>Question Time Special Tonight: Corbyn v May 20:30BST BBC 1
>Corbyn bursts throug 40% in latest poll:
https://blogs.spectator.co.uk/2017/06/corbyn-bursts-40-per-cent-latest-ipsos-mori-poll/
>Asian Men lead away and rape woman in London
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/av/uk-england-london-40135219/woman-led-away-by-men-who-raped-her-in-covent-garden
>'Impartial' BBC leads attack on the Tories:
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4564762/Impartial-BBC-s-relentless-attack-Tories.html
>Tory candidate South Thanet charged over expenses:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-kent-40129826
>PM accused of being submissive to Donald Trump:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-40128356
>More noncery at the BBC
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-40134571
>Manchester Police find a significant car in terror investigation:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-40132725
>EU will bypass Trump administration following Paris pullout:
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2017/jun/02/european-leaders-vow-to-keep-fighting-global-warming-despite-us-withdrawal
>Latest Peter Hitchens and Owen Jones:
http://hitchensblog.mailonsunday.co.uk/2017/05/happy-oak-apple-day.html
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/jun/02/tories-school-education-cuts
>BBC Question Time 01/06/17
http://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/b08sh4g1/question-time-01062017
>>128143637
Always archive or receive the punishment of this land. Thank you.
>https://theguardian com/environment/2017/jun/02/european-leaders-vow-to-keep-fighting-global-warming-despite-us-withdrawal
https://archive.is/QlBD7
>https://theguardian com/commentisfree/2017/jun/02/tories-school-education-cuts
https://archive.is/fYV3t
>>128143649
>guardian
no thanks
Imperial leather
Meat's not murder. You're an idiot.
Meat is faunaslaughter.
>>128143955
>tfwnabb
>>128143942
Nice, loving the Morrisey pic.
He made a very good post about the Manchester attacks. Could not of put it any better
>>128143955
the bf
>>128143637
Fuck, IPSO isn't a retarded company like Yougov.
Imagine Corbyn and co running the country for a whole 5 years. Jesus.
>>128143908
pack it in soft shite
>>128143955
Naughty corbyn!
Thank God for UKIP
>>128144127
>architects not supporting the green party
They're pretty right wing for a brighton band then
just saw someone on fb post saying vote for the party that benefits you most. While promoting labour, even my flatmates are voting labour for themselves do i point out the irony in all this
>>128144203
wtf i'm voting labour now
>>128144127
Who?
>Rule Britannia! Britannia rule the wa-
>tfw when Labour have a 20k majority in your constituency
not even worth voting lads
What did he mean by this?
>>128144249
They're just Randians
>>128143637
>BBC Question Time 01/06/17
>http://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/b08sh4g1/question-time-01062017
anyone got a link to last night's TW ?
Imagine 4 pakis all wanking into Karen's face at the same time, and shooting their sticky loads into her eyes and hair.
>>128144073
the absolute STATE
>>128143942
Karen is pretty much the biggest kebabshop slut ther is.
>>128144044
Morrissey is a known racist
>>128144410
imagine 10 big white cocks shooting loads into karens body
>>128143793
>Hove here too
I thought I was the only one. How does it feel living so close to Sodom and Gommorah?
>>128144203
Vote Labour for halal meat, vote Tory for kosher meat, fuck's sake might as well vote lib dem at this point.
>>128144335
The variance in the pollsters numbers basically means one of them is right and the rest are wrong
At the moment no one can know which is correct. All of the have sophisticated statisticians working for them and they all believe their methods will work so its quite surprisingly the difference really
>>128144489
bit rude
>when the boss man gives you an extra wing and it's hench as fuck
>when dem chips are crispy
>AH GIVE IT A FOWA POINT FREE
>>128144058
How will we ever recover
Official Thread Theme
>https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5PjZ-6UvGK8
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5PjZ-6UvGK8
>https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5PjZ-6UvGK8
>>128144410
>>128144514
Delete this.
>>128144522
So basically this election is going to be like 2015 but at least one of the pollsters are right?
>>128144514
Karen grew bored with white cock when she was about 12.
>>128144546
Now she's into scat.
>>128144301
vote ukip in that case
I know who I'm voting for
Friendly reminder to the cucks and nonwhites that all niggers must fucking hang.
R8 my meme attempt, goyz.
>>128144518
>vote lib dem for a spunky veggie burger
>>128144513
>>128144654
Well unless Labour are doing better than Yougov predict (unlikely), one of the pollsters probably have the result more or less correct
>hey, may I ask who you're voting for in the upcoming election?
