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Hi /pol/, I don't normally come here but I'm a former

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Thread replies: 122
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Hi /pol/, I don't normally come here but I'm a former CIA Analyst who now works for an unnamed US Government Think Tank regarding military strategy and hypothetical wars.

Right now I see alot of bullshit on this board right now regarding war with the Norks, so I thought I'd share the basics of my work to try and set the record straight.

So ask me anything about the current situation in regards to strategy, weapons, casualty estimates, political and economic fallout etc.
>>
kim will win
>>
>>136742229
Larping faggot neck yourself.
>>
>>136742425
Depends on your definition of "win"...
>>
>>136742229
Why are you allowing North Korea to directly threaten U.S. military holdings in the Pacific, such as the colony of Guam?

What will you do in 5-10 years when Kim can back up his threats with a real nuclear stockpile that can hit the U.S. mainland?

Why is this allowed to continue? What will happen when Kim Jong the 4th gets his hands on the nukes? What about a military coup? So many things can happen, all of them are bad.
>>
>>136742575
Unification of Korea and crippling the US economy and military power
>>
>>136742595
>in 5-10 years
Max par burger. Much less, if not already having the capability.
>>
>>136742229
>hypothetical war
There will be no war, period.
>>
>>136742229

Sweet LARP bro
>>
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>>136742229
You're opinions are shit and nobody wants to hear them.
>>
>>136742595
>Why are you allowing North Korea to directly threaten U.S. military holdings in the Pacific, such as the colony of Guam?

Right now "I'm" not doing anything. I USED to work for the government. But if I still did I'd say the answer is because the current administration (while possessing more balls than the last one) is still relatively trapped in a lose-lose situation. Militarily they're placing their faith in the THAAD batteries in SK and Japan. Politically they're hoping that his is a bluff like the last hundred times NK has threatened the US. However, I personally believe the specification of a target that they can easily hit is a dangerous escalation and if the threats do not stop, limited airstrikes may be called for.

>What will you do in 5-10 years when Kim can back up his threats with a real nuclear stockpile that can hit the U.S. mainland?

As mentioned before, the current hope by the administration and military is that advancements in missile intercept technology can keep US citizens safe but its really a crapshoot realistically.

>Why is this allowed to continue? What will happen when Kim Jong the 4th gets his hands on the nukes? What about a military coup? So many things can happen, all of them are bad.

See above answers
>>
>>136742229

Why are you so obsessed with LARPing?
>>
>>136742873
Honest opinion? Probably not
>>
why are amerilards worried when NATO has the tech to disable atoms in nukes?
>>
>>136742755
>Unification
I doubt he could accomplish this
>Crippling US militarily
The actual risk.
>>
Do you think North Korea is more alligned with Russia than China? and would that mean this is linked to Iran and Russia?

how much have you studied the sino soviet split?
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>>136743376
>>136742988
>>136742450

Honestly not Larping, I'm just trying to kill time while talking about foreign policy and military strategy
>>
>>136743763
>not larping
>but gives no proof
neck

your

self
>>
>>136743745
>Do you think North Korea is more alligned with Russia than China? and would that mean this is linked to Iran and Russia?

Economically there are numerous links in the private sectors of both countries. Militarily all of these nations trade equipment, spare parts, ammunition, new designs back and forth. But politically they don't really give a shit about each other. If I had to choose alignment for NK it'd be with China, but that alignment is starting to fade as China realizes that doing business with them may cost them in the long term.

Realistically the term "Hermit Kingdom" is absolutely correct. If tomorrow the US, Japan, and South Korea were to storm across the DMZ, Russia and Iran would cry but militarily they'd do absolutely nothing.

China is a different beast, it'd probably start by detonating all of the bridges along the Yalu river in order to stem the tide of refugees, and then move several divisions into Liaoning and Jilin Provinces as a deterrent to both North Korean and American military units.

But would they cross the river like they did in the 50's to fight the "great capitalist oppressors"? I doubt it. It'd be to bad for business.

>how much have you studied the sino soviet split?
A lot, but not as much as I'd like to have. What would you like to know?
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>>136742229
Sure and l'm Ryan Jackson.
>>
>>136742229
LARP more fag.
>>
>>136744560
same
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>>136742229

Do you think war will happen?
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>>136744729
War? No
Airstrikes or limited artillery engagement? Possible
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>>136742229
Timestamp any document with some text/logo that cant be traced back to you.
>>
>>136744789

How do you like living in D.C.?

