It's that time again faggots. I'll even help you out

switch doors, I dont want a goat as my wife. Afterall i'm not muslim

Stay

how do I take the car home if its wider than the door?

>>719411791
stay , the car has to be on the left. theres no way it would be in the middle

INB4
I want a goat
The other door is a goats ass
2 other things I can't remember

Rest assured retards will remind us what they are

Also always switch....
66% chance if you switch.

You just said that behind 2 there are goats, and behind 1 there is a shiny new car.

I'll go open number 1 friendo

>>719412105
But there is way

I'd probably go 'meeehhhh' and Id hear the goat from both doors mate

>>719412296
Ok.
33% chance of winning

Double that if you'd switch.

>>719411791
It is simple. Always switch. Because the change you picked the car is 33% and the chance you picked a goat is 66%. Therefore switching gives you a 66% chance that you had a goat behind your door and thus now a 66% chance you have the car.

So switch unless you are muslim

It doens't matter - the goats will have moved randomly while choosing. You can't make a goat stay still. There are clearly no walls behind the doors.

>>719412402
Not surprising that when opportunity presents itself, you make a weird noise and retreat into your chair

>>719412530
They can't wander.
I nailed their feet to the floor.

>>719412682
Inb4 vegan Nazism nonsense

>>719412456

Ok. I'm not a math guy.
How does a calculation like this reflect on real life?

It seems to me only by calculation there should be 66% chance.

In real life you'd still have a 50/50 percent chance, there are 2 doors. And there is no information that there should be a goat behind any of those two.
So with no extra info on the two doors that are left. It would be a 50/50 chance.

Am i wrong? Could someone explain?

>>719412402
ENG or AUS?
only one answer is acceptable.

You switch. Not cuz math and shit. Cuz you're an alfa and you dont stay on one thing long enought to get a band. Fuck bitchets get cars.

>>719412456
You'll always have a 33% chance. Switching it unknowingly won't increase your odds, anon.

>inb4

Marylin Savant's retarded.

>>719413002
You're wrong there. 33% from the beggining. And even if you stay on the choosen one you stay with a 50% chanse of havning right. Odds dosent change just cuz you switch.

>>719412826
You start with 66%, then recede I that to 50%

Simulation/calculation was right.
You explain how a 1/3 choice of 3 can yield a 1/2 result and ill.give you one trillion dollars

>>719413082
>Odds doesn't change just cuz you switch.
Yeah, that's my point.

>>719412826
while, there are three doors, 2 goats, 1 car.

so if you pick a door, there is a 33% chance of it being the car, and a 66% chance of being a goat. The host can always open 1 of the 2 goat doors. Without you knowing you picked the car. Than he asks you to switch. The 33% and 66% chance haven't changed. So you switch, having a 66% chance of selecting the car, because there was a 66% chance of you picking the goat. This will go well 66% of the time, and will fail 33% of the time. Simulate it in code, or do it on paper. You will see there is a 66% chance of you getting the car this way.

>>719413002
you obviously misread my text, luckily I have the explanation above.

I am not good with this, but should I guess the chance rises because the guy didn't open the other door for me? (meaning that this door could have the car, so he wouldn't open it)

>>719413211
Yeah, my point be wrong
But all them other fuckers being up in my motherfuckers jus make me know it more.

Nigger logic.
Is wrong, but not to them

>>719413120

But it seems to me theres two phases in this problem.

First you have the choice of 3 doors.
One goes away.

You get left with two doors, and the ability to choose either one.
The third option is practically gone.

How is it not a 50% percent chance then?
Genuinly interested.

>>719413211

Yeah I saw that. I was fuck that niggah, then I saw that you where right. Sorry bro. Move on.

>>719413236
You had a 33% chance of picking the prize.
You had a 66% chance of NOT picking the prize.
That means you have a 66% chance if you switch from your first choice.

>>719413463
That's wrong.

What's the odds of the door you choose having the prize?

>>719413213
>The 33% and 66% chance haven't changed.

