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Snap Judgment Episode Rating Thread: A Presentation Of Collected

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Thread replies: 59
Thread images: 38

>What is this thread?
This is a thread where I'm trying to get people to take a poll/survey that I'm running, while at the same time showing off data that I've collected from similar polls for your viewing pleasure.

>Where can I find this poll/survey?
Here
https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSc1P9aU-_dd2mcl8BJx4x7x0n1qUisLZmki83ACVAx2l73oOQ/viewform?usp=sf_link

>How long does it take?
It should take you approximately 15-20 minutes, I recomend having this link open in case you have trouble remembering what a specific episode was about
http://mlp.wikia.com/wiki/Friendship_is_Magic_animated_media#Episodes

>Can I take this even if I haven't watched certain episodes/certain seasons?
Yes.

It doesn't matter how much or how little of the show you've seen, your responses are still valuable. There are specific instructions on how to fill in everything if you haven't seen a particular episode or season, but the long and short of it is, "If you haven't seen an episode, leave the question related to it blank and move on, and if you haven't seen every episode in a season, leave the question related to that particular season blank and move on".

>What is this picture?
This is a chart showing the ratings people made on Season 7 Episode 5, "Flutteshy Leans In" I'll be posting the rest of the ones I have for this season, as well as all the ones I have for Season 6 as well, so feel free to check those out while your here.

>Where can I find these polls for individual episodes if I want to participate in the future?
Just jump into the episode sticky every Saturday at 12:00pm Eastern Standard Time. I'll also put the polls in here and in /mlpg/ as well as a few other threads.

Now, like I said, this is for Season 7 Episode 5, "Fluttershy Leans In"

There were 107 respondents and the average rating was 6.45. The standard deviation was 2.12 and the "split" was 26.2%/73.8%

>What does "split" mean?
In this case it means 26.2% of people rated 1-5 and 73.8% of people rated 6-10
>>
Now, moving backwards through Season 7, then I'll go through everything in Season 6 in numerical order...

Season Seven Episode Four "Rock Solid Friendship"

There were 307 respondents and the average rating was 7.88. The standard deviation was 1.98 and the "split" was 10.4%/89.6%

Also, before anyone asks?
>Do you have the data for the leaked episodes yet?
No.

It might seem strange, but I have a policy to only post these polls on the official release date of each episode. That being said, I would appreciate it if you guys who are watching the episodes double time with treehouse could take a minute every week on Saturday to swing by and leave a rating for each episode as they would appear normally.

It really helps me out.
>>
Season Seven Episode Three "A Flurry Of Emotions"

There were 219 respondents and the average rating was 6.40. The standard deviation was 2.07 and the "split" was 21.0%/79.0%
>>
Season Seven Episode Two "All Bottled Up"

There were 319 respondents and the average rating was 7.50. The standard deviation was 2.08 and the "split" was 14.1%/85.9%
>>
Season Seven Episode One "Celestial Advice"

There were 359 respondents and the average rating was 7.30. The standard deviation was 2.29 and the "split" was 17.3%/82.7%
>>
Ok, not for the Season 6 stuff.

For the record, I'm not super upset that I have to post this shit again. It's not it takes THAT long, and it gave me a chance to revise the OP a bit.

And also for the record, if you have any questions, comments, or concerns, then please post them in the thread and I'll respond to them as soon as possible.

Other than that, feel free to use this space to chill and discuss various episodes.