I lived there for college and hated it. It's full of nu-males, feminist overload types, and dick-in-ass faggots. What neighborhood are you in?
>>
>>136742229
>Thinking this is an AMA
you got lost on your way to reddit cianigger
>>
>>136742229
What's your take on the stand off at the Bhutanese border?
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>>136744484
What would it take to provoke China into invading NK down to the SK border? And in your view is that desirable, and why?
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>>136742229
What are the chances for preemptive strike?
>>
>>136744789

My uncle works at Nintendo do you know him?
>>
>>136744921
Where'd you go to school? GW? AU? I live near the city. You're completely right. It's all nu males and homosexuals.
>>
>>136744789
>Airstrikes or limited artillery engagement
What do you think Kim's responsewould be?
>>
>>136744789
How likely is an EMP strike by the norks on mainland US?
>>
>>136745219

I went to Georgetown brah. I lived in Burleith.
I hated DC more than any other place I've ever lived. Pricey, crowded, pretentious, full of the worst kind of people.

Maryland and VA can be great if you go far away enough from DC, but that place is a shithole. Lot of my friends went into consulting there and in NOVA, but I just couldn't do it. I had to bail.
>>
>>136743493
>I doubt he could accomplish this


He wont SK/USA will. But it will cost.
>>
>no trip
>no timestamp
>guise i'm not larping
>>
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>>136742229
How badly would the us military get destroyed by millions upon millions of nork solduers officers and generals?
>>
can you tell these fucking fat burgers that the coming war with the norks is just a damn smoke screen to kill the current regime and install "democracy" and put a kosher bank in the country?
Exactly like they did with gadafi and hitler?
>>
>>136744789
Okay, let's just say the U.S. retaliated with some limited air and artillery strikes. What are the chances of lil' Kim going full retard if that happens?
>>
>>136743763
>not larping
Okay, prove it then.
>>
>>136742229

Why would you work for the CIA?
>>
post your CIA id card, official email address and latest pay stub
>>
>>136742229
I call bullshit
We don't need a think tank
we have mattis
>>
>>136744921
DC itself is not fun unless your visiting. That's why I live in Arlington, which is also where I grew up as a kid.

>>136744988
Simple saber rattling from angry nationalists on both sides. Won't amount to an military conflict.

>>136744994
The US/NATO crossing or the fighting getting within a few miles of the Yalu river. In terms of positive or negative that's all up to the Chinese. If they attempt the reassert the old regime it'd mean war.

>>136745233
Best guess is a similar engagement like that of Yeonpyeong island. They would start with a limited bombardment of South Korean target before being silenced by South Korean airstrikes. What comes next is anyone's guess, but I think he may settle down after the first few JDAM's hit the ground.

>>136746050
The casualties for American would be several thousand, the casualties for South Koreans could be hundreds of thousands.
>>
>>136746319
Because I grew up in DC and watched 9/11 occur when I was a child. It's one of the defining moments of my life (inb4 inside job)
>>
>>136743763
no such thing as former CIA, intelligence is a lifestyle, so you showed your hand from the opening

you clicked out of turn, come back and explain the lifestyle and we can talk
>>
>>136744789
Wow you must be a former CIA analyst with info like this!
>>
>>136746943

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JnLcUxV1dPo
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>>136742229
Former OPFOR here. Not going into detail for the obvious reasons. The Norks have the capability of repelling any invasion attempt and effectively counterattacking the mainland USA and occupying portions of the PNW.
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>>136746472
How many low iq low class scum will be drafted rather than protesting?
Trump certaintly did not want to comply.
>>
>>136743417
"Hypothetical wars" are common files in every first world DoD. North Korea is just the trendy topic in US media because they have nothing else to spice up the news, but it's perfectly irrelevant.
>>
>>136746803
>several thousand
>1 million murrican casualties in vietnam army of non trained farmers
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>>136747316

if anything the miltia nutjobs are a proxy for the norks, thats the closest they could get to occupying the US
>>
What do you think about the US (Sarkozy and Clinton) causing this whole mess by getting rid of Gadaffi after he gave up his nuclear weapons program? Why are your colleagues so hell bent on regime change when it hasn't worked in the last 20 years.
>>
I can't take little Kim's threats seriously. If he was planning on nuking another country. Why on earth would he annouce it to the world? Seems to me that'd be a pretty dumb thing to do. Since now the opposing country can prepare a military response. Kim is just the fucking biggest fucking Larper in the world. He has to know if he attacks any country let alone nuking it. Would be the last thing he ever does. He just makes these threats to stay relavent.
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>>136747380
1/12 nork males are active military.
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>>136747212
KEK, and still burgers havent risen up.
>>
>>136742229
Okay, can the US economically cripple NK and thus making them capitulate without fight?
Question about the Balkans. War soon? What have the Americans planned for us. What is the future of my country?
>>
Is it true that the main concerns are not with actually fighting the Norks, but with insurgencies and the political drama that will ensue on who will get North Korea?
>>
>>136747863
>can the us cripple an internal ecobony that trades with china and russia
>>
>>136747731
and everyone else is reserves
>>
What is going on with Qatar and Saudi Arabia? What's the US stance on the whole issue?
>>
>>136747705

well the current panic was sparked by a DIA report passed to WaPo which then forced a response from Trump..

why doesn't the IC hold press conferences for this shit instead of being emasculated bitches relying on the media to tell the details and rile everyone up
>>
There's really no in-between to either leaving best Korea alone or mercifully killing as many as possible is there?

