TRUMP GENERAL - KEEP PUSHING THAT BOULDER EDITION

>>94330124
>Trump loses the election
>/pol/ commits mass suicide
>millions of illegal immigrants given amnesty, to now serve as vote livestock for democrats
>next generation of voters were born after 9/11
>never see a republican in office for 50+ years

>>94331926
the darkest timeline

Thanks Portugal

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Thanks Barbosa.

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Engage and destroy the enemy in Close AWOO Combat

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/comfy/ Portugal thread

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hi georgie boy

https://wikileaks.org/podesta-emails/emailid/23843

Bill Mitchel has gone around claiming one Arizona poll is oversampling Democrats.

Let's see:
Trump: 60% * 168 + 11.5% * 413 + 27.9% * 132 = 185/713 = 26%
Clinton: 15.2% * 168 + 70.9% * 413 + 35.8% * 132 = 365/713 = 51%

51-26? These are NOT the published results. So what happened?

Trump: 60% * R + 11.5% * D + 27.9% * I = 38%
Clinton: 15.2% * R + 70.9% * D + 35.8% * I = 43%
General: R + D + I = 100

If you solve this sytem of equations, you get:
R = 37%
D = 33%
I = 30%

The poll did in fact NOT oversample Democrats.

KEEP RUNNING UP THAT ROAD

KEEP RUNNING UP THAT HILL

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1st for gassing the braindead argentinian with a phd in math

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could not stop fucking laughing
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BWfBGl9wuoI

This Argentine is seriously pissing me off. I swear to god it's like he never even passed undergrad statistics.

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who else /realtrumphours/ here?

So where's our special snowflake Dr. Math from Argentina? I want to tie a balloon on his hand.

>>94332126
The nile isn't just a river in Africa

>>94331912
The king is back, missed ya bud

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>>94331912
>MFW i'm slowly but successful red pilling people here about Trump

Still 89% more to go!

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I'm going to bed, I got a long drive tomorrow.
Remember to not let the shills, polls, and media get to you. They come to our thread because they're scared; if they're confident on winning, they wouldn't be here, hence we're not wherever they are because we know Trump will win.

Have a good night, and as always; MAGA!

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>>94332129
Always

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map of the 16 states with Soros related voting machines. Blue ones are swing states. Be extra cautious of these 8 states

>>94332094
Dear argie. You cannot "weight" a poll that skewed into a meaningful result.

I talked about that here many many times [1], at first to dissuade our own supporters from trying to "unskewing" the polls.

Now, people sometimes bring up "weighting" as an excuse for why oversampling is not an issue.

First time I talked about it was to dissuade our own side from trying to "unskew" clear bad polls by adjusting them to some model.

By now the new CTR talk to preempt the oversampling accusations is to allege that doesn't matter

> because they weight them anyway, scientific polls you know, you don't understand how polls work

But we do and it is good time as any to reverse correct the record

If you start with a very bad sample and weights it to some model it loses all predictive properties and simply become a mirror of your model.

For instance, if you start with a sample size of 2/3 women 1/3 men the poll is either useless or weighted so hard it loses all meaning and can actually tell anything you want to tell.

As a thought exercise imagine you make a poll with 10 democrats and 3 republicans, and you get 9 Hillary - 1 Trump on the democrat side and 2 Trump - 1 Hillary on the republican one.

Both the 10 Hillary - 3 Trump total result is useless but also the in-group 90% Hillary.10% Trump on the democratic side and the 66% Trump - 33% Trump on the republican side too.

If the sample is too bad there is no way to weight yourself into a good result and trying can be lying with statistics.

Pic related is the scatter chart that proves (at the Reuters poll) the influence of oversampling at the result.

The more you go to the right the higher the oversample of D, the higher Hillary result and the lower Trump's result.

The effect on the ***weighted*** poll result is enormous specially when the oversample is in a variable as correlated to the result as party affiliation.

[1] http://archive.4plebs.org/pol/search/text/Weighting/country/Pt/

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>>94332129
HIT THAT MF MAGA BUTTON IF YOU UP

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>>94331912
>https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SKGjczYz1bg

>https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SKGjczYz1bg

>https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SKGjczYz1bg

WAKE UP EVERYONE YOU CAN

VIRAL

SPREAD

MIRROR

TWO WEEKS LEFT

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Anyone else feeling like we are close to the end of some kind? Can't get this song out of my head

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=hqZtiyZfgAM

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So what happens when Trump is president?

He sets some policies, puts America on the right track.

What then? The next president is just gonna reset all the shit he did like HW bush did with Reagan.

>>94332126
Argentine only teach how to rape and steal in school

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>>94332113
Nigger, you better be voting for Sherri "Rusty" Shackelford.

>>94332222
Wew

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So according to FBI anon and Anonymous5, we are headed either for, Nuclear War, ISIS Cell waking up all at once during Ramadan in 2017, and a possible civil war. WW3 and ISIS activation will still happen under Trump. Hillary will be a complete shitshow.

CMON KEK! WE HAVE TO WIN!