Firstly Season Six Episodes One & Two "The Crystalling

There were 260 respondents and the average rating was 5.98. The standard deviation was 2.09 and the "split" was 33.8%/66.2%
>>
Season Six Episode Three "The Gift of The Maud Pie"

There were 287 respondents and the average rating was 7.00. The standard deviation was 1.78 and the "split" was 19.2%/80.8%
>>
Season Six Episode Four "On Your Marks"

There were 191 respondents and the average rating was 6.56. The standard deviation was 1.81 and the "split" was 19.4%/80.6%
>>
Season Six Episode Five "Gauntlet of Fire

There were respondents 321 and the average rating was 7.93. The standard deviation was 1.75 and the "split" was 9.3%/90.7%
>>
Season Six Episode Six "No Second Prances"

There were 484 respondents and the average rating was 8.02. The standard deviation was 1.95 and the "split" was 9.5%/90.5%
>>
Season Six Episode Seven "Newbie Dash"

There were 268 respondents and the average rating was 5.95. The standard deviation was 2.39 and the "split" was 38.4%/61.6%
>>
Season Six Episode Eight "A Hearth's Warming Tail"

There were 376 respondents and the average rating was 7.26. The standard deviation was 2.54 and the "split" was 27.7%/72.3%

***
This particular one may have been subject to manipulation. However as there is no way to absolutely verify this the data shall stand as it is shown.
>>
Season Six Episode Nine "The Saddle Row Review"

There were 208 respondents and the average rating was 7.57. The standard deviation was 2.47 and the "split" was 21.2%/78.8%
>>
Season Six Episode Ten "Applejack's 'Day' Off"

There were 304 respondents and the average rating was 5.65. The standard deviation was 2.22 and the "split" was 42.8%/57.2%
>>
Season Six Episode Eleven "Flutter Brutter"

There were 281 respondents and the average rating was 6.52. The standard deviation was 2.30 and the "split" was 33.5%/66.5%
>>
Season Six Episode Twelve "Spice Up Your Life

There were 130 respondents and the average rating was 6.99. The standard deviation was 1.83 and the "split" was 16.2%/83.8%
>>
Season Six Episode Thirteen "Stranger Than Fan Fiction"

There were 184 respondents and the average rating was 7.97. The standard deviation was 1.82 and the "split" was 8.2%/91.8%
>>
Season Six Episode Fourteen "The Cart Before the Ponies"

There were 150 respondents and the average rating was 5.05. The standard deviation was 2.18 and the "split" was 57.7%/47.3%
>>
Season Six Episode Fifteen "28 Pranks Later"

There were 184 respondents and the average rating was 5.49. The standard deviation was 2.84 and the "split" was 44.6%/55.4%
>>
Season Six Episode Sixteen "The Times They Are A Changeling"

There were 258 respondents and the average rating was 6.58. The standard deviation was 2.87 and the "split" was 27.1%/72.9%
>>
Season Six Episode Seventeen "Dungeons & Discords"

There were 184 respondents and the average rating was 7.91. The standard deviation was 1.93 and the "split" was 10.9%/89.1%
>>
Season Six Episode Eighteen "Buckball Season"

There were 144 respondents and the average rating was 7.79. The standard deviation was and the "split" was 4.9%/95.1%
>>
Season Six Episode Nineteen "The Fault in Our Cutie Marks"

There were 156 respondents and the average rating was 7.67. The standard deviation was 1.93 and the "split" was 9.6%/90.4%
>>
Season Six Episode Twenty "Viva Las Pegasus"

There were 173 respondents and the average rating was 7.98. The standard deviation was 1.66 and the "split" was 8.1%/91.9%
>>
Season Six Episode Twenty-One "Every Little Thing She Does"

There were 230 respondents and the average rating was 7.39. The standard deviation was 2.16 and the "split" was 17.0%/83.0%
>>
Season Six Episode Twenty-Two "P.P.O.V. (Pony Point of View)"

There were 192 respondents and the average rating was 7.06. The standard deviation was 1.71 and the "split" was 14.1%/85.9%
>>
Season Six Episode Twenty-Three "Where the Apple Lies

There were 162 respondents and the average rating was 6.86. The standard deviation was 1.83 and the "split" was 16.0%/84.0%
>>
Season Six Episode Twenty-Four "Top Bolt"

There were 120 respondents and the average rating was 8.09. The standard deviation was 1.57 and the "split" was 3.3%/96.7%
>>
Season Six Episodes Twenty-Five & Twenty-Six "To Where and Back Again"

There were 157 respondents and the average rating was 8.03. The standard deviation was 2.11 and the "split" was 10.2%/89.8%
>>
Now, getting to the aggregate data for Season Six...

