>item has 1% drop chance
>1 in 100 guaranted chance to drop
>it doesnt
>>389498776
I still haven't gotten a Sealed J-Sword after more than 5 years of on-and-off hunting for the damn thing.
I'm not convinced I'll ever have one.
>>389498776
>implying 100 different drops have anything to do with one another
>>389498776
1% drop chance and 1 in 100 guaranteed chance to drop are not the same things.
back to math class, frogshitter
Thats not how chance works
everything has a chance of 50%
either it happens or it doesn't
>>389499187
there's a chance that that's how it works
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=at+least+1+success+in+100+trials+p%3D0.01
>>389498776
That's not how it works unless there is something implemented to guarantee a drop. Statistically speaking you should get the drop after 100 kills but in practice it might take 200.
>99% accuracy rate
>miss
>miss
>miss
>doing 1 in 128 rare drop challenge for items and best in slot in Earthbound
>farming for Star Pendants
>farming for any of the weapons
>>389499167
then why is 100% drop chance 100 in 100 guaranteed? maybe teh one who should go back to math class is YOU, you mathlet
>>389499508
>going through game normally, no grinding autism
>this happens
Someone didn't pass middle school math
>>389499241
this
>>389498776
0.99^100 = 0.36603234127
you have around 64% chance to get it
>>389499241
Someone get this Babydick retard off the website before I pop a blood vessel.
>>389499167
Why you hate the frog?
>>389499994
I'll be honestits because the pic has low quality
>>389499567
Good goy you're right, go to a casino right now! You got the key to success! If you go on an unlucky streak, bet more, you're bound to success!
Afterall everyone knows probabilities follow causaility
You have a gigantic key. 3 doors stand in front of you, though you're not really sure why because there's no wall. There appear to be 2 antelopes behind the doors and a toy sports car off in the distances. You take a seat on a nearby question mark, and ponder: what is the probability that OP is a faggot?
>>389499567
bait thread, but i'll bite it anyway.
Chance works from 0 to 1.
0 means no fucking way it will ever happen
1 means it will happen everytime
Any number in between, which might be any real number (0.1, 0.123, 0.99, 0.50) is a number that indicates how likely is the thing to happen.
Now, having a 0.99 chance, which means 99%, means that you have 1 chance in 100 to make thing happen. It doesn't mean it will happen after 100 attempts, it means that statistics mean it will approximately happen once every 100 tries.
So, Thing may happen after 50 tries, as well as happen after 150 tries, because every time you have 1/100 chance of success.
The law of big numbers says, that if you attempt a million times, statistically you'll have 1000 succeeded attempt, the bigger the number of attempts is, the more close to thorethical chance your result will be.
t. math student
>>389499994
ebbryon haets de frogg
>>389500226
>Now, having a 0.99 chance, which means 99%, means that you have 1 chance in 100 to make thing happen
I got confused a little, i mean 0.01 and 1%
>>389500238
Apu is not pepe
Apu is frend
>>389498776
>1 in 100 chance to drop
>drops 6 times in 10 battles
>6 in 10 chance to drop
>need 10
>only drops twice in 300 battles
>1 in 64 chance to encounter enemy
>1 in 64 chance to drop item
FF4 was a bitch
>>389499241
Everything has either a 100% or 0% percent chance of happening. It's either going to happen or it isn't and its fate is determined beforehand by deterministic processes.Probability is about information and prediction. As you get more information the probability of one particular outcome goes to 100%.Ignore quantum shit.
>>389500238
pull the trigger
>>389499985
>namefag
>doesn't even trip
>item has a 100% drop rate
>only if you follow all of these steps
>never obtainable organically
>>389500313
basically
1% chance means if you do it thousands or tens of thousands of times, it will average out to about 1% of the time
>>389501770
>its fate
No you fucking idiot, it's circumstance which is a form of chance.