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>was awooing part of your plan?
>of coursh!

Reminder that on Nov. 9th, Trump will announce that after losing the election he plans to start his own reality based political contest tv show. You will finally see that he's just been trying to build his brand this entire time. He cares nothing about holding office.

>>94332174

You subhuman baboon. You literal nigger.

How dare you speak, you swarthy jungle monkey. How dare you open your big lipped, rim encrusted, menthol cigarette smelling mouth?

You are human trash, Diego Tyrone LeShawn de Maradona. Universally despised, derided and mocked. Your nationality and skin tone offers no hope to the world that South America can ever prosper. Crawl back in to the Brazilian jungle you came out of, you literal orangutan.

I hope you decide to sail your grandfathers skip to the Falklands and rape some sheep, as is in the negroes nature. It would still be the whitest pussy you ever had. Give Nigel and Robert a chance for some target practice, your sole use to the world. Argentinians obsession with a few windswept islands in the Atlantic is hilarious but sad. Coincidentally its the only worthwhile contribution Argentina has made to the medical field. The MUH LAS MALVINAS sentiment in the average negro Argentinian is both an early warning sign of autism in children, and early on set Alzheimer's in adults.

Take your black hairy fingers off your keyboard, and never talk about the human species again, you mockery of our supposed shared ancestor.. No amount of olive oil and wheat flour slabbed on your face every morning will make you white. It's about as delusional of an idea as your daydreams of European heritage.

You nigger.

You make Bolivia look like a beacon of civilisation.

You are the Baltimore of South America.

Go fertilise the pampas with you and your families corpses, its the best you can hope for in life. For the first time in your life, nigger, you have a job making food for beings vastly superior to yourself. Uruguayan cattle. Coincidentally, it would be the first time an Argentinian "man" provided for a family.

Die, Diego. No one would miss you. Except for Australian Aboriginals, who now would have no one to make them look good

>>94332222
praise KEK

>>94332094
complete and 100% debunked bullshit.

weighting polls is the last bastion of a naive failure

>>94332290
I have no fucking idea who that is

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Number of State Polls from Oct. 1 - 24:

(State: 2012-2016)
PA: 16-6
OH: 29-9
FL: 23-11
CO: 16-5
NH: 10-6
MI: 10-5
NV: 15-6
VA: 23-4
WI: 14-6
IA: 10-1

The total volume of publicly released polling in 2016 vs. 2012 is down significantly - 50-75% fewer polls are being released. Despite this, we're being told "believe the polls, Trump is losing". They hope to depress our vote turnout and make a loss seem inevitable.

Reduction in polling makes you wonder; deliberate withhold information, or polling being done & only favorable results to Hillary released? Entire states are not even polled. E.g. 0 polls released for MN & CT, 1 for WA & NJ. In 2012, 6 polls were done for MN, NJ, & WA, 10 for CT.

Clinton is polling significantly behind Obama in 2012 in big Democrat states - 7 points back in WA, NY & MI, 5 back in IL, WI & OR. Clinton also polls behind Obama in swing states. She is 10 back in IA & ME, 4 back in CO, NV, OH & PA, 3 back in VA, 1-2 back in FL & NC.

They struggle to maintain an illusion of her winning with these numbers so far behind the 2012 race by suppressing Trump's totals. Despite polling well back of Obama in almost every Dem & swing state, Hillary polls nationally equal Obama in '12 at 48%! Truly a mystery!

If Hillary polls 4 points back from Obama in Swing states & 6 back in Dem states, her national number should be closer to 43% than 48%. They claim she makes this up in red states, but she polls even or 1-2 points worse than Obama in IN, GA, AZ, TX, UT, LA, OK, KS, MO, TN, NE. If we look at Hillary's numbers & project them out like Obama, she won't get a majority in any swing state or IL, WA, OR, NM, MN, or ME. She can't even break 50% in a poll of Vermont, a state Obama won w/ 67%. She is in fact 20 points behind Obama there!

If Hillary can't crack a majority of vote until we get to hardcore Democrat states like CA, MA HI & MD, its hard to see her path of victory.

https://twitter.com/RoteCaption/status/790412531382775808

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>>94332222

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>>94332220
>>94332094

The missing pic. Remember not to being Bill Mitchell into this. I'm not bill.

Now, so you cannot claim tl;dr the summary is:

That chart I just posted proves the effect of oversampling on the *weighted* poll result.

It means that even trying to fit the bad data into an imaginary model oversampling a variable so correlates to the end result influences the poll result to such an extent it cannot be ignored.

Now, If you know anything about statistics tell me what that R2 mean in the Clinton chart.

>>94332310

>I'm retarded: the post

You realize hardly anyone will want to associate with him? Fucking idiot.

>>94332094
You're completely missing the point. In what world would a decently sampled poll have gotten that many Democrats in a red state? It's obvious they abused their data collecting. You can do as much weighting and skewing as you like, it's still garbage in, garbage out. This is freshman-level stuff.

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>>94332222
REAL NIGGA NUMBERS

CHECKED

>>94332392
It's on your poll.

