What is everyone's thoughts on the health of the global economy, and why?
I'll start: It worries me that the USD is starting to slip against some major currencies, especially since the rest of the world isn't doing so hot at the moment.
Lets not get into debating whether anyone is right or wrong, lets just list out our thoughts on this and then each reader can do their own research on each statement put forward and conclude on their own whether to agree or not, yeah? Just curious to hear if any major events are going down that I have not heard of.
>>1413639
Although "Experts" say that there will be alot of sideways movement, a recession or sale on stocks generally requires a catalyst. A change in presidency to a president no one trusts, an actual raise in interest rates, the banking sector or the housing sector or the energy sector changing for the worse dramatically, or all of them together getting hit with something big. The economy looks good ATM, nothing really shaking investor confidence just yet.
Brexit, italian banking problems, lowered confidence in the EU because of immigrant problems, just pushes the USD higher because everywhere else looks like ****. Once everywhere else stops looking so problematic, investment will probably begin to go elsewhere.
>>1413639
World's starting to recover properly from the recession. Slowly. America's risking fucking the whole thing up by doubling down on the bad debt.
>>1413639
I found this exact same pic yesterday when I looked up moscato wine
The world is a collection of different economies interacting with each other.
There is no good news in Europe, there will be minimal growth until they decide whether they want to be a country or not. Japan has a serious growth problem due to demographics, culture and corporate greed, and there is a mass exodus of capital from China which might be a sign of instability.
The US is probably the most stable economy right now, aside from maybe Canada/Australia, but they have huge housing bubbles going down and a small 1% increase in interest rates could bankrupt a whole lot of people and cause a whole lot of problems.
If Trump wins there will be a brexit-style panic sell due to a loss of confidence in the economy which might trigger a whole bunch of bad shit globally. If Democrats get a supermajority (unlikely), then maybe we will get some serious fiscal stimulus which is desperately needed.
I want to be optimistic about the future, but there is no light at the end of the tunnel right now. Best to keep trucking through the sideways market and hope for the best.
It's fucked
The party will end soon