But they would though. When he opens the door and we find a goat then the probability of the door that I chose being the car is now 50%. Yes 33% at the start but now I have the option to change my decision. I have 2 choices so 50%.

Again, damn

Also watch movie 21 exact problem explained
in detail.

>>719411791
1 fuck
2 marry
3 kill

>>719413782

But if I stay, dosent that make me chosee to stay on that door with 50% chance of having right?

>>719413782
Retard.
> I make you choose one of three different coins
>only one coin is the winner.
So you.choose a coin and have 1/3 chance of choosing the winner coin.

I now flip a coin you. Didn't pick and show you it's a loser....

Still 33% chance you chose the winner because you chose 1/3

The probablility doesn't mean anything, because he always chooses a door with no car, and the probability doesn't apply to the host, since he has no chance of opening the door to the car

>>719413710

I understand the math.
Mathematically it should be 66%.

But can anyone explain why it's not a 50% chance when in the second choosing you only have two options of which one is right and one is wrong.

>>719413782
If I didn't have the option to change my decision then It'd still be 33% but I do. This is why I hate statistics, it's practically arbitrary. You could flip a coin and get tails 9/10 of the times but the probability woulf still be 50%. Same thing with this; retards believed Marilyn's stats because they don't want to sound stupid even though it literally makes no sense. You can't tell the difference from a 66% probability to a 50% probability in choices like these irl. It may have seemed like it was 66% to some people but this goes back to my coin example. It's 50% until you provide with a coherent logical argument.

>>719414222
So what are you saying?
A whole lot of nothing so far

>>719414255
You can explain it to yourself by trying this at home.

It's super easy to try at home if you have 1 friend to help

>>719414207
Yes in your example it's 33% but in the goat example you have the option to CHANGE your decision out of TWO choices after the guy opens the doorr with the goat. TWO. Automatically becomes a 50% chance.

>>719414305
There is no reaction face to this level of mental fuckedupness.

Thus shit is far beyond retardation.

That's just plain stupid...

You had 33% when you had 3 doors.
Now, you have 50% when you have 2 doors.

There's no 66%-bullshit-thing here.

You have to take the new datas into account before doing any probability. The previous statement (3 doors, 2 wrong) can no longer be used, because it's no longer relevant. Now, you have 1 door, 1 wrong. That's 50/50.
End.

You obviously switch.
Choose 1 door
Choose 2 doors
What's retard would choose 1?

>>719414479

Trying at home will not solve my question.
I'm asking here.

>>719414699
yet he is not wrong

>>719411791
As always, this problem is presented wrong. Good job OP you fucking retard

>>719414255
This may be an easier way to think about it.
You pick door 1 - 33% chance to have car.
Door 2 + 3 - 66% to have car
Door 3 is revealed to be a goat.
Door 1 still 33% to have a car
But now door 2 is 66% chance to have a car since you know door 3 is a goat.

>>719415290
still not

>>719415392
still not what

>>719415070
This.

>>719415070
No, you misunderstand.
If your first choice had 33%, then it's 66% the car is one of the 2 door you DID NOT choose.
One of the doors you.did not choose will ALWAYS be opened.

So the door that you didn't choose (66%)
Only one left.
That door has 66%

Really Think about it before spouting nonenses.

It's a pretty simple answer.
When you made your first choice you had a 1/3 chance. That means that the other two doors had a combined chance of 2/3. When the host opens one of those doors he eliminates one of the options, but the simple fact is that at the start of this scenario you knew only that it was behind one of the doors. This is still true.
At this point you may say "Well now it's 1/2" but this is wrong. When you chose your first door you only knew it had a 1/3 chance. You KNOW that the other door has a 1/2 chance. This is the crux of the puzzle.

>>719411791
The first choice has the 33 % of being the correct one..but when a door is opened the probability change, for this reason switch door is the only choice mathematically correct

>>719413789
No, The explained it wrong as well, just like OP.
There is not enough information given here for switching to make a difference

File: roll (2).jpg (67KB, 600x450px)

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You're all being fucked with, they're wasting your time. When a goat door is revealed, that choice is known and discarded. The second door doesn't gain the third door's power like some fucking magic show, the choice changes to two doors.