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MEME WARS

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>>94332251
I feel as though magic is returning to the world, like something is breaking through? Does that sound right? Like something is getting closer to us.

>>94332257
Above the draft age, thank fuck.

>>94332094

>trump losing with independents
lmao
>only 60% party loyality
lmao
>was losing with men in that poll
lmao
>attempting to weight a poll with data that shit
lmao refer to >>94332220

LOVING. EVERY. LAUGH.

>>94332220
Tuga, he is a lost cause

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>>94331912
Pack it up boys, its over, this is just sad now

>>94332449
Im not voting for someone i know jack everloving shit about

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>>94332222
Up

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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SLR3ozGbc_w

>>94332261
Inertia. Trump will do major surgery and spark a movement. We will break the conditioning that has chained us down.
Others will be inspired. Other countries will follow our example. Other men here will stand up and reinforce the path Trump clears.
We will drain this swamp. We will take back our country. We will make it great again.

This is not just an election. This is also a movement. Possibly even a world movement.

>>94332094
>>94332412
Also, to prevent you trying to sidetrack with bullshit: What I made was a general point about oversampling and it has absolutely nothing to do with either Reuters or margin of error.

You claim to know statistics but you cannot even read a scatter chart. What kind of bullshit is that?

Horizontal axis is the oversampling of democrats
Vertical axis is the weighted poll result

The correlation is evident, undeniable and easy to explain.

The fact Reuters is used is simply because it has more available data points but the same point can be made to any poll.

Did you even read what I wrote at the original posts. The point of why you cannot "weight" your way into good data if the sample is bad enough?

Riddle me this: if there were 1000 democrats and 10 republicans would your reasoning stand?

If not what's the charring point below which the poll cannot be salvaged?

You didn't answer a very specific question at the previous post.

Fuck me did we get shill mods? so much being deleted.

>>94332514
>tfw draft age
>literally the most important vote of my life

The question is do I want to MAGA or do I want WW3? Tough choice.

>>94332417
>posting in a Trump General
>calling someone an idiot
wew. Got me there pal.

>>94332257
I will dodge that shit so fucking hard.
I now understand draft dodgers.

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>>94332600

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Muh narrative.

>>94332218
I'm pretty sure Oregon and Washington are entirely vote by mail now.

>>94332576
Good thing you are on the internet. Do your research.

At least investigate your supreme court justices. Turns out that even in KS, there are 2 VERY liberal justices on our Supreme Court. Appointed by Sebelius (lady responsible for Obamacare) when she was governor.

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>>94332632
>Trump will do major surgery

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>>94332299
>we are headed either for, Nuclear War, ISIS Cell waking up all at once during Ramadan in 2017, and a possible civil war. WW3 and ISIS activation will still happen under Trump
>332299

GET HYPE

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=biznszWdVi0

>>94332220
>You cannot "weight" a poll that skewed into a meaningful result.

Both the margin of error for Democrats and Republicans are within the same magnitude. So yes, you can.

>>94332257

I already have a limp in my leg. The shills for hill can pay the price. :^)

>>94332675

Anyone who didn't try to dodge Vietnam was an idiot.

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Video drop on Hillary tomorrow is going to be her meltdown after the Commander in Chief Forum. Someone, not one of her aides, got it on hidden camera. All the yelling at Donna Brazile, the hanging from nooses comment, and the water in face episode. All of it will come out.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_NfFAaPZqs8

>>94332218
One more thing before leaving.
I'm from Wisconsin. All the voting machines have VVPAT, otherwise some counties are paper ballots only, including Dane(Madison), Milwaukee(Milwaukee), and Brown(Green Bay) counties with their highest population cities in parentheses.
http://thevotingnews.com/verifier/#year/2016/state/55
This article states that VVPAT isn't hack proof, so stay frosty.
http://www.wisconsingrassroots.net/paper_trail_does_not_help

Good night everyone!

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I did it guys

>>94332514
>implying they won't up the draft age and exempt everyone getting liberal arts degrees while denying STEM is a valid reason to 'dodge'

They WILL kill every single demographic they don't like in a war should they get a world war.

>>94332667
Volunteer for the Kurds or in a Yazidi Chiristian selfdefence militia if you want to die fighting

>>94332680
Is the DNC allowed to do shit like this?

>>94332412
It doesn't prove anything beyond Reuters

>>94332728

>it's almost Halloween again

>>94332667
Remember that the SJW women aren't part of the draft yet. So if you vote for war, you let them breed with the betas of this feminized society, making it even worse.

>>94332642
You ought to slap a spearman correlation value on your graph, its more meaningful than an R^2

>>94332427
It's not garbage. The scientific composite margin of error is small.

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>>94332222
Wew lad

>>94332813
Laws dont apply to democrats

>>94332728
Make sex changes great again?