>"mind your own fucking business"
Being a UK pollster must be suffering.
>>128144517
> How does it feel living so close to Sodom and Gommorah?
i thought that was me
>>128144335
That the recent polls showing Labour gains are going to be wrong and everyone is going to be asking on June 9th why
>>128144522
Pollsters in Britain are shit, they are out by an average of 6 points, far higher than the US or any other Western country.
The problem is that we have constituencies where some people are very tribal. Are they only polling in marginal constituencies? Then you have local factors to consider.
I trust Ashcroft's polling more because he goes in dept and does a lot more people but yougov tried to do the same and we got an absolute shitshow.
If the exit poll does not show one party having a 6% lead then do not consider it done and dusted until the last seat is announced.
>>128144705
shit photoshop commiecuck
>tfw may loses because of her self-sabotage
>>128144695
Looking forward to English independence
>>128144698
Can you imagine living around them? Constant noise and fighting, thank God I live in a rural area.
>>128144705
Eh. Not great
>>128144755
Yes, I have seen Funland, how much of it is true?
>>128144335
who's been taking bungs to generate fake hype?
>>128144797
Paisley was a terrorist sympathiser.
It's incredible you lads support him, yet simultaneously chastise Corbyn for his association with a purely political organisation such a Sinn Fein.
Fish wars when?
>>128144559
>not foowa point tree
>>128144093
Nah, they'll be posing for a photo and get into a freak accident, possibly involving a falling piano
Then Watson takes over and everything goes back to normal
>>128144933
Sinn Fein started it, Paisley reacted in kind.
>inb4 muh 1.5 billion potatoes lost in famine
>>128144922
you only see it if you know where to look. which isnt that hard in the end.
>>128144772
The YouGov forecast was utter wank when you actually look into what it said for individual seats
>>128144934
I would unironically go to war over fisheries. The STATE of british coastal towns is one of the worst things about modern britain.
>>128144934
when we vote UKIP
>>128144934
>French right to use British water
hmmmm
>>128144934
I fucking hope whomever wins the election puts "fire a third of our arsenal at France" on their letters of last response
>>128144934
>you will unironically be able to fight the french like in the old days
Best timeline lads.
>>128145053
I do wonder how they can predict 650 seats when polling 1000 people
>>128143637
Stop having free will.
YOU GOV YES
O
U
GOV
O
V
YOU GOV YES
E
S
>>128144934
How in any way can this be argued? "Our industry will suffer if we can't freely use your resource"?
So?
>>128145141
*last resort
>ahem
>>128144933
Shouldn't that be LondonderryLad?
>>128145053
the current yougov model alledgedly predicted brexit right, but we shall see.
There is basically no way of knowng who is right until the day now, the pollsters have gone to war with each other, unlike the crowding effect of 2015
>when the boss man gives you extra chicken pakora
>when dem chips are crispy
>I GIVE IT أربعة من خمسة
>>128144300
>rule the waves
>by using aircraft
guided missiles were a mistake
I just want a war. I don't really care over what or with whom, just so long as we get a war; we're long overdue one, massively overdue.
>>128145201
Karen is cute!
CUTE!
>>128144518
>vote Tory for kosher meat
They don't mind halal either
>>128145201
The Tories will reign supreme.
is buying from poo in loo off licences bad?
>>128145045
Paisley and his loyalist ilk bear sole responsibility for the bloodshed in the Troubles.
They supported the discrimination against Catholics, they attacked civil rights marches, they tried to keep proud Irishmen down.
They reaped what they had sown.
>>128145155
>unironically having naval battles with france
Yes please.
>>128145201
>1 seat for ukip
Let's hope for that at least
>>128145201
Ashcroft was always the most accurate.
>>128143637
>>128145228
There's no such place.
>>128145219
They will try and make it so that we only have access to 20 miles distance worth of water, basically nothing, Norway and Iceland have 200 miles if I remember.
>>128144934
Fucking try it you jumped up little shits.
>>128145282
Even with a hot load of paki spunk in her gob, dribbling out the sides all down her tits?
>>128144934
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1993_Cherbourg_incident
We'll win again.
>>128145267
I want a war before I get too old and useless.
>>128145296
Depends whether or not you want to poos to prosper in this country, or not.
Personally, I don't mind poos so long as they're not muslim filth.
>>128145201
>>128145338
>Labour <200 seats
>LibDem <5
please god please
Post corbyn + Abbott memes
>>128145399
>bingbongs want to defend their fishing waters from the frogs
>they literally have to phone up Trump and beg big brother America to come and protect them
>>128145165
Its not all that unreasonable statistically speaking, you can work out precisely thw ratios of liquids in a mixture from a single drop, provided it is well mixed
the well mixed is the hard part when it comes to sampling.