First off here's the average normalized response chart for Season Six. As it says on the graphic, this is essentially what you would get if you took all the data from each individual episode and mashed it all into one chart, as opposed to having twenty six different charts.

As it says here there were 5,373 responses in total and on average people rated episodes at 7.05. The standard deviation for the lot is 2.27 and the split is 20.7% to 79.3%

For those of you who are intrested in more exact figures, here's the breakdown of rating to the percent in numerical form.

1/10 = 4.40%
2/10 = 1.46%
3/10 = 2.80%
4/10 = 5.26%
5/10 = 6.80%
6/10 = 10.14%
7/10 = 18.22%
8/10 = 22.63%
9/10 = 17.64%
10/10 =10.65%
>>
Now, here are the response rates for each individual episode in order. That is to say, here's how many people responded to each strawpoll for comparison.

For the numberphiles here I'll repeat these numbers, though they are listed above.
E1&2 = 260
E3 = 287
E4 =191
E5 = 321
E6 = 484
E7 = 268
E8 = 376
E9 =208
E10 = 304
E11 = 281
E12 =130
E13 = 184
E14 = 150
E15 = 184
E16 = 258
E17 = 184
E18 = 144
E19 = 156
E20 = 173
E21 = 230
E22 = 192
E23 = 162
E24 = 120
E25&26 = 157
>>
And here's the average ratings of each episode in Season Six. Again, pretty self explanatory. Keep in mind the Y axis is zoomed.

I'll repeat the ratings here.
E1&2 = 5.98
E3 = 7.00
E4 = 6.56
E5 = 7.93
E6 = 8.02
E7 = 5.95
E8 = 7.26
E9 = 7.57
E10 = 5.65
E11 = 6.52
E12 = 6.99
E13 = 7.97
E14 = 5.05
E15 = 5.49
E16 = 6.58
E17 = 7.91
E18 = 7.79
E19 = 7.67
E20 = 7.98
E21 = 7.39
E22 = 7.06
E23 = 6.86
E24 = 8.09
E25&26 = 8.03

And again, the overall average would be 7.05
>>
One thing I wanted to briefly acknowledge is the big difference in response rates towards the beginning and end of the season.

As I'm sure some of you may have noticed the rate of responses consistently went down over the course of the season.

Some of you may be thinking the same thing I was thinking, and that would be does that have some sort of effect on the ratings? I.E. does a smaller pool appear to have a more significant bias than a larger pool or vice versa.

Well, I did this to check, and while it doesn't 100% disprove that hypothesis, it goes a long way to dismissing my fears there. Some of you probably know what this particular graphic represents, and I'm going to assume the rest of you don't care that much, so I won't go into detail unless someone is legitimatley curious.

Now, I'm definitley going to do aggregate charts for Season 7 as well, once I get the data. I'll do them both by themselves, and also intermingled with the Season 6 data for funzies.

For now, thank you for your time and consideration, and thank Christ for 4chan passes...
>>
Morning bump.

How many responses are you up to?
>>
>>30033972
31, I would like to get 50 at the absolute bare minimum
>>
SEASON 7 HATERS LITERALLY ON SUICIDE WATCH

B T F O
>>
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>>30035336
>People who are still here jerking to diaper porn still vote an average of 7 on most MLP episodes
Anon, allow me to explain why corollary and statistical data is among the weakest forms of scientific rigor...
>>
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>>30035561
Go on.
>>
>>30035336
Just because everyone agrees with you, doesn't mean you're right, and the opposite is true as well.

That being said, this is all subjective, so who is right and who is wrong is also subjective.

>>30035561
True, this is an opinion poll and there is nothing scientific about gathering opinions. What I might do with the data generated could be considered scientific in a sense, but even then it's not going to be able to tell us anything except general trends in what people are thinking. Even then those trends will at best be explanatory, and not predictive.
>>
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>>30035630
Oh. Well. I didn't think anyone actually cared.