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>>94332509
If told me this 5 years ago, I would call you crazy

Today? I don't even know

I feel it today much more than I have over almost any other day during the election cycle

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>>94332368
I remember this maymay

>>94332824
If you admit reuters is skewed like that why cant others be

>>94332222
MAGA
THESE ARE REAL TRUMP HOURS

>>94332412
Also, nice circular logic

Both Trump and people self-identified as Republicans go down at the same time, because there's surely a lot of people who are ashamed of identifying themselves as Republicans after all the Trump scandals

>>94331979
>Your claim that it is a shit sample is baseless

No it literally isn't. D+33 in a majority Republican state is a shit sample NO MATTER HOW YOU WEIGHT IT

"But they weighted it!" does not prove the sample to be anything other than shit

"MoE is standard" does not prove that you can get accurate results from bad data

"Argentina is WHIIIIITE" does not prove that you are white

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>>94332550
Your masters couldn't stop us if they wanted to, what chance do their lapdogs have?

>>94332222
I'm getting pretty damn tired of all these dubs.
We have gone too far now though, better keep praising all the gets.
MAGA

>>94332222

Trump onward!

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>>94332222

>>94332509
Technological and social epoch, happens every couple decades.

>>94332801
>>implying they won't up the draft age and exempt everyone getting liberal arts degrees while denying STEM is a valid reason to 'dodge'

>They WILL kill every single demographic they don't like in a war should they get a world war.

Won't kill me. I'll take 3 hots and a cot to dying in Russia or some 3rd world shit hole for Hillary. And by the time you up the age of the draft to where I would be eligible, you would have to kill/enlist every last male aged 18-30, presuming that they increased the age TODAY. By the time it actually happens, I would likely be 31 at minimum, more likely 32 or older.

Meaning that an entire generation would be lost before they got to me. And if we lose an entire generation, the war is already over.

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>>94332222

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>>94332832
got my costume ready

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>>94332677
kek
>off by one

Its raining out side, i'm kinda stoned, such a comfy sunday night and i'm feeling super optimistic about trump.

So why did they go and say something as bullshit as 'we are behind', now the shitty media will try to drive another narrative. or is it 77d chess I'm not seeing?

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>>94332222

>>94332785
jesus fucking christ i hope its true

>>94332813
The system has been corrupted since Bill Clinton took office. So the oligarchs can do w/e they want now and get away with it.

It's not like the left/SJW's are going to do anything to stop them.

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>>94332222
MAGA

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>>94332222

>>94332222
nicely done

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>>94332902
You could call it "Kingdom of Heaven" if you want. I also see it as a "spirit" is return to bring balance back to our world, it's like we've been cut off from something which lets the bad guys have an advantage over meek peace loving people.

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>>94332197
Night anon

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>>94332865
>it's not garbage
So you're telling me they performed an adequately random sampling of AZ voters, and over half of them were Democrats? Can you guarantee there was no tampering with the data at all?

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A lot of happenings coming up

>>94332748
I have your word for it but you provide nothing to back it up. No data, no study, no nothing.

You are putting your entire trust on the published margin of error of the poll. Right now we have a Trump +2 and a Clinton +12 poll, both posting a 3.5 MoE.

That means nothing, it only mean that if the pollsters assumptions are correct, 19 out of 20 times (that but about the 95% confidence interval) the poll would return a result within that range.

I say: you cannot weight a bad sample into a good poll. I give examples why. I provide a thought exercise of how it can affect the result. I give a real life example of it affecting the result.

You give me your word and a lie about being anything more than an undergrad that took statistics 101 and cannot even read a simple chart.

Sorry if I don't take your word for it.

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I can't get enough of Trump's smile. I love it so much.

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>>94333137
But we will

And you have no idea how many agency and armed forces groups feel the same

>>94332412
>>94332642

Please Respond.

>>94332850

You can do it in excel. http://www.real-statistics.com/correlation/spearmans-rank-correlation/

>>94332959
Reuters doesn't poll the same people over and over and over. You cannot assume just because one poll has R45 and D55 and another is R40 and D60 that 5 R switched to 5 D. The only way to get a change in the amount of each party polled is to physically poll more or less people in the party. The pollster cannot just make up turnout and then weight their responses against the national averages. If you start with bad data, you'll always have bad data. You don't seem to understand that.

That's actually why the LA poll has been so consistent with Trump in the lead. They continue to sample the same people over and over. The LA poll does a great job of showing enthusiasm of a certain sample over time and it's ups and downs have correlated reasonably well with developments over the campaign.

>>94332785
>All the yelling at Donna Brazile, the hanging from nooses comment, and the water in face episode.

Oh god please happen

>>94332120
Van damme is right though. the kicks in MMA are shit.

You can already see how important spinning kicks and elbows are going to become in the ring.

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>>94333246

>>94332785
Nah, notice how O'Keefe dodged the 'Is this the racist hillary tape' question and went on to talk about the fact there is collusion. Would be amazing if this was it but it probably isn't her own staff hardly sees her, I kind of doubt a PV plant got in that deep.

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>>94332509
I can't tell what's real anymore.