The BES do proper stratified random sampling and always get it spot on, so the problem is definitely a sampling issue
>>128145165
The don't predict seats, they predict percentages. The You gov poll that said hung parliament had a sample size of 53,000
>>128145300
>muh civil rights marches
Nice pipe bomb paddy. Reminder that Martin McGuinness fired the first shot from a Thompson Machinegun on Bloody Sunday
>get a text on a Friday afternoon
>maybe its a friend asking to go out for a drink
>GET 50% OFF 14 INCH PIZZAS USING PROMO CODE "TASTY"
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/election-2017-latest-liberal-democrat-candidate-susan-king-telford-shropshire-claims-tap-water-a7769006.html
>Election 2017: Liberal Democrat candidate claims 'tap water is changing people's sexuality'
>A Liberal Democrat parliamentary candidate has said she believes “feminising hormones in the water supply” are affecting people’s sexuality.
>>128145595
Please use archive
>http://independent co uk/news/uk/politics/election-2017-latest-liberal-democrat-candidate-susan-king-telford-shropshire-claims-tap-water-a7769006.html
https://archive.is/9GQYm
So then, who would you rather shag:
Diane Abbott or Nicola Sturgeon?
>>128144203
>jewish news
>free
something's afoot
>>128145556
>mfw you will never be pegged by diane in corbyn's 'potting' shed
>>128145586
Nope, the Irish were poked and poked by Loyalist violence, and eventually they snapped.
You Brits only ever had yourselves to blame tbqh.
>>128145588
aww, I'd go out for a drink with you, but I'm afraid Sharia Law forbids it.
>>128145368
>>128145644
Probably comes out of our taxes.
>>128145238
>Halal meat
larpers are the worst kind of scum here
>>128144203
Based Jezza
Need to nuke ireland desu
>>128145588
That's okay, with no mates you can eat the 14" pizza all to yourself, you fat cunt.
>>128145715
You wouldn't enjoy it lad, we serve alcohol in our pubs.
>>128145360
really?
>Believing YouGov
>>128145238
Why are kebabs so shit in Britain? At least in Germany the Kebabs use real meat and actually taste nice.
>>128145360
I remember last election where all the lib dems were attacking Ashcroft for only predicting them 24 seats
>>128145586
>Marty congratulated by the Queen
>>128145595
The lib Dems really do hate buggery
>>128145588
>get a text on a Friday afternoon
>its an invite to a festival tomorrow
Score
>>128145595
http://metro.co.uk/2017/05/20/tory-candidate-linked-to-notorious-gay-cures-church-6650160/
>A Tory candidate has accused of being a prominent member of a church linked to so-called ‘gay cures’
>>128145873
I thought 2015 was predicted to be a hung parliament?
>>128145873
YouGov was the closest out of those, though.
>>128145928
>http://metro.co.uk/2017/05/20/tory-candidate-linked-to-notorious-gay-cures-church-6650160/
That's my candidate lads. How jealous are you lot?
>>128146015
Stay jealous m8 i got are mogg
>>128145558
>Needing anyone to beat a country that claims one of their tanks biggest selling points is it's the fastest in reverse.
The war would be over in time for tea and crumpets m8.
>>128145735
The Brits are too frightened of the wrath of the Irish, so they wimped out and now refer to it alternating between Derry and L*ndonDerry.
Nice stiff upper lip lads haha
>>128145877
You know there's doner and shish, one is processed and one is "real" right?
Who here /comfy/ seaside dweller?
>>128145614
Sturgeon
I bet her minge is actually quite tight and she'd want you to spaff your beans inside her
>>128145928
>http://metro.co.uk/2017/05/20/tory-candidate-linked-to-notorious-gay-cures-church-6650160/
>>A Tory candidate has accused of being a prominent member of a church linked to practicing it's own religion.
Disgusting tbqh
>>128146015
It's nice to see there are some conservatives left in the Conservative party.
>>128145614
>>128145941
Even the exit poll put them on only 316
>>128145941
>>128145941
That was the result, but yeah they didn't predict Tory majority, but a minority was common belief
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/06/02/upshot/how-to-raise-a-feminist-son.html
reason I never got into politics is could be the only MP running and it'd still be a hung parliament [aubergine emoji] #likeababysarm
>>128145500
Someone needs to brand a real bitter like this.
>>128146046
That's pretty good lad, but he's a shameless carpet-bagger. My candidate actually lives and works in the area.