33% changes to 50% when a goat door is revealed. Which number of the door doesn't matter at all.

>>719415392
Still is.

Unless you think magic is real.
>him do think magic is real because retard.

>>719415566
It is simple
But it's not simple to understand.
Hence the retards...

>>719415392
The opened goat door is part of the probability equation, you can't just take it out. To do so is a mental fallacy.

We are looking for the door with the car, never mind the goat for a second.
each door has a 33% chance for a car.
so Door 1 = 33% which means the remaining door 2+3 makes up the 66%. If you were to pick 2+3 as a package you'd have 66% chance for the car, and the host gives you a freebie telling you door 3 isn't the car.
Door 2 then has 66% chance.

>>719415604
Why do dumb fucks always say
"Not enough information"...

There is.
You don't understand the information.

>>719415688
The host always opens a door with a goat though, never a car. He knows whats behind all 3 doors

>>719416000

It only works if A, the host always opens a door and B, there's always a goat behind that door

You don't know this though

Someone should set up a game show and only offer the switch when they've selected a car. It would shut all you braindead fucktards up

>>719416007
That matters none. Don't try to change the rules or add in unrelated factors, it won't work with me. I don't care why you want to waste our time, but why do you want to waste your time? No one may remember you anyway, but is this how you want to remember yourself?

>>719415688

This. Not one of these 66% dudes can explain why it is NOT a 50% chance.
Theres only two doors left. And theres a new problem. There are two doors left, two choices.
This is the new situation. A new calculation will result in 50%.

>>719415688
This. This is exactly what I've been saying, anon.

>>719416265
I guess I took the bait

>>719416297
>prove the negative
What are you, a catholic?

>>719415688
Obviously nothing gains magical power from another...
But if it's 2/3 you did not choose the right door, how does knowing ways behind one of those doors change anything?

1/3 you picked right, 2/3 you picked wrong.
If you don't get that switching from 1/3 to 2/3 is double then you are an idiot

>>719416297
Lets say theres a million doors, and a car behind one of them

After you pick, the host opens 999,998 doors with goats in them, leaving your door and one other door

Is it still 50-50 then between the last 2 doors?

Just simulate the game with your friend if you have one

if you always switch you will win 66% of the times

>>719416508
I have no idea what you said or who's side you're on.....who are you?

How about this then, say that you had 100 doors? You choose door number 1, I show that there is a goat behind 98 of the doors since I open all doors except yours and door number 44. Would you still keep yours?

>>719416521

So you mean this:

Theres 2 doors I need to choose between.
How is it not 50% ?
It doesn't matter how many doors you opened before. They are of no concequence to the choice I have to make at this moment.
There are 2 doors to choose from. 50%.

>>719416601
wrong. see >>719414305

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>>719416211
Pic related.

Either admit your a moron or kill yourself.

>>719416297
It has been explained.
You can't discard information, your wouldn't have the complete problem.
It's a pure game of chance.
Imagine 2 bags of rocks, one is 2x larger than the other.
If i tell you one of these 2 bags contain diamonds, the small bag would have 1/3 chance while the large bag has a 2/3 chance.

If i now empty the larger bag of half its contents, and they are all rocks. Knowing what you know from the start, the remaining content of the larger bag now has a 66% chance to have diamonds.

If you still don't get it, I'm just going to call you a troll.

>>719416265
Don't try and tell me how it is.
I believe I am right so reality is irrevant

You must be from Tumblr with that attitude

>>719417004
That is a horrible example. A better example would be 3 bags with one of them being diamond. Still 50%.

>>719417259
Troll
>you knew this was coming

>>719417259
You just can't wrap your head around 2 and 3 being a packaged deal.

>>719416297
It's been explained, and will likely be explained many more times.

You not being able to understand the explanation is very different to no explanation

>>719417140
You must hide behind a barrier of memes and assume I'm from a "site u dunt liek" because you have to succumb to the generic internet mindset of being rude. You can hold your head up as high as you want, but if you get such an urge to publicly announce your opinions that you start foaming at the mouth, then you look like a dick.