>>94333333

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>>94332785
is that where Drudge got this pic? been wondering

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>>94333201
Nah, I believe this so called "magic" is always there, and everyone has natural talent for it. However due to the way our world works, about 99.9% of people will never realize it's there, let alone master it

I think we have a better chance to find this hidden power due to being outcasts

LORD JESUS LET IT BE THE NOOSES COMMENT IN YOUR HOLY NAME WE PRAY

AMEN

Guys... I wanna go back to ignorant bliss before I #dieforher is Russia...... please tell me it will be alright..

>>94332396
VA 23-4

You know what they are doing. Trump said in the primaries that spending money on internal polls was a waste of money because the media does all the work for you.

So they didn't do polls

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Jesus christ I've never seen shills hitting this hard. They must be losing bad to seem this desperate.

>>94333343
>>94333333

>>94332850
>>94333280
I'll look into it but for the purpose R2 (specially over 0.5) is good enough to illustrate the point and excel gives it for free on the trendline.

>>94333359
O'Keefe is oldschool clickbait. He says something outrageous to get people's attention then backs off from it.

All of the videos have been disappointing and haven't influenced the election at all. Today's video won't be any different.

>>94333238
>You cannot assume just because one poll has R45 and D55 and another is R40 and D60 that 5 R switched to 5 D

It's even less realistic to assume they are doing it on purpose, and it's not just people fleeing Trump

>>94333457
According to FBI anon it's really bad...

http://archive.is/0oVo3

>>94333343
He just looks so happy and smug. Trump IS CUTE!

>>94333486
i disagree. his videos lived up to the hype last week

now weaky-links is another matter

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>>94332959
You've lost goy! Just concede she's on the wrong side of history!

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>>94332509
>>94332509

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is this the fault of oversampling democrats too?

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>>94333389
I just want to be free from this prison...

>>94332813
Do you have any idea how Republicans try to bend/break the law all the time? The signs in >>94332680 are true (not that any party isn't corrupt).

>>94332794
God bless you

>>94333555
Double trips. The fuck did you do to be blessed by kek?

I also disagree with you. The videos last week were subpar that did nothing to influence the election.

>>94333570
nice source, try again

>>94333201
I don't want perpetual peace. I like conflict, I like battle & war.

Peace is good. But not forever. Conflict keeps the blood pumping and the testosterone high. It keeps you aware and awake. We like war. We're good at war. And we're always going to have war.

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>>94333511
>It's even less realistic to assume they are doing it on purpose

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>>94332446
You're a big guy!

>>94332396
Her path to victory is pretty fucking easy. Trump's the one who has to fight like a mad dog

>>94333570
The price he is going to pay for saving you from the hell on earth that is globalism isn't even appreciated.

>>94333570
You have to go back Pedro

>>94333206
Why would he know anything about the emails? I want to believe

>>94333570
Even (((Snopes))) just BTFO of you.

http://www.snopes.com/trump-removes-name-from-hotels/

>>94333511

Aaand off comes the thin facade of feigned professionalism

I bet this fuck isn't even an actual argentinan and is just using a proxy like a faggot.

>>94333570
if trump wins n turns america around ppl gonna b clamouring at the chance to stay there...

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>>94333655

I can't believe we're about 10 days away from the finish line.

We've been here over a year!

>>94333486
It opened the public perception of electoral fraud
>but everyone knew of it
No, people suspected it and we're accused of racism and called conspiracy theorists, actual on video proof has shifted independents and disheartened partisans, of who are shifting and shrinking on the Democratic side while the Republicans are now even more riled and hardened.

>>94332218
VA has had the biggest difference in number of polls conducted vs 4 years ago, while many have had Trump +5 recently. (>>94332396)

Concerning.

What you can do:

https://www.reddit.com/r/The_Donald/comments/592e84/operation_stopsoros_megaupdate_stopthesteal/

>>94333555
Kek has spoken

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>16 says until Nov. 8th

>>94332959
tiu are proving my point and you don't even realize.

The vertical axis is the ****weighted**** result so the reduction in the numbers of self reported republicans would have no effect on the poll according to your logic due to the weighting process.

But it does and the chart proves it. Thanks for proving my point and admitting to your mistake.

You think I'm saying Reuters is oversampling on purpose and tried to "dispel that fiction" and ended up proving my point after all.

Keep digging.

>>94333620
Republicans gerrymander and fuck over polling locations. They do everything legally.

This is actually why Paul Ryan and co. want Trump to lose. With Hillary in the WH they can continue winning on the state level and continue expanding the Republican's influence in each state by influencing campaign rules and district distribution.

Obama cost the democrats dearly in that regard. The republicans see more gains for their doners from fucking with state level shit than they do with federal level shit, especially since the Democrats are basically the same as Republicans on the federal level when it comes to sucking off the globalists.

>>94333750
It's probably Nate. He was on here earlier.

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HAPPENING!!!

>>94333681
no proof anyone but GQRR is doing this

and notice GQRR hasn't published a single poll this election season, so who cares, exactly?

>>94333756
how is this a bad thing,

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>>94333594
Soon

>>94332412
>If you know anything about statistics tell me what that R2 mean in the Clinton chart.

