fucking Mormon/tea party member/ extremist elected. Too many moderates feel Obama didn't do enough, and I still know a ton of people that say that America isn't ready for a woman president.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpTR-UmID4w I'm trying to make this video go viral for the hilldawg...
mostly because 2 reasons...
1. campaign finance laws basically make it so the person with the biggest bank roll has the best odds of winning elections
2. The good candidates are usually less willing to pander to the lowest common denominator
lollll you think clinton was the reason for the great economy during his run.
it was microsoft and the tech boom you nitwit.
any president could have been in office and not fuck that up.
Yes it would. It has two possible states, locked and unlocked. There is no information modifying those odds. With no modifiers, the likelihood of the door being locked is exactly the same as the likelihood of it being unlocked
It was under his Clinton's watch...he gets the credit.
As a liberal and someone who is strongly against libertarianism, it's not that I don't agree with the social policies of libertarianism, I just happen to believe that some elements of the economy is better off being regulated.
>as long as republicans don't try to get another fucking Mormon/tea party member/ extremist elected.
yea good luck with that. primaries and fundies op
He's got a point though. Women make terrible decisions where judgement and logic is required. Take for instance bengazzi.
who gives a fuck about bengazzi other than retards and fox news?
A dozen people died. This happens ALL THE TIME. Do you know how many times US embassies have been attacked and people killed? pretty fucking often.
Hillary loves my balls
I left a comment on your youtube troll. You should be careful because we are going to stop that is slander.
Doesn't matter what Paul or anyone else's platform is, presidents don't really have a lot of power to set policy unless it exactly aligns with their party's platform or they can do it with executive order. Republicans have the house and the senate and a Republican president isn't going to veto the crazy shit they get to passing. Any non-retarded person at this point votes for whoever wins the democratic primary, which will be Clinton. Vote strategic or you're empowering the evangelical right.
This is coming from a libertarian who would prefer Paul.
Hillary loves my fur.
You mean the thing that only fox news cared about and the Republican lead investigation found no wrongdoing and no obvious errors made?
Go back to Faux news, you buzzword eating fuckwit
a challenger appears
i want to fuck her so bad
>Also people make bets on presidential elections
I used to work in Vegas...
People make bets on fucking little league baseball games (like 10,000 dollar bets) playing at 3am all jacked up on cocaine.
People will bet on anything.
There is a 95% chance she will be the next President. She is a woman. You know the times we're in. Obama won for being black, and Hillary will win for being a woman. Nothing else matters because elections are essentially popularity contests, and the Republican party is currently dead. There won't be another Republican president for at least another decade, and maybe not even then.
Either some asian woman runs against her out of nowhere or she wins.
Site ANY instance where the secretary of state ignored warnings from the embassy
Protip - You can't.
Did you not pay any attention to the Republican led investigation's report?
hmm the Republican party didnt seem so dead 5 months ago when it threw the Democrats a EPIC historical beatdown and took both houses. You should check out the news sometime instead of relying on your fucked up effeminate liberal feels
What about when a president ignored warnings of a terror attack from his own cabinet that might kill thousands?
You are clearly clueless as to the workings of the government... there are threats like this every day. The problem is deciding which ones are credible and which ones arent.
This is NOT funny! You are not helping our cause at all. These pictures only serve to slanderize and decreditalize Miss Clinton. If you really support her, you should stop posting these pictures. If she saw them, it would surely hurt her feelings. Do you want to hurt Hillary's (soory for first name, we're not like that) feelings? I don't. She's a lovely lady.
>Obama won for being black
obama won because palin was a heartbeat away from becoming president, and romney was the embodiment of wall street right when his type were leading our economy down the shitter.
she won't get the nomination
But she will probably be the running mate
of the scumbag who does.
We should be voting for this faggot, though.
Nope he won because he is a nigger and all the liberal white guilt cuckolds wanted to be "cool" with their niggers. Being a nigger is the 1 and only reason he won. if you disagree you are fucking retarded and should kill yourself
no because she was being told by the people at the embassy who are of course going to err on the side of caution... not to mention, it was an attack against a dozen vs an attack against thousands not to mention the backbone of the US economy.
If you actually think that the results of bengazzi and 9/11 are even close to being in the same conversation, i just feel sorry for you
Dear god her fucking thousand yard stare and fake smile
She has a good chance because they let just about anyone vote.
I think Obama got elected purely because of the fact that hes black. I think Hillary will get elected purely because shes a girl.