Women's Equality Party
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7rxscgb-I-0&index=52&list=PL0vcsrxTSWngWLpHcLnnncafNsgUybC3M
>>128145941
>>128146008
Sorry lads, should have mention this is the 2017 predictions.
https://twitter.com/LadPolitics/status/870578829244452864
>>128146046
>cathcuck
>pro snoopers
>patron saint of le redditories
>jealous
>>128145873
Look like they all fucked up
Are Nige was robbed.
So basically the Tories are going to win even on a bad day.
>>128146086
Bit jell desu lad.
>>128146095
Does that refer to Abbot/ Sturgeon?
>>128146046
>>128146015
I have Kwasi.
>150 hours until polls close
>>128146182
post more blissful niges
Remember to save this picture to marvel at on election night.
>>128146233
Almost certainly provided the youngsters don't turn out.
>>128146086
Me lad
>>128146187
>divides labour vote
Commence acquiring armaments
>>128146264
C I V I C
>>128146206
Ahh, that makes more sense
>>128146187
>>128145665
More
>>128146046
>Rees-Mogg is just another corporate puppet-in-parliament. In his case lobbying for degenerate tobacco companies without declaring an interest
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/people/tory-backbench-mp-jacob-rees-mogg-failed-to-declare-interests-9923362.html
Not. at. all.
>>128146263
Lad... are you thick?
>>128146340
Youth turnout is irrelevant pal keep up.
>>128146407
Please use archive or receive the punishment of this land
>http://independent co uk/news/people/tory-backbench-mp-jacob-rees-mogg-failed-to-declare-interests-9923362.html
https://archive.is/UjTpd
I'm thinking of moving to the Republic lads.
Just inherited a big plot of land down in Cavan from the grandparent. Thinking of building a /comfy/ rural estate to be honest.
>>128146399
I really don't get it
>>128146325
>Edinburgh going lib dem
Don't know whether to laugh or cry desu
Jesus Christ.
What exactly went wrong for Theresa May that the conservatives were predicted with ~400 that they now are predicted with ~360?
Not promising enough gibs?
Not appearing in the debate?
The new Ashcroft poll is out by the way.
Get looking at the interesting constituencies.
http://lordashcroftpolls.com/2017/06/ashcroft-model-update-new-potential-majorities-seat-seat-estimates/#more-15301
>>128146420
Not really. If the youth vote turns out in huge numbers everywhere that's going to have a major effect, especially because the youth vote is more heavily pro-Labour than the over 65 is pro-Tory.
Labour victory would still be a long-shot, but YouGov model shows the effect the youth vote could have.
oy vey
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5XfFBXlnfKc
Its going to be a hollow victory, i know Tory will win but it wont the btfo of Labour like i was hoping.
>>128146281
>>128146224
If he got that seat, he would
>Still be leader
>PMQ highlights
>Be able to keep the existence of UKIP eternal, like the greens but progress would be made over time
>This time more UKIP MP's would've been elected as people would've seen that it's not a wasted vote
Why the fuck does every piece of fabric bearing St. George's Cross have "ENGLUND" written on it? It looks ridiculous.
>>128146557
You didn't even read the picture did you? It doesn't matter if the youth turnout as all it is going to do is give Labour bigger majorities in their own safe seats.
What's for breakfast, brit/pol/?
Hope you don't eat cardboard boxed paki foods for breakfast too.
>>128146560
>jews with Scottish accents
sounds scary
>>128146628
The S*n.
>>128146528
You should be unsurprised, LD 6% behind SNP, SNP set to be down about 10% from last election and unionist voters likely to gather behind main opposition in the seat if they aren't retarded.
>>128146663
>ketchup on egg
>>128146628
Sometimes I think I'm Milanese by accident.
>>128146570
>>128146529
>She's wholly unconvincing as leader. She shakes, she's twitchy, habitually nervous, constantly stutters etc.
>Is seen as someone who repeats slogans, and when quizzed can't find the words to express her points so seems like a bit of a twonk.
>This isn't the Brexit election people expected it to be
>People actually get to hear Corbyn now without a media filter
>>128146663
>hamburgers and popcorn for breakfast
Yeah best stick some tomato on the side wouldn't want to be unhealthy.
Please please please for once I want Labout to win a seat.
>>128146663
those eggs are drier than that girl you asked if she wanted to see your warhammer minis
>>128143942
>>128146740
Should I hold my nose and vote lib dem to fuck the snp then? Tories have no chance here.
>>128146645
>This
Can't wait for the tears lads.
>>128146645
I read the picture. Read my post again, sweetie.