R-squared: how close the data is to the line

Large R-squared: the line isn't a good fit. Specifically here, it looks like oversampling Dems still isn't that bad for Trump because many Dem voters are going Trump

>>94333657
The world wars did nothing but destroy the genetic stock of white men. Why do you think Jews keep pushing it?

>>94333796
its gonna be some nerve-racking 16 days

>>94333756

You retarded oaf. Boing boing and Slate? Fuck off.

>>94333632
Thanks anon. It feels good finally voting for the first time.

>>94333841
CMON O'KEEFE ENTER HISTORY YOUR ONE LEG IN ALREADY

>>94333732
Ivanka should have just started naming hotels after herself.

>Its so corney dad

Yeah that's the point.

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>>94333657
Someday we'll transcend our animal instincts, we just have to hope we don't wipe everything out before we get there. Peace is an illusion, I know.

>>94333882
THE
NILE

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>>94333757
We either get civil war if he loses or a major chimpout if he wins due to Soros.

Gonna be a hell of a show.

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Is this the real Malik Obama or is this a shitposter?

>>94333879
its been nerve racking since september

>>94333839
Kek, it probably is. I can't think of many other people who would be this butthurt about being wrong about polling statistics.

>>94333511
See >>94333799, you shifted to attack on the "they don't do it on purpose" and in the process proved my point.

You should stop trying. You painted yourself at a corner and I'll likely be here as long as you will, considering it's morning here and dead in the night there.

>>94333947
maybe he is taking the president thing seriously, and doesnt want the business in the back of his mind

>>94333756

Literally the first hit there, from Snopes, says the new hotels would be named "Scion" but the name "Trump" is not being removed from them.

>>94333841
>okeefe
>relevant

everybody knows his videos are doctored

he had to pay a $100,000 fine for faking the acorn videos

>>94333841
Why wouldn't this be out already? Early votes are in, they should have dumped this yesterday when nothing was happening

>>94333846
Because you can see it happening in every poll

>>94333958
Yes it is. He is essentially what happens when an english speaking kenyan gets on social media.

>>94333958
its both

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>>94333511
You are fucked. We know who you are, We know where you live. Sleep tight sweetie!

>>94333841
This. Better. Be. Decent.

>>94333992
I'm too caught up in Trump winning. It's nearly causing me to lose sleep worrying about it.

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>>94333958
He's the real deal

He's one of us. He just wants his brother back

>>94334031
Literally no one watches the news on Sunday.

>>94333799
>The vertical axis is the ****weighted**** result so the reduction in the numbers of self reported republicans would have no effect on the poll according to your logic due to the weighting process.

oh my god, you are clinically retarded

the number of people fleeing the republican party is likely correlative to the number of republicans voting for hillary increasing

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>>94332785
>>94333122
>>94333299
>>94333359
Man that would be sweet. I don't dare let myself believe it, but it's a good one.

>>94334029
>the videos are fake, even though they got people fired
>but my polling data is 100% legit!

>>94333875
>The world wars did nothing but destroy the genetic stock of white men

Because of Marxist subversion in our government.

>Why do you think Jews keep pushing it?

Because they want to topple every nation that is not obedient to globalism. Hence why they want a war with Russia. They want a domesticated and docile populace.

>>94333940
>Someday we'll transcend our animal instincts

Lolno.

>>94334031
Nobody watches news on the weekend. If it had been released last week, she would've recovered by Election Day.

>>94334029
Which still put ACORN out of business. Even Hillary admits that shit in the videos is real.

>>94334087
But everybody is on their phone all the time, no?

>>94332509
Magic is returning. I have had first hand experience.
This movement we are in is a product of that same magic.

Pray to God and thank him for everything you are grateful for. He is listening.

>>94333947

>accept libtards propaganda outlets as truth or you're in an Egyptian river

Just block this faggot. The Argentineans can't get the Falklands back or even win a goddamn football tournament anymore.

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>>94333841

PREPARE THE MEMES

>>94333992
Yes September of 2015. Please dear Lord let this election be over and Trump in the White House with his sexy wife who speaks broken sexy english please.

>>94333958
>>94334037

What are the odds that Obama is seriously considering "droning" his brother right now

Or at least arranging a visit from a "personal trainer" to "spot" him

>>94334036
If pollsters wanted to fake their results, they would just do it, they wouldn't make the evidence public

The only problem here is that drumpftards don't understand what a weighted poll is.

>>94333756
Already debunked, and what's worse they all quote the same source(snopes).

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>>94334097
Are you still going to be alive come November?

>>94333846
hello negrito resentido

Back again? Thought i wouldnt recognize you? You literal nigger, comming here with all your "math" and "science" and models?

How did that genius of yours worked out for you back in the primaries, when you spouted every single night that trump was finished because rubio was going to win the nomination according to all that fancy "math" you did.

Remember that? You even made autistic charts to prove our little inferior minds wrong, surely you put a lot of effort in them, making them in your goverment-issued netbook, you little negrito.

So get the fuck out with your retarded analysis and your constant atitude of superiority. Guess what, you are worse than nate silver, you are the most retarded person on this board right now.