Nice goin' pal.

Easiest way to explain why it's 2/3 if you switch;

Car is behind door 2

You pick 1, you switch you win

You pick 3, you switch you win

You pick 2, you switch you lose

Staying only wins in one instance

>>719417321
It's no longer a package deal if you take away what makes it a package deal. It's a completely different problem.

>>719416750
I fucked up.
I.meant the opposite which was obvious to any non retard.
OP Has 5 weeks off work....
You bet he's drinking many of those night a.

>>719416926
it's not very clear to be fair

>>719417447
What evidence would you have that it's behind door number 2? 2/3 guys are trolls

>>719417529
I still have no idea what you meant the opposite of, but I can respect you're drunk so you don't have to try explain further. Why should you owe me anything anyway? After all those nights of love....

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>>719417321 >>719417004
Not an argument. That's like having 2 doors with one of them having a goat AND a car while the other having just the goat. Seriously, do you think about your what you're about to say before posting them?

Switch. because in the begining you have a 2/3 chance that your guess was wrong. But once he picks one of the goats the chance now goes down to 1/2 if you pick again.

>>719417648
Trollolo

>>719417420
No.
It's the fact that it's been explained numerous times and you still don't get it.
You don't even acknowledge that perhaps you are wrong, just militant. " I AM RIGHT BECAUSE I BELIEVE I AM "

That's Tumblr mentality.

Wait I want to change the rules like these guys! I want two good lads by my side so we can all open a door and take off in the sunset with a car and two goats.

>>719417749

Congratulations. People on both side of the argument think you're wrong

>>719417841
It's not an argument, to be fair.

There are people who understand it's 2/3 if you switch and people who don't understand math

>>719417624
What about that confused you?
Also explain why it confused you.

This should be fun.

>>719411791
On guess 1 you have 33% chance for car. Once you pick and 1 of the others is shown to have a goat, you now have a second guess. This second guess is between two doors, 1 with a car and 1 with a goat. This is 50% chance for car. The first guess has become irrelevant.

>>719415392
Imagine there's 100 doors with 99 goats and 1 car. I ask you to pick one door out of 100, then I eliminate every door expect for the one you picked and the one that has a car. Are you confident in your 1 in 100 pick? Or would you switch to the only door left?

>>719417785
You wouldn't know that about me, I observe my options, then after seeing a lot of bullshit caused onto people that don't need it, I tell them they're being lied to. I believe you are a liar and a waster of your own time, this magical thing we name life like anything else and you spend it here, doing THIS.

>>719418094
see
>>719417447

>>719418108
OOOOH i like that

>>719417688
The opposite percentage values.
1/3=2/3
2/3=1/3

Anyone that understood the problem would've got that without explanation

>>719411791
Yes, if you look at the math 1/3 would give you a 33% chance for a car and 66% for a goat.

But lets actually look at this realistically, not mathematically. Statistics are never 100% accurate. Flipping a coin 100 times wont always get you 50 head and 50 tails nor will changing your answer magically give you an extra 33% chance. you start with a 33% chance and that never changes

>INB4 100 door example. and you're a faggot/retard

we are not talking about 100 doors and we are only revealing 1 of 3 doors. This is always true. which leaves 2 doors. if you dont take the new info into consideration, the chances of getting the car is still only 33%. If you only look at the two doors, its 50%. If you think by switching, it adds an extra doors chance, you are retarded.

Seeing though no one on this board has ever run this test in real life, i would say everyone is wrong. But lets say we ran it 100 times. The door which contains the car is not random. 50 times its placed behind door 1, 50 times its placed behind door 2. The only thing that is random and a gamble is the person choosing the door. If they stay with their initial choice, door 1. Their 33% chance of being right turns into 50%(statistically), if they switch doors, thinking it gives them a 66% chance, that turns into being right 50% of the time.

So choose whatever the fuck you want because statistics never work.

faggots

its called variable change people.