The reason is because it generally can't control for any outside factors or even tell you what you're actually a recording. A good example here would be if anons still posting on /mlp/ post here because they still like the show. We KNOW that MLP is on an overall decline because sites like Equestria Daily are openly struggling and a lot of popular artists have moved on to new fandoms. But why is the decline?

You can't from this data whether people still enjoy episodes on a broad level. People who didn't like the episodes at all may not be present to comment. They may not be present to vote. They may not feel like it's worth the effort. Going further, we also don't know how many people are using 5 as a vote of average and how many are using 7 as a vote of average because of how the American school system teaches us a 70% is average.

In actual scientific fields corollary data is sexy for journal reports. It can imply things like "10 ways drinking coffee fights cancer!" which people will read and share around. But to actual scientists, all it does is indicate a trend that might deserve a real study.

All these data points anon is collected indicates nothing. We can observe some trends, but at best the trends serve as a starting point to build a hypothesis, and beyond that it's nothing conclusive.
>>
>>30035687
Interesting stuff, thanks. I often see people say that surveys which rely on self-reporting aren't useful because people tend to not be honest about themselves, whether they know it or not. Is that sort of in the same boat?
>>
>>30034040
>>30035682
In case it wasn't obvious, these are me. I was just too lazy to put the trip back on.

>>30035687
I do want to address a couple of things here.

>We KNOW that MLP is on an overall decline because sites like Equestria Daily are openly struggling and a lot of popular artists have moved on to new fandoms.
Just because specific sites are having issues with traffic and specific artists are moving onto other things doesn't nessarily mean that the fandom is on the decline.

For example, when you say that the fandom's decline is self evident because specific artists have moved onto other things, you're failing to take into account the fact that there are also new artists that come in and create new content in their place.

Now, you could argue that there are more people leaving than there are people joining at this point, and I would tentatively agree with you. However, I would also add the caveat that this is not happening nearly as fast as many people would have you beleive. Even then I would say that the rate of decline is slowing overtime. Suffice it to say that as time passes we're coming closer and closer to a point of equilibrium.

>You can't from this data whether people still enjoy episodes on a broad level. People who didn't like the episodes at all may not be present to comment. They may not be present to vote. They may not feel like it's worth the effort.
All good points.

>Going further, we also don't know how many people are using 5 as a vote of average and how many are using 7 as a vote of average because of how the American school system teaches us a 70% is average.
Which is one of the reasons that I fully intend on sharing my data with the power rankings Anon and using that to develop a better understanding of what exactly the ratings they've received and the ratings I've received mean in context.

>All these data points anon is collected indicates nothing.
Yee of little faith...
>>
>>30035860
>Yee of little faith...
Science isn't about faith. Statistical data means nothing because it's measuring a huge swatch of fluctuating factors. You could be getting variance in your data based on the day of the week, the time you post, and whether the episode leaked before you collected the data.

It's very close to meaningless unless you have a follow up to a real study.
>>
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>>30036014
>Science isn't about faith.
>pic related
No offense

> Statistical data means nothing because it's measuring a huge swatch of fluctuating factors. You could be getting variance in your data based on the day of the week, the time you post, and whether the episode leaked before you collected the data.
Which is why I try to minimize the variance by posting the polls in the same places weekly at the same times with the same syntax and using the same methods.

You're totally right though, the leaks fuck me over big time. I'm doing what I can to compinsate for it though, so hopefully it doesn't have a huge effect in the long run. Knowing my garbage luck it totally will though.