Mr "Marco Rubio will win the nomination, check out my autistic math and charts"

>>94333728
He's the 400ib hacker

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>>94332794
>McMuffin and Nathan Johnson

>mfw that's not even his running mate

>this incompetent fuck and Kristol couldn't even get the ticket straight

>>94332105
who would vote for Kate Bush over Jeb! Bush?

>>94333940
She was too good to go out the way she did.

>that last effort to save everyone else

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>>94334120
That would by far be the best tape so far.

>>94334097
And Bernie voters are fleeing the Dems by that logic; your point?

For that matter, why are you here at 1AM if you're so certain we're wrong?

>>94333865
> Large R-squared: the line isn't a good fit

R squared = 1 means all points are over the line
= 0 means barely to no correlation

This chart means that there is a xorrrlation between oversampling and weighted result.

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The corruption is real, folks.

>>94334061
You better be memeing. Let me put your mind to rest. It's easy. Say it with me. Madame President Hillary Clinton.

>>94334235
stuff that never happened.txt

>>94333865

> Large R-squared: the line isn't a good fit.

Nigger literally what

You have that exactly wrong. Stop trying to be an armchair statistician. You are too fucking retarded for that.

>>94333756
But isn't this to be kind of expected? If you take a political stance, half the country will hate you, even if they all loved you before.

That's why it's so difficult for wealthy successful people to run for office, this was exactly Trump's point

>>94334294
Trump's desperate attempt to pander to Bernie voters isn't working at all

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>>94334183
I see it as "An Awakening"

I felt like there was something fundamentally about to change on January 1st immediately when I woke up. Apparently a lot of other anons felt some similar emotion when the ball dropped that evening.

>>94334097
>people must be fleeing the Republican party because Trump is down in the polls
>Trump is down in the polls because people are fleeing the Republican party

Now who's using circular logic

>>94334308
why do you do it portugal man? arguing with these shills has to be tiring as shit, and you don't have a personal stake in this.

Why are you so good to us?

>>94334311
>[Elites booing]

>>94334183
Lord Kek has arisen

>>94333841
>Link to September tweet
https:/twitter.com/JamesOKeefeIII/status/781263804948774912

His tweet and retweet are from today. Check his Twitter. This could be good.

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https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=KxjfhXZsEao

This song is relevant

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>>94334330
Still haven't responded to moi.....

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>>94332222

>>94334367
According to your ass. And answer my second question, please.

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>>94333594

>>94334330
Well meme'd you faggot, i know who you are

>>94334432
Racism is worse than corruption

How much dpes early and postal votes count in america? I'm worried about hillaries current tactic of rushing people through these before the real dirt can get out, this way no matter what she has those vote right?

Will the tapes still matter if all her voters have gone early?

>>94334417
Fuck

https://twitter.com/JamesOKeefeIII/status/781263804948774912

>>94334444
Wew

>>94334253
McMuffin voters are even worse than Hillary voters imo

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>>94332222

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>>94333846
>one place was doing it, so obviously it's retarded to think others might be as well

>>94334449
>According to your ass
according to all polls

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>>94334444
It keeps happening

Its interesting CTR is hitting 4chan more then virtually every other place.

>>94334417
>them

so not hillary

>>94334444
damn.

>>94334457
>>94334460
THE FUCKING SUN

>>94334460
Tomorrow

>>94334222
They are faking the polls you can see it in every fucking poll.

Look you haven't convinced 1 real poster and you aren't convincing any lurkers.

This is two threads where you have been BTFO completely. Next thread if you circle back to the same arguments that you lost in the last two threads you will piss off the lurkers who now have the response to your script memorized.

This is why shilling does not work on /pol/ and never fucking has

>>94334460
Well, not really, but Americans THINK it is.

>>94334512
ctr doesn't exist, dumbass

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>>94332794

>>94334460
Jesus, this is stupider than your poll math.

>>94334444
CHECKED

>>94334460
>

Oh so you are now going for the "i was just pretending to be retarded" angle?

Wew you sure fooled us, everyone here thought you sounded like a retard. TROLEMASTER2016

>>94334512
4chan has much more dedicated shitposters. There are far more unpaid "CTR" who are just in it for shits and giggles than the real paid ones.

>>94334512
R politics is lost

>>94334460
>t. nigger

>>94334551
But it literally does exist. It's on the Clinton financial disclosures

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>>94334444
Praise

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>>94334460
How much are they paying you? I bet its not enough! You're so fucked and you don't even know it!

>>94334253
I enjoy Bill Kristol's constant stream of incompetence that has been lasting for 20 years.

Every time he predicts something, you can safely bet on him being wrong. What makes this more entertaining is how much he fucking spergs out about literally anyone calling him wrong.

He couldn't even contain his spaghetti on Morning Joe. Joe literally said, "You look like you're about to cry."

>>94334551
ctr ceo literally shows up on mainstream media outlets often

>>94334513
Read the other tweets. Connect the dots.

>>94334580
Nobody is pretending. Hillary (corrupt) is blowing Trump (racist) out of the water in all polls.