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>>719418108
Fool! You didn't add the fact that we have a CHOICE of 2 OUTCOMES. Remove 98 doors and leave 2. You're confusing everybody.

>>719417749
So my first choice is 2/3 wrong.
But if I switch, my first choice magically become 1/2?

How much weed do you smoke?

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>>719418276
I thought you meant the door numbers, my bad.

its 66% chance of being right if you change because the doors don't have a memory. Variable change. Here's another way to look at it:

similar question. You have a gun, one bullet it in. 6 shot revolver. you spin, put it to your head and CLICK. you have to take 1 more shot.

Do you spin it, or do you just pull the trigger again?

>>719418355
No, when you picked the first door your odds were 1 in 100. Which means your most likely wrong. When you pick the second door it's 1 in 2, but the fact that you were most likely wrong the first time means it's most likely to be the door you didn't pick.

>>719418313
>Statistics never work

>Math stopped applying because I want to sound smart on 4chan

Reality doesn't work that way. Switching does, in fact, double your chances. People 'trust their gut' and stick far more often than not and they also lose more often than not.

>>719418430
Yes because you know what's in one of the doors; a goat. So now 2 of the doors are a mystery and now you have to pick 1 out of the 2 doors. You not have a 1/2 chance of picking the right one BECAUSE you can choose AGAIN.

>>719418112
So Tumblr mentality.
Tumblr pls go.

>>719418516
The first choice was 1/100 but the second choice was 1/2. Hence, the second decision (when you have 2 doors to choose from) is 1/2 while the first (when you had 3 doors) is 1/3.

/thread

>>719418619
What happened to you, to where you can't speak directly at someone anymore and have to resort to xddmeemess? Your words are all I observe of you, is this how you want people to think about you?

>>719418585
see
>>719418108

File: 1433868124426.gif (495KB, 250x186px)

495KB, 250x186px

this thread just proves that every education system in the world has done nothing

>>719418764
you see >>719418355

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>>719411791
I'd get the goat

>>719418893
see
>>719418516

AT FIRST the problem is 2 goats, 1 car; getting a car is 33%.
But when you pick a door and the host TAKES OUT door nr.3 from the equation,
the problem IS CHANGED to 1 goat, 1 car, so it changes to 50% getting a car on either door.

Yell all you can. That's how it's done.

>>719418112
But they aren't being lied to.
That the problem.
You believe they are being lied to so start a crusade to tell them all they are being lied to...

The fact is, you're an idiot and can't understand probability.

You WILL not even consider being wrong so you have to tell other anons lies even though you believe them...

>and you spend time doing things
>doing things here
>doing this???
Some anons cannot be helped.

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i would like to switch to door C please.

>>719418722
Your odds don't change for the first door, you picked 1 out of 100, and that's your chance of being right.

>>719418983
Yes the first time. But after removing all the doors we now have 2 left. You can't base the current probability on the former when the former, gone and we alreadt know its answer (what lies behind the door).

>>719418585
Didn't know that u til AFTER I chose.
First choice of 33% happened before that

If you think opening a door can cha he that you are irrelevant.

>>719411791

Punch the host, fuck the goat on live television. Open two other doors. Put goats in the trunk. Hotwire car

>>719418526
>Reality doesn't work that way

ha.

we are talking about a theoretical problem of chance and the variable being emotion, bluffs, second guesses and "gut feelings"

dont tell me how reality works, friend. and your "facts" are just shit posting

>>719419220
All the doors weren't removed, it's not two brand new doors with different stuff behind them, the door from the first choice has the same contents for the second choice.

>>719419037
Here you go again, saying what you think offends me because you get a boner out of trrrroouuulllllingxdddd. I've already explained that I think before I act. Now I'm starting to think we're the same person, believing ourselves. The difference in us from these last couple of posts is that I think you can be changed, I think you don't actually want to be here. I tried to believe you, but I find it difficult. This isn't even about the doors anymore, this is about what kind of person you are. I take from your words what I can to try to better myself, do you do the same? I'm not the one starting a crusade, defending a stupid game or what looks right on paper to each of us. I made a few posts off my own doing, you came after me like a rabid pitbull.