>>128146663
Nice strawberries, fag
>>128146325
>lib dem
>15 seats
lmao fuck off tim
>>128146663
>3 eggs scrambled
>2 rashers bacon smoked, chopped
>1 red bell pepper diced
>1 red chilli sliced
>1 tbsp oyster sauce
>1 tbsp dark soy sauce
>1 bag golden vegetable rice
>>128146628
The newspapers give them all out when there's football on
>https://www.reddit.com/r/unitedkingdom/comments/6em57k/nigel_farage_is_person_of_interest_in_fbi/
Why do I keep checking this shite? They genuinely think the pesky Russians caused Brexit...
>>128146570
>>128146182
>nige will never give you a warm drunken hug
cant go on lads
>>128146560
Why do gentiles even care about "anti-Semitism" so much?
>>128146789
>ketchup
>>128146325
Is that the site owner's prediction?
>>128146419
>It's haggis
>But it's big, dark coloured and shit looks like it's coming out of it
>>128146444
Why would you do that, when you can live a WE WUZ KANGS lifestyle funded by the English taxpayer?
>>128146920
Yes
>>128146800
>>128146529
>What exactly went wrong for Theresa May
No charisma, constantly repeating a slogan (strong and stable) which she then demolished by doing a u-turn on a manifesto pledge, Corbyn discovering the wonders of acting like a normal human being rather than a dementia ridden old man, May making it about her vs Corbyn and keeping all the interesting Conservative MPs in the backgrond etc.
>>128146930
It's not going to have an effect hence the picture dumb arse.
>>128147005
Fair enough.
>>128146871
That can't be right. Lucas is very popular (sadly) and Labour's candidate is a 21-year old dreadlocked student. Most of the students will be away for summer, so not voting in Brighton, so I'm interested to see how the vote turns out.
>>128146824
To think I actually believed you before the last one.
Corbyn without the media filter is Corbyn with the media filter. And the choice of Diane "Mao did nothing wrong, Al Qaeda are just dissenters" Abbott just proves it.
>>128146493
They are saying that men only work enough for the right but get the bigger one (left) and even though women do the same they get the smaller one (right) because of male privelage they phrased it in such a retarded manner, no wonder its the womens party
>>128146871
AHAHAHA!
This is the labour candidate running against Caroline Lucas
>>128146997
One day lad, one day.....
Thunder out in the east and dark cloud, are we going to have a stormy one this evening?
Goodbye Nick Clegg
>>128144093
>Imagine Corbyn and co running the country for a whole 5 years. Jesus.
OHOHOHO I AM BABY
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zemmL-e8e94
>>128147034
>mfw nigeposting never gets old
>>128146986
>Nobody could possibly disagree with my obviously sensible views unless an outside force brainwashed them.
If they are forced to concede there are legitimate points to be made against the EU they will have to accept everyone who voted leave isn't racist, and that will destroy the simple worldview they enjoy.
The Russia story provides an easy way out. "ah, 52% of the population aren't racist, they were just brainwashed by an evil, racist, homophobic, police state that is simultaneously a regional power and superpower"
>>128146789
Vile tbqh lad
How do i do the seat prediction thing what website
>>128147222
Is that fucking parallel universe Lister?
>>128147246
I hope so. It'll cool the air down a bit.
I bet Corbyn likes pineapple on pizza.
Disgusting.
>>128146920
Yes, always vote to fuck the SNP.
What's worse, a Lib Dem MP or Scotland leaving the UK and being under SNP rule?
>>128146956
Lib Dem votes are super stacked in London and the South East and faltering SNP votes should return those two in Scotland. Being non-existant in areas like the North East and East Midlands means fuck all as long as you're present in the right places.
>>128147005
My prediction using regional polling data, adjusted in line with country-wide polling data changes if it's older than this week.
Fingers crossed this is right and cuntface robertson loses.
>>128147252
Are Lord Ashcroft polls actually considered reliable/valuable? If so, I think my constituency might go blue.
>>128147204
Not really, lad. Most people didn't really get to hear Corbyn speak at length, instead reading about him in the Sun or the Mail.
Now they actually hear his other views that aren't publicised some people are coming round to him.
Diane Abbott is a complete retard and so they e taken her out of the spotlight recently.
>>128147443
A lot more prestigious than fucking yougov.
>>128145558
I think I've found my new normiebook profile picture.
>>128147443
He's a biased tory mong
>>128147300
>mfw Labour supporters think they have a chance.
>trying to lose weight
>order some DNP online
>just had 2 scoops
>heart is racing and I feel hot
Is this normal?
>>128147155
It is going to have an effect you dullard.
