Is betting on marine le pen a good idea for an 'investment'? It seems like a hugely +EV decision to me. Current potential payout is 4.5x bet. That means that the chance of her winning needs to be above 22.2% for it to be profitable. And realistically her chance is way above 22%. So why isnt everyone massively betting on her yet? Is there something i am missing?
It's a 50/50 chance
>either she wins or she doesn't
>>1967782
Exactly, i must be reaallllllyyyy unlucky not winning the lottery jackpot so far
>betting money on an old ugly bitch
also stop calling it investing if you are selling it within weeks
investments lasts years
>>1967739
Man, she has 0% chance winning. Her name is Le fucking Pen, nobody with this name can be the french president. Don't make any investment on her winning, that's just dumb and emotional.
t. frenchfag
>>1967820
>Her name is Le fucking Pen, nobody with this name can be the french president
>that's just dumb and emotional
>>1967782
If she has a 50% chance of winning than betting on a 4:1 odd is an incredibly wise choice
>>1967861
pic looks like my ex. cute.
>>1967966
You lose all of your money though, and not many of these bets go by very often.