I'm not being hyperbolic about death being a mercy compared to forcing them to adapt to
S. Korean culture.
>>
>>136747962
>they can force them to stop, you know?
>>
>>136747956
First tell me howyou would fight the 9 million army of nork
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>>136747212
HAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHA
@2:40 You can see that the building starts to collapse with the penthouse on top first.
hahahaha
The top floor collapses first!!!
But seriously, this is obvious controlled demolition
Architects and engineers for 9/11 truth
>>
>>136743278
Will Trump win against the Deep State?

There are so many leaks. They are frustrating so much for him.

What does the CIA really think of him?

What do you think allies in Europe will do with America in relation to NK? I would really like to see a couple carriers in the strike force
>>
>>136744484
Is there any reason to believe that China doesn't have a secret agreement to extract Kim and his harem to a remote village as soon as the missiles start to fly?
It seems to me like the Norks are sacrificial pawns. The only country that benefits from American bases in the region going up in mushroom clouds are the Chinks who would fill the vacuum.
>>
Is WH Anon real
>>
>>136742229
Kill yourself LARPing faggot
>>
>>136748448
Kim does not fear US, KIM vs US OLIGARCHY are equally matched in power, russian oligarchy will displace murrican rulers in Europe
>>
>>136748210
air-strikes on artillery+massive military rush+realizing that a totalitarian dictatorship probably lies about it's military (like how Saddam claimed his men would fight to the last, then ended up completely collapsing and being forced to turn into insurgents)

The biggest problem is that the norks WOULD turn into insurgents even if we kill The Jong Dynasty, and most likely have stockpiled in Mountains for this occasion. I honestly believe that the Norks want us to invade them so they can restart the 'glorious revolution' from square one rather than try to fix their broken state
>>
>>136748675
Coca cola does not grant power nor does mcdonalds, only peoole grant power.
>>
Can you please tell us more about that NK nuke attack to Russia that happen no long ago and everybody black it? Like it was a misunderstanding right?
>>
>>136747316
Explain.
>>
>>136748746
>air strikes on artillery
Lots of artillery in underground bunkers...
>lies about it's military
DPRK propaganda brainwashes everyone... even defectors still support KJU and his government. They would indeed fight to the last man.
>jong dynasty
No such thing
>>
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>>136742229
can i brainwash north korea?
>>
>>136749104
Their is no enough nutrients to reprogram their brain
>>
>>136742229
Admit to us right here once and for all the plain and obvious and easily demonstrable fact that if North Korea would it do anything and attack anyone the US and others would take North Korea away from the current leadership some way or another with certainty

In light of this incontrovertible fact that North Korea would end and would stop to exist if they were to actually attack someone, the absolute only logical conclusion is that they would never ever ever ever ever ever ever do that under any circumstance except violent attack and maybe even then they would have absorb quite a few attacks before they would have to reach out and attacked back

Thus this entire focus on North Korea is a red herring a giant smelly disgusting grotesque red herring that is calling attention away from other issues like

China and other issues
>>
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>>136742873
>There will be no war, period.

The war never ended
>>
>>136742229
>Right now I see alot of bullshit on this board right now regarding war with the Norks
LARP

We aren't worried about NK. NK is an obvious distraction. What are they trying to keep us from paying attention to?
Russia is backed into a corner and far more likely to nuke us.
>>
>>136749436
NK is more than a match for the US their military is 9x larger than US military, North Korean US war would be a match that nk would win.
>>
>>136748946
80% of the USA population lives in the cities, formerly it was only 20%. This could have some important logistical consequences.
>>
>>136747316
>occupying PNW
I'd like to see them try. Too many guys here would be itching to LARP as militia guerrillas.
>>
>>136744484

Have there been thoughts about the benefits of California getting nuked? Google and other Transnational Corporations aiding the Deep State be crippled and the country will be rallied together, especially Left Wing Cali
>>
>>136749854
PNW includes Canada, specifically BC and Vancouver Island.
>>
>>136749275
This is the truth

North Korea has way more to lose by attacking

They will never do it except as a desperation move
>>
>>136742229
Stop larping.
If your aren't larping stop fucking individual countries and just give us a god damn world war ffs.
>>
>>136742229
>I used to work for govt
>Now I works for govt
>I don't work for govt