If the youth vote turn out at a higher level, constituencies that only voted Tory by a few percentage points will now elect labour MPs.
>>128147221
I get the premise, but why the fucking ham burger
Is it a shoop?
>>128147546
natural selection at work here folks
>>128147492
I know he's a tory but surely he would have more to gain by showing the Tories in trouble if he wanted to influence opinion?
>>128147536
>mfw when Labour collapses this summer
>>128147376
Aye, some wogs might drown too if there's enough of it.
>>128147222
Parties always put the meme candidates in seats they'll know they will never win
>>128145558
>thinking we need your help to fight the french
It's a naturally instinct ya fucking mong.
>>128147596
Except you are wrong as the old people in those constituencies outnumber the young people and will vote Tory 3/1 over Labour.
You're not very bright are you?
>>128147546
I mean it's a normal reaction to ingesting weedkiller, yeah
>>128147546
>DNP
http://www.nhs.uk/news/2013/09September/Pages/Warnings-issued-over-deadly-DNP-diet-drug.aspx
Warning signs of DNP poisoning
Warning signs include:
hot dry skin
excessive thirst
excessive sweating
abnormally fast heartbeat
rapid breathing
If you suspect a case of DNP poisoning immediately call 999 for an ambulance
>>128147616
They weren't even very big scoops, like perhaps a heaped tablespoon each.
>>128147660
>>128147614
It's symbolic for the pay gap and male privelage. I dont know why the fucking ham burger, just a thing people buy, like a cup of coffee so it relates more i guess
>>128147697
NEVER use diet drugs. Just stop fucking eating and exercise jesus christ
How's the election looking lads, also is the guy replacing Nigel a good leader, can he make the UKIP viable on a national scale?
>>128147005
My family are pretty well off lad so I just live off of the money churned out by the family business.
It's why I want to built a comfy house to live in with my gf, get some farm animals, and sit in front of the open fire.
>>128147546
I hope this is a joke. There's no cure for DNP poisoning, all they do is put you under so you can't feel your body cook itself.
>>128147708
>>128147644
No he just hates Corbyn and wants to show the public how fucked he is in his perception
>>128145201
>In an eye-catching Times story on 31 May, YouGov revealed a new model which predicts the Conservatives will only get 310 seats, leaving them short of a majority.
>Not only is this prediction notably different from the predictions from Electoral Calculus and others, but the methodology used is very different from normal polls. Traditional polls simply aim to calculate the fraction of the overall population which supports each of the major parties. And they do this with the standard market research techniques of asking questions and adding up how many people gave each answer.
>YouGov have tried something much more ambitious and modern. Using what they describe as multilevel regression and post-stratification analysis (which is reminiscent of the machine learning techniques of the big tech companies), they are trying to model how each individual voter in the country thinks. They need a big poll to do this (with a sample size of 50,000) plus regression against census demographics and British Election Study data.
>This approach looks similar to that used by Electoral Calculus to calculate EU Referendum voting at the locality and ward level, as well as the other political measures as described in our Thirty Extreme Places in Britain article.
>So Electoral Calculus salutes YouGov for their modern approach of combining polls and models to get richer and more insightful predictions. We will know next week whether their approach has got it exactly right this time. If it's right, then they will be justly celebrated. But even if it isn't, it is still the right thing to do and the method can be refined in future years to be more accurate. One day, maybe all polling will be like this.
>Nonetheless, and for the record, the Electoral Calculus prediction is still that the Conservatives will get a sizeable majority.
tl;dr - Electoral Calculus is praising YouGov's approach
>>128147443
I think he predicted a hung parliament in 2015.
He's very thorough but no pollster seems to be able to get the vote weighting right
>>128147376
More likely your just get horrible 100% humidity
>>128144695
>>128147546
>>trying to lose weight
>>order some DNP online
>>heart is racing and I feel hot
Fucking retard .If this is real go to A&E asap
>>128147806
Lovely profile shot
>>128147546
If you're not trolling get to A&E now
>>128147546
>Accordingly, DNP overdose will cause fatal hyperthermia, with body temperature rising to as high as 44 °C (111 °F) shortly before death.
>https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2,4-Dinitrophenol
hope you've done your postal vote lad
>>128147546
2 SCOOPS???
Feeling a bit hot, gonna sit down in a cold bath.
The best journalist in the world, John Pilger, kicks Thersa May's arse and drops so many red pills it destroys May, her lies, and the UK official narrative.