>>719418730
I'm OP
I'VE had many discussions, none including xddmeemess whatever the fuck that is...

This post I am replying to offers nothi g related to the question I posed when I started this thread.

You have degraded yourself so low you aren't even on the same level of every other peer

Inb4 this monkey shitspams because it's correct....
Even though it inst

>>719413463
Look at it like this, when faced with 2 losing door and 1 winning door. There is. 66% chance you picked the wrong door, there for by picking the other door you go from a 66% chance of being wrong to a 33% chance on being wrong. Hence you double your odds of winning.
You can also let look at it as this if there are 100 doors and you pick one. Then they open up all but the one you picked and one that my or my not be the prize. You have a 99% chance of your first door being wrong, so switching to the other door leaves you with a 1% chance of being wrong. Note: just because you know what is beind 1 or more doors, dose not exclude then from the equation

>>719411791
Fuck all of you boys arguing in here its behind number one Gary Glitter told me

>>719419475
No, we're talking about calculating the likely hood of your first choice being wrong and applying it towards the probability that the other door is correct.

>>719411791
monte hall

>>719419612
Why did you start the thread? You felt this pointless pre-used picture matters so much that you have to make your thread some kind of sanctuary? Ooo, do I feel degraded, my limbs are just falling right out of their sockets.

>>719418730
Are your past words all you want people (judging) thinking about you?

>>719419864
I'm not here for myself, I'm here because this has to stop. Think about me what you will, but think about yourself more, you're all you get, I don't matter to you.

>>719419562
> TL;DR
>you're wrong.
I'd say cry moar, but I've never seem this level.of tears of frustration.

This is school shooter level bullshit.

>>719419660
that's just it, this isn't an equation. The probability of 33% for all 3 is only valid when you don't know what lies behind the 3 doors. Once you know one of the outcomes, there's a 50/50 probability of you choosing the correct one this time

>>719419846
I tho k it's funny to confuse people, then ridicule when they refuse to accept.

Like you dumb faggit.

>>719418108
you cant fabricate your own results to sound relevant..

This is why you are retarded and this doesn't apply.

nowhere in this problem does it say the host will reveal all doors but the one you have selected and the one with the car.

what it does say is, host will open one of the doors you did not select. you fuck tard

so if you had 100 doors, you choose one and he opens 1 more, you really think changing your door at this time will increase your odds you daft fuck.

read the problem, stop fabricating your own.

>>719420018
What is "this"?

Jesus look at these bickering twats when did 4Chan get invaded by imgur

>>719413463
That is wrong. The door that gets thrown out is always a goat. This leaves you with a goat and a car. Now by switching you INVERT your old choice, you do not choose anew. So if you have a 2/6 chance to win a goat, and then you invert the price; you now have a 2/6 chance to win a car. (Imagine he didn't open a dor, the rules would just be him switching whatever price you chose.(Don't think it would switch from goat to ca and from car to goat but instead from goat1 to the car, from goat2 to the car or from the car to any goat.)

>>719420135
> 33% for all 3
Well there's your problem.

>>719417968
It didn't

>>719420455
Then what the fuck were you talking about?

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>>719420135
I understand where you're coming from, but the issue is that the 3rd door never goes away; the information of what lies behind it is just now known. Here is a diagram. By swapping you give yourself a 66% chance of being right

>>719420520
Just wasn't clear

>>719420108
Riiiiiight, I'm not the one so bored with things that I gain enjoyment out of saying da meen wurds to people in a place I can't be touched by them. I'm not in school and if I had anger to release, I'd let somewhere that mattered have it like a court or building that files child support papers. Enough about ruckus causing though.

Your memes suck and you suck for using memes in 2017, and I suck a bit for using a year meme. Fuck it, but we're all hypocrites in some way. I feel good being myself and you can't alter that feeling. That doesn't mean I can't learn from you, and it's a good thing I'm learning to be less of you at this very moment. I don't want to end up like that, ew.