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>>94334444
>>94332222
It begins.

>>94334542
Getting shown he's wrong doesn't work, I saw him making the exact same arguments and getting btfo last week
I think he's just in it for the (you)s at this point.

>>94334460
wew lad

wew lad

>>94334487
Provide me an argument that Trump's Sanders outreach isn't working, because polls show horrifically depressed millennial turnout.

And you still haven't shared my second question. If your win really was assured, why are you here at 1 in the morning?

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>>94334097

> the number of people fleeing the republican party is likely correlative to the number of republicans voting for hillary increasing

Here is the chart that forever proves you wrong and that proves you don't have a clue of what you are talking about.

Same time period, votes by party affiliation. Show me the dip in republicans voting for Trump that explains that correlation at the other chart.

Care to give up now? Everything you said up until now was not only wrong, it was proven wrong.

You don't have a clue and resort to fallacious reasoning and appeal to authority (phd in stats, ha).

After our exchange I believe nobody will ever believe you in this board again but just to make sure I'll make a handy image with or exchange so people can laugh at you.

>>94334655
THIS IS WHAT ARGENTINIANS ACTUALLY BELIEVE
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VKkcTpCur7g

>>94334627
He doesnt get paid, hes an autist that thinks he's hot stuff

He used to post charts about how marco rubio would win back in the primaries. He has emerged as of late

Now hes pretending to be retarded because he got his ass handed to him

>>94333958
He relayed in a story early (now deleted) about how Michelle wanted a divorce after he lost his 2000 race, and that she got pregnant shortly after.

He basically implied Barack got cucked.

>>94334460

He's given up, we have broken this sad sack, he's just resorting to one-sentence (you)-harvesters at $0.02/post

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>>94332222
>>94334444

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>tfw immune to shills because I already voted for Trump

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NATE AT IT AGAIN

>>94334655
You subhuman baboon. You literal nigger.

How dare you speak, you swarthy jungle monkey. How dare you open your big lipped, rim encrusted, menthol cigarette smelling mouth?

You are human trash, Diego Tyrone LeShawn de Maradona. Universally despised, derided and mocked. Your nationality and skin tone offers no hope to the world that South America can ever prosper. Crawl back in to the Brazilian jungle you came out of, you literal orangutan.

I hope you decide to sail your grandfathers skip to the Falklands and rape some sheep, as is in the negroes nature. It would still be the whitest pussy you ever had. Give Nigel and Robert a chance for some target practice, your sole use to the world. Argentinians obsession with a few windswept islands in the Atlantic is hilarious but sad. Coincidentally its the only worthwhile contribution Argentina has made to the medical field. The MUH LAS MALVINAS sentiment in the average negro Argentinian is both an early warning sign of autism in children, and early on set Alzheimer's in adults.

Take your black hairy fingers off your keyboard, and never talk about the human species again, you mockery of our supposed shared ancestor.. No amount of olive oil and wheat flour slabbed on your face every morning will make you white. It's about as delusional of an idea as your daydreams of European heritage.

You nigger.

You make Bolivia look like a beacon of civilisation.
You are the Baltimore of South America.

Go fertilise the pampas with you and your families corpses, its the best you can hope for in life. For the first time in your life, nigger, you have a job making food for beings vastly superior to yourself. Uruguayan cattle. Coincidentally, it would be the first time an Argentinian "man" provided for a family.

Die, Diego. No one would miss you. Except for Australian Aboriginals, who now would have no one to make them look good.

>>94334583
How come they appear in groups and seem to vanish all at once? Raids by neofag or SA?

>>94334637

I'm not one for the whole gas the kikes thing, but I'd genuinely be appreciative if he got converted into flakes of carbon.

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>>94334621
Him

>>94334677
W E W
E
W

Tomorrow is gonna be huge, famalam. Hillary will be caught saying nigger.

>>94334692
Getting that CTR money.

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>>94334655
Keep plying the "le trump racist meme" Nobody is buying it anymore! You've lost! Suck to be you! I love how you keep trying though! So brave! So fierce!

>>94334385
> Why are you so good to us?

Globalism is a disease, Trump is the cure. If he doesn't cure it it affects us all.

>>94334759
JUST

>>94334029
just stop

>>94334825
Yay, we can all pretend to be outraged at someone saying nigger!

>>94334719
You gotta update some of these graphics to reflect the current state. Love your work.

>>94334719

Is there any other poll you can cite for your arguments? I'm not comfortable relying on fucking Reuters.

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>>94334677
The games have begun

>>94331926
Gen z has been polled as the most conservative generation since ww2, even having disgust for tattoos.

Disclaimer: gen z is mostly 16 and under right now so this could change over time

>>94334677
Praise KEK

>>94333958
Realer than Argentina's Ph D

>>94332222
PRAISE KEK
WE'RE GOING TO WIN
AND KEEP WINNING

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>>94334721

>>94334719
Add the weighted results into that chart and the D-R difference

>nigger tape drops
>CTR spends all day telling us we have to support Hillary because she's redpilled
You know they'll try...