>http://21stcenturywire.com/2017/05/31/manchester-atrocity-lifts-rock-of-british-foreign-policy-reveals-faustian-alliance-with-extreme-islam-john-pilger/
>>128147546
>12% Survival rate
Gl m8 pray youre joking around
>>128147546
Call 999 if you're not lying
>>128147680
Again, if a constituency voted Tory by just a few percentage points last election, and this election youth vote is way up, the constituency will swing.
The fact over-65s outnumber them is irrelevant because the margins are often small.
>>128147708
>>128147806
>>128147546
Why can't you fat cunts just do it normally? Why rush it? You didn't rush getting fat - you put some real work into it - so why would you think getting it off would be different?
Good luck with the coma, lad. Fuckwit.
>>128147546
3 MORE SCOOPS CMON
>>128143942
This Canadian has no taste. Somebody please ban him.
>>128147919
Not now John.
>>128147813
I feel the problem is the method is new and modern, so it's untested and they have no previous data to use to improve it like a regular poll.
>>128147660
>mfw the Labour party split in two, never to be elected again.
Thousand years of right of centre lads.
>>128147546
You'll be alright lad.
The Benzene has just gone to your head tbqh
>>128147940
>>128147546
Maybe not 999, 111 for a non-emergency ambulance.
>>128148000
>>128147919
What do the government / police / MI5 gain from not tackling terrorism?
>>128147885
>>128148000
Loving these. Post more.
>>128148100
It is a fucking emergency you mong DNP Poisoning will cook you alive
>>128147953
No it won't because the older people will vote Tory in greater numbers meaning the swing goes the other way.
Why can't you understand this?
>>128146871
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_United_Kingdom_general_election,_2017#Brighton_Pavilion
Sorry
>>128148088
>mfw this could still happen one day
>>128148000
>>128148155
I have a folder with about 1009 Nigel memes. I won't run out lad ;)
>>128146399
this can't be real, surely?
>>128148100
If he has DNP poisoning he could literally die, 999 would be more appropriate
>>128147546
F
>>128148202
Oh, well rip
>>128147546
Th-that isn't funny, anon.
>>128148112
>>128148155
>>128148232
>>128148250
>>128148260
No, it's something I've been trying to create but it's a bit incoherent. I didn't mean to post it.
>>128148205
Not necessarily, and even if they do it depends by how much the youth swing to Labour.
>>128148298
Nigepost all your cares away lads.
>>128148100
lmao 50mg is enough to kill you and this retard ate TWO SCOOPS
>>128146399
replace images with a penis and a vag and post in trap hangouts
>>128148112
>>128148231
Tory landslide victory incoming lads.
>>128147546
Delete all your porn.
>>128148373
whatever happens on June 8th lads, we will always have are Nige.
>>128148363
It doesn't because the swing from Labour to Tory of older people will cancel it out.
Lads. I think I know where the coked up 14/88 Paki from last night's QT came from.
>>128147827
>>128148376
TWO FUCKING SCOOPS YA DON'T GET TO GET TWO SCOOPS!!!!11!
>>128144755
fellow blackpudlian on pol?
Just ingested Weed killer and 3 pints of bleach and feel a bit sweaty lads? Is this normal
>>128148407
RARE NIGE
>>128148475
Gets a cucked response from UKIP lady, guess he's moving up the redpill chain to NA.
>>128148465
Depends how large the swing is of old people, and how large the swing and turnout of the youngsters is.
>>128148373
Savage
>>128144335
>I'M HANDING MYSELF IN, TERRY
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pntm3gvJ_60
>>128148501
>>128148543
I saw the post here >>>/fit/41658516 and it put me in hysterics at the idea of having two scoops of DNP, thought brit/pol/ would find it as funny.
Don't worry I'm not stupid enough to take DNP, let alone 2 scoops.
>>128143637
Please excuse my burger ignorance, but wasn't Labour considered a basically dead party not even a month or two ago? What changed that besides the Torie campaign, their gibs manifesto?
Are the polls fucking it all up again?
Off for my daily mediation lads.
>>128148475
Didn't watch QT last night as I was at a wedding, is it worth watching?
>>128148588
>depends depends depends
Not how high the Tories are polling with the elderly right now.
>56%
>>128148701
Media portrayed Theresa May as being 'strong and stable'. Exposure to the public in this campaign has made the public realise she's just an autist.
>>128148638
>>128148744
Depends how many elderly people are present and how many youngsters are present.
Getting high off huffing my smeg that's been marinated in my urine AMA
>>128148743
it was pretty good, davis was good
>>128148543
>Survived cancer
>Survived a plane crash
God still has much work for him to do lads.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OAxmorlCOn4&index=20&list=LLBPuItaapdMOts7jSyvTzgw
<
>>128148867
Young constituencies are mostly labour ultra-safe seats already
>>128148036
Your loss, imbecile.