I think in order to vote you cant be on welfare, and need a college degree in at least a semi respectable field, and some sort proof you know politics.
In my opinion Obama makes a good president, but i really dont have any hopes for Hillary. Ill genuinely be upset if she gets elected.
yes, but that doesn't mean you should use guns to perform abortions. what kind of monster aRe you?
That's a stupid example. You cant have a woman president because its impossible to make rational decisions and be emotional. Since women are always emotional a woman cant be president.
no one wanted sarah palin in the front office and no one wanted mitt romney with his binders full of women either
not to mention romneys fuccboi vp nominiation
Same fault in decision making. Obviously more dire consequences. Clinton is a talking head president. Just like Barack is. if hillary wins the cabinet of advisors will be the moral compass of our country yet again.
I'm a conservative and there was nothing effeminate about my post. I'm not even sure how you came to the conclusion that I was a liberal.
The Republican party is in disarray and has no strong leader. Again and again it will come back to religion and not liking gays and abortion and whatnot, and Republicans will lose.
But even if they didn't have those easy buttons to push and use to defraud any potential Republican candidate, Clinton will win because she is a democrat and a woman. It is simply the time we live in. You can stay deluded about it if you want, but I would bet my life on a democrat winning the 2016 election, and there is a very high chance it will be Clinton barring some massive scandal.
The bitch is going down.
Sadly I agree with this guy. 10's of millions of SJW dumbasses will beckon to her call paying no attention to the elites pulling her strings. IT WILL ALL BE FOR PROGRESS DONT YOU SEE?? We had a nigger running shit, doing a decent job from what I've seen...and now we will get a woman running the most powerful nation on earth...we are fucked
you liberal nigger loving fuck, There is no such thing as a smart nigger. The only time a nigger is acting smart is when he is trying to run a con on the unsuspecting. Why do you think our nigger cages (prisons) are so full?
>her life is full of fucking scandal.
Current scandal. Relevant scandal. Something bigger than "I keep secrets on my phone". Nobody cares about the past. People care about whether a candidate has a D or an R and whether they're a white guy or a minority/woman. That is the extent that most voters go to in their thought of who they vote for. Unless something huge happens to fuck over her campaign, I don't see her running into trouble.
>and the onlyone who cares what fags think are liberals.
Fags can vote, so there you go. And those fags and SJWs will vote for Hillary. You can cover your ears all you want but it's not going to change the outcome.
He gets the credit...according the most ignorant, low-information voters..intelligent ones know better
They dont. Look it up before you speak
>complaining about binders full of women
What kind of retards are on /b/ nowadays
If you don't understand what he was saying, you're retarded
If you understood what he was saying, you were just looking for a reason to be offended
That was genuinely the most retarded criticism of the 2012 elections
And not even Al Gore himself would have stopped the housing bubble bursting that led to the great recession
nope, no such thing as a smart nigger. but there are smart black people. just as there are some smart white people and some dumb white people
just because you are black doesnt make you anigger. the way youact and dress determines that.
i know more white niggers thanblack niggers, and i am from rural tn.
>JEB FOR PRESIDENT!
all hail the new dynasty!
Ok well let's put it this way:
either we set up some actual standards so that they can prove that they understand what each candidate stands for
Or we continue to have glorified popularity contests where each voter goes for Red or Blue/White guy or Black Guy/Woman or man. It's sickening to think that someone's vote counts just as much whether they're some retarded feminist voting for anything with a vagina vs someone who deeply cares about politics.
I won't even go into the fact that most votes don't even matter or that it arguably doesn't matter at all, but whatever.
>In my opinion Obama makes a good president
Please... you deserve a spot hanging in my family tree just like that nigger president.
Biggest fucking con artist, liar, scumbag president we have ever had. Can only think of two worse, and they were just dumb fucks.
Why aren't you voting for Waka Flocka Flame /b/?
The real Idiot is a liberal piece of shit trying to make a big deal out of a sip of water.
I’m not even going to bother with greeting the likes of you, I’m just gonna get to the point.
Whenever I read about some of you faggots claiming to have a great job, making 100k a year or receiving this or that education,
I roll my eyes and laugh. It’s cute really, because let me tell you a little something about myself:
I'm a Junior Chief Executive Officer. I’ve got degrees from Harvard and Oxford and I'm only 23 years old. I make 470k+ a year,
and that's just a starting salary. While you suckers are still working your blue collar jobs or attending clown college in the
hopes of scoring a Mickey Mouse degree, I'm travelling the world 24/7, flying Elite class, driving the finest handmade automobiles
or sailing $25 m yachts. Money, women, respect, the whole shebang. I’ve got it all.