>>719412402
and thats how you identify someone from wales

>>719420298
This chain of bullshitters trying to confuse people because it makes them 'eppy. This thread for that matter.

>>719420526
I also understand where you're coming from, and that's a nice diagram but the goat shouldn't be added to the66% after its been revealed because it's no longer a choosable option.

File: IMG_2881.jpg (2MB, 4032x3024px)

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>>719420526
Forgot to explain some steps. My bad

>>719420923
>exclude something because you know it now
That's the flaw in your thought, just because you know what is it doesn't mean you can just ignore it. There inlays the problem of this, many people will simply right off the new found information and think it is now a 50/50 shot of winning or losing

Have any of you ever watched the movie 21?
explains it pretty well in the movie

>>719419735
There will never be a right answer to this problem because the second half of it will never be revealed. The second half being what door the car is actually being placed behind.

you can argue all you want but my equation is not wrong with the information we know. But again, statistics are never 100% accurate.

what if i told you the car was behind door 1 because i placed it? would you still change your answer because statistics tell you too?

its the info or lack there of, that makes this problem have no right answer, only inaccurate statistics.

>>719421476
Wrong


It explains it wrong

>>719420258
So if I have a model house and I want to build the real thing to scale, I have to increase the values relative to each other. If I want to increase the scale of the question, the host has to open more doors. You're retarded if you think your 1 in 3 or 1 in 100 pick suddenly has 50% odds again.

>>719414305
damn u retarded bro

File: tmp_24017-Screenshot_20170119-023137-965398350.png (1MB, 1440x2560px)

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>>719420607
But nothing so far has explained anything.

You say it just wasn't clear?
So I am asking you to explain What is unclear about pic related...
>>719420693

>>719421712
Glad to see I'm not the only one who isn't a complete retard Here, however the model house thing might go over a few heads here

>>719420803
So you're saying this thread confuses you?

>>719416521
see
>>719418108

>>719417004
your explanation is absolutely fucktardedly wrong
kys

>>719420977
They a&e retarded.
You cannot teach them.
This nd other threads with similar convdots are frequent....
Especially over the last few days.

At some point you have have to accept the retarded children are retarded and just laugh at them..

I don't like it, I feel bad about it, But what choice gave they given us?

It's gone too far now....
Fuck these retards.

File: 800px-Monty_problem_monte_carlo.svg.png (55KB, 800x339px)

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https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monty_Hall_problem#

If you switch doors the probability to pick the car increases to 66%.

>>719421480
There is a right answer.
It was given to you I the OP post.
You are an idiot.

>>719416906
dang you're really dumb

>>719421911
Thanks for the (You) at the end of your post, but why?

>>719422041
At first I was confused by the point they're trying to prove, but after all these posts I still came up to 50% after the goat was revealed, thus I assume they're bullshitting people, for what reason I don't know for sure but it's probably filled with an ambience of hate from other sources.

>>719415070
>>719416350

>You have to take the new datas into account before doing any probability. The previous statement (3 doors, 2 wrong) can no longer be used, because it's no longer relevant. Now, you have 1 door, 1 wrong. That's 50/50.
>End.

---

You're wrong.
Let me simplify.

3 Doors, 2 with goats, 1 with a prize.
If you pick any random door, there is a higher chance you picked a goat, then the car.

The presenter will always open a door with a goat, because there are 2 goats, and he wouldn't show you where the car is.

You picked while there where 3 doors, so the door you picked is most likely to be a goat.

Therefore, if you switch your door, there is a higher chance that the other door has the car. (since the door you originally picked had a higher chance to be a goat, and he would never open the door)

>>719421712
You are NOT A retard..
Also build Spoopdermon detection magic Detectors for detecting thespoodermon.

Anybody who thinks it's 50/50 ahould watch this video. It explains it really well: https://youtu.be/4Lb-6rxZxx0

File: IMG_2595.jpg (183KB, 981x981px) Image search: [Google]

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>>719422593
I don't see the issue, I'm board here at work till I can clock out and leave. I know they will never learn, we're on 4chan for fucks sake, it's just something to do.