You dumb fucking nigger. Even if you weren't a LARPing faggot the only people willing to talk to you are the same libtards, newfags, and nigger loving kikes you brought here.
>>
>>136748780
Paper doesnt grant power either only people grant power.
>>
>>136747517
2/10 made me reply
https://www.archives.gov/research/military/vietnam-war/casualty-statistics.html
>>
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>>136742229
Is a joint operation between China and the US to remove Kim and unify the peninsula possible with the current administration and Chinese government? If not what would it take to make such an operation possible?
>>
Without nukes do you think the north koreans could hold everyone off? they got a massive army and terrain on their side.
>>
>>136748675
>Missing the point
North Korea nukes American bases and flees to China.
China sends troops to affected areas under the guise of humanitarian aid and builds its own bases, thereby breaking American containment.
America reduces North Korea to a smoldering crater, but never finds Kim's body because Kim is having drunken orgies with his favorite serving girls in some remote mountain village in China.
>>
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>>136747212
How can anybody watch this and deny that this was a controlled demolition with a straight face?
>>
>>136746943
Hey buddy, I have a phd in chemistry and after multiple first name papers in basically datamining I decided to jump out of the field and get a jd. Always wanted to join the fbi, was ex military. Whats the best way to join up?
>>
Bump
Comeback, CIAnigger
>>
>>136742229

What's general status of US penetration of NK on humint side of things (very generally)?

What is/was US best guess of NK reaction to US Decapitation ack on little fat boy?

What is China's end game? If little fat boy goes down, is there realistic chance of China taking over NK? Why couldn't the US offer this up? China joins USA to take out little fat boy in exchange to China taking over NK with buffer zone remaining with US troops?

What can be done about NK conventional artillery batteries pointed at the South which I understand are plentiful and dispersed?
>>
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>>136742229
Why are Norks saying it's safe for US citizens to travel while at the same time treating to bomb the US?

Outside of the need of tourism money of course.

Where can I watch Korean State Television? It's always referenced but never displayed.
>>
>>136742229
>US government think tank
>think tanks are private
fuck outta here.
>>
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Trump is bluffing about bombing NK while Seal Team 6 sneaks in and takes out Kim.

Smart.. Keep their eyes in the sky.
>>
Why do people tend to forget that North Korea has the largest number of submarines next to the US/Russia? All they need is to shoehorn a nuke into an slbm and they've got second strike capability. Even without it they can still launch a massive attack on US pacific trade routes.
>>
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>>136755090
If seal team 6 could take out Kim they would have done so years ago. Would be sweet but not an option.
>>
>>136755090
What is the design on the septor thing he is holding? Does it mean something?
>>
>>136756306
Threat was no real mminent threat before. Now there is.

BREAKING: North Korea says it will complete plan to fire missiles near U.S. territory Guam by mid-august calls Presidnt Trump's warning a 'load of nonsense'.
>>
>>136742229
Why were Fortune 500s given the all seeing eye?
>>
>>136756517
IDK, but it reminded me of one of those ancient artifacts in Assassin's Creed.
>>
>>136756610
I'm definitely no expert but I think the problem is getting seal team 6 there without anyone noticing. Plus his palace is like a fortress. A ground invasion is probably the only way to get to him. Maybe some spy could poison him or something but he's probably super paranoid.
>>
>>136742229
If there is an attack on Guam how quickly could the US respond with force?
>>
>>136742229
CIA analysts probably have to be smarter than the average larper who thinks "alot" is a word
>>
>>136742229
The real strategy North Korea is employing is for people to get "used to" Kim threatening them, with the assumption that people don't mind something once they get used to it. That's when the real danger comes, because of what it would imply if one doesn't mind being threatened.
>>
>>136742229
Is this North Korea shit being done to distract us from something else? Like say, the shit going down with Google right now? Its pretty much common knowledge you guys work very closely with them.
>>
>>136742229
alot
>>
>>136742798
max fucking par
>>
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>>136742229
Post letterhead
>You write like a white...prove you had clearance by posting legit letterhead
>>
>>136742229
Why does US treats North Korea much nicely than Iran?
>>
>>136742229
Why doesn't the media mention that norks have submarines cabable of firing SLBMs?

If shit hits the fan, whats stopping them from leveling major cities on the west coast?

I mean, their country has been getting ready for another war for a long ass time, they aren't as incapable as the media makes them out to be.

It won't be just T-34's and norks with sticks and bolt-action rifles.
>>
>>136742229
No such thing as ex-CIA fag. Once you're in your in for life. Nice try though LARPer
>>
>>136744484
>. If tomorrow the US, Japan, and South Korea were to storm across the DMZ

you're mentally ill if you think south korea would ever fight alongside Japan
>>
>>136749684
It doesn't matter how big your army is if you can't support it logistically. Once the AA is gone it will be fish in a barrel. Norks will be demoralized within a few days.
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