>>128148501
>>128148854
It really is stunning how much of an autist she is. If she can get so far in politics, what's holding us back?
>>128148743
Quite possibly the best of the past 2 years. Based Audience members all round and one even brought in a file full of spreadsheets to attack Labour with.
Plus there was some Paki saying that he wants to kick all immigrants out.
>>128145372
They'll try but 200 mile EEA is international law.
>>128148876
>https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jenkem
What do you think of the lady who is living with Nige in London? Whether it's this lady or someone else, I hope he finds a qt gf soon.
>>128148494
lmao
>>128148858
>>128148900
>>128148900
Don't forget the car crash that ruined his legs.
>>128149034
>>128146789
It's nice. Don't overdo it.
>>128146833
pork patties and English muffins/cheese
>>128146885
Why can't you just be happy for me?
>>128146940
>implying
>>128146964
No trace of ethnics. Sounds good.
Start cooking if you haven't yet.
Any aesthetic Niges?
>>128145338
South thanet, Boston or Clacton?
>>128148960
wtf? is that you? why do you have a horn?
>>128143637
>LOOK AT THE RACISTS AND BIGOTS OVER THERE
>>128149066
>>128148494
Irish.......
>>128149128
>>128148475
These are Christians, they get bombed a lot. Girl on the right is a qt though.
>>128149128
All of them.
I hope none of you are voting for the racist UKIP inspired Tory party.
>>128149140
You
>>128149277
>>128149277
>>128149066
>yfw there will never be a HMS Farage
Fucking unbearable lads.
>>128149277
This.
>>128149344
>>128147443
He is top tier
>>128148475
>A literal Paki
>Asks poorly worded, albeit valid question about the students that went to the fake colleges, and if they're being deported
>*Audience boos*
>A-are you talking about removing people from this country
>'Immigration is good'
s-senpai c-can i post my penis here
>>128149582
Do it and we'll send it to GCHQ saying you posted it on a little kid's site.
>>128149582
i encourage it x
>>128149582
Nice VPN potato faggot.
>ireland might be putting a gay indian in charge of their country
Fucking massive hail in London lads
>>128149849
Hopefully it pisses it down on election day
>>128143637
http://trib.al/GcTfccx
BBC PROMITING KEKOLDRY
>>128149836
Proof that India was a mistake.
>>128149849
>that
>massive
southern fag
>>128149836
>>128149900
Wasn't there a storm on the Brexit day?
>>128150006
Shut up you filthy paki
>>128149849
>>128149900
>God, yet again, intervenes in our politics to safeguard Britain.
God truly is an Englishman lads.
>>128149582
Pls download my album
>>128150043
Yeah and then the next door was quite nice
Almost like the rain reflected the pessimism and then the sun came out for the good news
>>128150083
Hello Indian
>>128150043
it rained on the day of the vote, with a big storm that night. in the morning the sun was shining. bliss.
>>128150043
Yep, there was flooding in London too
>>128149900
Hopefully massive clouds will appear over all inner city areas.
>>128149234
She's 9
>>128150203
*next day
obvs
>>128150043
Yea
And the part where your disprosa lives got flooded
>>128150267
>>128148475
>pakis
Am I missing the new thread?
>>128150206
Everybody hates pakis, not just poos. You'd know that if you'd ever left your shithole of a country.
>>128147360
Undersmegged post
>>128150267
That will only turn him on even more
>>128148867
There are more old people and pensioners all vote, while you'll be lucky if half of under 30s do.
>>128149849
hope it's not like that tomorrow, got a festival to go too
>>128150236
Ah yes I remember my Remain friends taunting me on FB with pictures of flooding in my town saying I better not go and vote Leave as its too dangerous
Needless to say, I had the last laugh
Are we seriously ignoring this
>>128149993
>>128150206
I'm British (white) you oath
>>128150267
qt does not mean have sex with
>>128150361
Nope, we've gone to 400 posts with nobody realising
>pakis vs indians
>>128150472
FUNNY ISN'T IT?
>>128150547
Get on it lads
>>128150553
We white people love playing divide and conquer.
>>128150543
Course not, you'll just masturbate to the though of her being fucked by a pig
>>128150472
I'm making the new thread
>>128147546
>only 2 scoops
SCOOP BIG TO GET BIG CMON
>>128150547
>mfw when we Nigeposting this thread to almost 400 posts.
good job lads.
>>128150749
ignore this thread
wait for the real one