Can someone explain to me why this clause exists? The game i

>>9155092
You don't understand how deal or no deal is played.
In the Monty Hall problem, the host selects a case for you and tells you "the prize is NOT in this case".
In deal or no deal you select any case you want to eliminate, which may contain the million or any other number, and you're just as likely to fuck yourself out of high prizes as to remove the low ones.
The possibility of choosing the million removes any advantage.

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>>9155097
at the start you select a case from i think 26, so then you have that case. every time ive seen the switch feature in play it's the last two cases, the contestants and others, it doesn't happen every time.

So if you have made it to the end and you have eliminated all but one case and offered a switch, you should take it. If say there was pic related possible (not deal or no deal but it demonstartes the point of possiblities).

I guess it's different from the monty hall problem in the sense that there are no options which are the same, there are two goats in the monty hall problem, but you have an equal chance of picking any number of cases at the start.

>>9155106
No, the difference from the Monty Hall problem is that the host is not allowed to open the prize case in that problem. If the host opens something, then knowing this you have information about where the prize might be.
Since you ARE allowed to open any case in deal or no deal, you cannot give yourself any advantage by switching.

Monty Hall is not just saying
>durr change your mind for better luck

>>9155115
>Since you ARE allowed to open any case in deal or no deal, you cannot give yourself any advantage by switching.
Huh, wouldn't the disadvantage come from at the start and having an equal chance of picking any case as all cases are the same, with the monty hall problem at the start you have 2/3 chance of picking a goat. You still have no idea where the prize is going to be, but you can still use the switch to your favor?

If you get to a switch you are pretty much saying it's the chance that I picked my prize (what ever number you are going for) or you didn't. The chances that you picked your prize at the start is far smaller than it still being in the uneliminated pool?

So at the start you make a choice, you obviously want the 200k, but the chances of that happening are unlikely at 1/26, you make it to the end of the game with 200k still on the board and some other lesser number, the chances of you having picked that 200k are still 1/26 but the chances of it being in the pool are much greater than it being in your case?

>>9155140
>The chances that you picked your prize at the start is far smaller than it still being in the uneliminated pool?
What?
The uneliminated pool has size 1 when you are allowed to switch. The probability of that particular case being $X is the exact same as that of any other case being $X.

>>9155149
the pool starts with 26 cases you pick one and take one with 200k possibly being anywhere, with the chances of you picking the case being so low, 1/26, isn't it more likely that through having not eliminated the 200k it remains in the pool as the last option?

>>9155155
>isn't it more likely that through having not eliminated the 200k it remains in the pool as the last option?
>dude I just FEEL like it's more likely
You're either baiting or too retarded to understand any explanation anyone can give you

>>9155155
[not that guy]

No. Each time you eliminate a case, the probability of the other cases being the winner goes up uniformly; all the remaining cases become more likely to be the winner, *including the one in your hand*. After eliminating one case, each of the 25 remaining ones --including the one in your hand-- now has a 1/25 probability of being the winner. When only two cases remain, they are both at 50%.