>It's very close to meaningless unless you have a follow up to a real study.
What would you consider a "real study" in this context?
>>
>>30036083
I really need to stop forgetting my trip...
>>
>>30036090
Is there any particular reason you're not making any Strawpolls for the accelerated pony?
And would making them to see what the Anons watching them early think of it right afterwards mess with anything on your end?
>>
>>30036112
>Is there any particular reason you're not making any Strawpolls for the accelerated pony?
It's becuase I want to get the largest sample sizes I possibly can. So posting the poll for the accelerated schedule would effectively cut the pool of potential respondents in half. By waiting for the official airdate it allows more people to watch it and thus increases the amount of respondents I can get. Also it would be a massive pain, but that's definitley a secondary thing. This shit is kind of tiring desu.

>And would making them to see what the Anons watching them early think of it right afterwards mess with anything on your end?
Ehh, kind of? Again, it's a pool of respondents thing. If I ask people who watch the episode early to rate it then, then I'm going to have a much harder time getting people to respond to it again when I post it for the official airdate. There are a lot of people who would look at the second poll and ignore it completley, either becuase they fail to understand that I need them to vote in both, or because they simply can't be asked to vote when they already did it once.

You would be surprised how apathetic people can be on 4chan. Case is the fact that I only have 32 responses for the big poll I'm running now, when it only takes 15-20 minutes to go through.

In case you're wondering why reason I'm so obsessive about getting as many responses as possible, it's because the more responses you have in the sample the more likley the sample is representative of the overall population. So the more responses I get, the more likley it is that any conclusions that I may draw from the data are valid. Which, as you can understand, makes it very important to get as much data as possible.

Suffice it to say, the leaks are going to fuck me over to a certain extent no matter what happens, but there's really nothing I can do about it other than keep a stiff upper lip and carry on.
>>
>>30036242
Fair enough. I'm not too sure how my post S7 episode ranking survey is going to end up if this season ends months early on Treehouse.
I'm debating whether I should poll twice and try and catch both groups as their minds are settling down, or wait and hope they stick around long enough for the rest to catch up. I feel you on the sample size point.
>>
>>30036350
I wish I could tell you what to do, but honestly either way it's a raw deal. It seems like no matter what happens we're going to get a fragmented and incomplete response.

Still, it's better than nothing and I respect your struggle, senpai.
>>
>>30036455
I have nothing against tripcodes on an ideological level, but fuck if it isn't annoying forgetting to reapply it every time you want to post anonymously in another thread...
>>
>>30036455
I'll try regardless. I like the massive amount of stats too much to let it go, and I know there's a few other Anons that do too. Just have to try and hope things can turn out okay.
>>
>>30036495
>Just have to try and hope things can turn out okay.
S-sure
>>
Bump before I forget.

There's also an episode screencap thread over >>30034571 if anyone wants to participate.
>>
Having people rate every episode takes time, and the thing is people don't really remember every episode all that well from the 100+ we now have.
>>
>>30037722
That's true. Though if someone feels they don't remember a specific episode well enough to leave a rating, then there's nothing stopping them from simply leaving it blank and moving on. I understand completley.

I expect nothing, much less perfection. I would be a fool if I did. Most people won't consider this thread or the poll I posted, that's fine. Though there will be some people who take the time to go through everything anyway, and all I ask from those people is that they try their best and hopefully take a moment of their time to remember how we got where we are so that we can maybe figure out where we're going.

Like the other Anon said, I just have to try to hope that things can turn out ok, right?

Hopefully we're going someplace nice.
>>
>>30038433
Are you the strawpoll guy or different?
>>
>>30038443
Yep, I'm him
>>
I have to go to sleep now, so I'll give one early bump before I go.

If someone could keep the thread up while I'm unconscious, it would be greatly appreciated. It would save me the trouble of reposting everything.
>>
damn
I dont know about the several factors of the fandom dying out

but consider yourself a part of the fandom because I've got to admit,you give your contribution here...

I dont like sucking someone ass but when someone's there putting some efforts on statistics out there without being asked at all after all these seasons,yeah....it's nice to have it there t b h

I wonder if you will survive until G4 ends but probs for lasting so much,even though nobody begs directly for it,someone is always behind for interest

just saying it as a lurker of these threads,yeah this post was a compliment
Thread posts: 59
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