Sometimes I look down from my airplane window and think about all those "little people", getting up at 6AM, driving their little Hyundai's
to their cubicles or building sites, and coming home at 6PM to eat their pork and beans before having pathetic and gross sex with their ugly
wives. But when a smoking hot stewardess comes over to bring me my $18.000 bottle of whiskey, I forget all about them.
Tomorrow I've got a meeting with some other executives over in Dubai. And guess who gets to decide whether or not our firm will open up a
new office over there? That's right: me. I even get to decide what shape the building is going to be. And no, I'm not going for the world's
largest tower. I don't need to overcompensate: I've got an 11" dick already.
Anyway, I've got to go now, because that smoking hot stewardess I told you about? Yeah, she brought her friends. They want to climb the REAL
Burj Khalifa. In my pants..
Don't vote then. I mean it's not like Diddy will come and to your door with a gun. Oh, wait.
you just refused real life experience. i bet obama would whoop your ass in an iq test. you dont become the president by being an idiot, no matter what skin color you have homebolio.
>If you don't understand what he was saying, you're retarded
like al gore inventing the internet? catch phrases are catchy yo.
>if you are a liberal you have no money.
I'm not. I'm conservative as I stated before. I have money.
>unless you count your handout foodstamps as money.
Not on foodstamps.
>and i would take a IQ test against a pothead nigger any day of the week
I hope you have enough sanity left to realize that you would lose.
>thinks that just because there are two choices, their probabilities are equivocal
this isn't a coin toss, nigger
just look at the monty hall "paradox".
two choices - one with 33% chance, one with 66% chance.
shit isn't rocket appliances
some bullshit times we live in.
The white man throws the best party for his own kind. the lowly beggars ask to just be apart of it. due to his good nature the white man says ok... thats not good enuff. give us everything and get out say the lowly beggars. its our party now.
fuck this place.
bin laden got his wish.
Rob Ford for President! He's the Charlie Sheen of politics!!!
Bull fucking shit. even though 100k isnt shit for money, anyone with savings over 800 bucks didnt vote for obama.. unless they are retarded or a nigger.... but then again niggers cant save money so for you i am banking on retarded
They only voted for Putin because he's gay. First gay russian president!!!
Gomenasai, my name is Ken-Sama.
I’m a 27 year old American Otaku (Anime fan for you gaijins). I draw Anime and Manga on my tablet, and spend my days perfecting my art and playing superior Japanese games. (Disgaea, Final Fantasy, Persona series)
I train with my Katana every day, this superior weapon can cut clean through steel because it is folded over a thousand times, and is vastly superior to any other weapon on earth. I earned my sword license two years ago, and I have been getting better every day.
I speak Japanese fluently, both Kanji and the Osaka dialect, and I write fluently as well. I know everything about Japanese history and their bushido code, which I follow 100%
When I get my Japanese visa, I am moving to Tokyo to attend a prestigious High School to learn more about their magnificent culture. I hope I can become an animator for Studio Ghibli or a game designer!
I own several kimonos, which I wear around town. I want to get used to wearing them before I move to Japan, so I can fit in easier. I bow to my elders and seniors and speak Japanese as often as I can, but rarely does anyone manage to respond.
Wish me luck in Japan!
50/50 currently according to Nate Silver.
tl;dr "it's too early to tell, but she will likely win the nomination at least".
sumone mad dey aint got chikun
23% chance you will win that bet, according to an aggregate of the latest polls, as well as factoring in opinions of various pundits from across the spectrum
She wants to give $5000 to each illegal immigrant. For you dumb lib tards, that means all the money from your McDonalds paycheck they take out, goes to someone that doesn't belong here.
yea that sounds great until you realize that a lot of people who "deeply care about politics" have just as many retarded opinions as those who don't. In the end the threat of popular opinion is the best guard against tyranny.
and saying you put 100k in a savings account proves you are a fucking liar. who the fuck puts anything over 10k in an account with shitty low interest. let alone a fucking savings account of all things
i have 100k in the savings account collecting 2 percent interest monthly, along with 13k in the checking account. just because you are a broke republican doesnt mean there are no people with money on the democrat side. i am not even a democrat i just liked obama more than romney and bush2.0