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Pic unrelated. If probability exists, then doesn't 'luck'

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Thread replies: 11
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File: smugdouble.png (132KB, 458x573px) Image search: [Google]
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Pic unrelated.

If probability exists, then doesn't 'luck' exist? A property one can't control, like how it's said fate cannot be controlled. There's probability of something happening--like drawing a certain colored marble from a bag of marbles, at random. But 'luck' is what drives what marble you get.

What matters is the 'universal intellect' and 'context' that factors into fate's path. If it is specifically a wager, fate will side with 'a single thing'. If something is 'up to luck', then it must be. The very thought fate exists is what drives things to happen. Coincidences /are/ driven by an outside force. Fate.

Is everything a gamble? After all, most of the time, new ideas, true, unthought of ideas, are thought up by 'luck'. Was it mere 'luck' that you came here and saw this post? Was it lucky that you saw it, or was it bad luck?

Is bad luck the lack of luck, or is it the existence of luck in another's favor, far outweighing one's own luck?

Discuss fate, the existence of luck, etc.
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>>8464345
>If probability exists, then doesn't 'luck' exist?
No.

>But 'luck' is what drives what marble you get.
If it's truly random, then nothing drives what you get. You're just naming nothing "luck".
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>>8464356
'Luck' is what chose what marble you'd pick.
Luck pushed you to not 'make the choice', but that the marble would end up with you.
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>>8464366
>'Luck' is what chose what marble you'd pick.
Nothing chose what marble you'd pick, in the hypothetical situation in which marbles are chosen randomly. In real life there is a physical process which leads to a marble being chosen which appears random because of unknowns and chaotic processes. Again, you are just calling nothing "luck". You're saying anything meaningful.
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>>8464378
Luck would be the best thing to fill in the unknowns. Doesn't luck fit in to the definition of chaos? Lucky and unlucky, red marble, blue marble. Luck isn't an entity that 'chooses', it's the means that ends that cannot be solved by a direct path, but probability occur.
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>>8464380
>Luck would be the best thing to fill in the unknowns.
How is unknown information luck? That makes no sense at all.

>Doesn't luck fit in to the definition of chaos?
No. A chaotic process is a deterministic process that is hard to predict because the result varies greatly with small changes in the initial state.

Again you aren't saying anything, just arbitrarily naming things "luck"
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>>8464385
Luck is too hard to predict, because it IS what many try to predict. Probability is a measure of luck. Luck is stored in the 'sides' of a wager or context.
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File: 1460644482960.jpg (60KB, 495x507px) Image search: [Google]
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I was watching my friend play a card game, he was trying to Mill out his opponent. He played a card that said "Pay X to flip X coins, Mill 2 cards for each heads". This greedy fucker needs to mill like 8 cards to win, only 4 heads. So he pays 16, and only gets 4 heads.

MFW
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>>8464388
No one tries to predict luck. That doesn't mean anything moron. They try to predict the outcome of some event. Probability is a measure of how certain you are some result is going to occur based on the information you have, which should be equivalent to the proportion of events with that result if the event is repeated infinitely.
>>
>If probability exists, then
Nope it doesn't, its just a formal mathematic abstraction used to represent mathematical problem where no clear answer can be found, most of the time for missing information, rather than being an inherent property of a system like in the Uncertainty Principle

Now In practise this mean instead of just getting 1 point like answer, you get an Area or distribution for a solution.
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File: 1472497908358.gif (2MB, 320x240px) Image search: [Google]
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>>8464345

Players make the game more interesting. Free will is only possible outside the context of a completely mechanistic pre-determined universe. This is only possible if will/emotion actually has an influence on the material; in one form or another.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wZZ7oFKsKzY
Thread posts: 11
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