>>719422751
I asked you a question.
A question based on thing you said...
Why did you avoid answering it?

>>719421712
i wasnt talking about the specific odds, i was talking about changing the question.

By your logic, the host should open 1/3 of the doors? or 30? any ratio in question would not result in all but 2 doors being opened.

please explain how 33% of 3=1 and 33% of 100=98

>>719423059
What's the question? I don't know where you're skipping back to so this is out of context for me.

>>719411791
I just can't grasp it. Why does switching your answer increase your odds? He didn't open the door you picked.

>>719423035
>board

damn you're retarded bro

>>719422811
This

It isn't 50% with two doors simply because the host opened a door NOT randomly.

He specifically has to open a goat door and you can use this knowledge to your advantage.
If you didn't know this and you just had to randomly open a door and then pick another door to open, randomly... Then yes it's 33% to 50%.

But it isn't random beyond the first choice, only the first choice is random. After that, you can use your knowledge and hope your first pic was a goat.

Always switch! It's counterintuitive, but myth busters proved it! You go from 33% chance to 50% chance by switching.

>>719423098
It's not 33% for the 1 in 100 scenario, it's 1%. I'm done arguing, there's only one statistic that's always right... 100% of people on 4chan are faggots

>>719423278
What knowledge? All you know is there are 2 unopened doors, the one you picked and the other one. Simply switching from 1 to 2, 2 to 3, 3 to 2, 2 to 1, or 3 to 1 shouldn't increase your odds beyond 50%. one goat and one door are out of the equation, switching doesn't change the fact that there's still 1 goat behind 1 door out of 2 doors.

>>719423035
What should I do with this?
I don't know what you think so I can hardly respond.

File: I8s7a6u.png (997KB, 750x1334px) Image search: [Google]

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omfg is this really happening....

>>719423606
What? What's going on?

>>719423449
Hey, co-faggot <3

>>719423561
I mean I'm just passing the time, nothing is going on onsite so I'm just biding my time

The easiest way to begin understanding this problem is to focus on the fact that the host CANNOT open a door with the car behind it.

It is the hosts conscious decision, acting upon his knowledge of where the prize is, which gives you the probability advantage.

>>719423520
You have knowledge that the very first door you picked had a higher chance to be a goat. The first pick you made you had 2 goats and 1 car to choose from, so you know you had a higher chance to pick goat. The presenter would never open a door with the car. So with the knowledge that you most likely picked goat, and he has opened a goat door, that means that the one remaining door is most likely a car.

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>>719423137
Pic related you fucking moron.

Anything more...
Just click the post numbers and follow the conversation string right back to the point you realise you're a dumb cunt

But you won't.
You still won't answer the question.
You'll act stupid even though there is no excuse for stupidity.

>>719423520
You have a higher chance of getting a goat in the initial pick.

You want to get the goat for the switch to work. And it's a 2/3 chance you'll get the goat in the first guess.
After that, the knowledge is that the host MUST reveal a goat. He can never reveal the car.
So you've hopefully got one goat, the host must reveal the other goat.

So that's a 2/3 chance that you'll get the goat.
Therefore 2/3 chance that he'll reveal the other goat bevause of your first pick.

Your chance of picking one goat + him having to reveal the other goat = the unopened and unpicked door is the car.

Let's say you randomly pick a door.

File: Faggotry overload.jpg (19KB, 600x594px)

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>>719423449
The day anon admits his own faggotry

The sooner this thread 404s, the better

>>719423449
You're forgetting the statistic of you being a retard.

>>719424412
Ignore the last line sorry

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>>719424371
That...wasn't me though..

>>719423759
Biding it for what?

>>719414305
thank you for not being a dumb ass

>>719424805
And you post something I never replied to.

You are so confused you do t even know who you are talking to, OR who is talking to you.

There's no excuse for that.
Follow the post number strings back and it wont lead to what you you posted.
Maybe you're just a dirty liar that didn't Think we'd know any better?

>>719425353
But he was a dumbass.
Probability is not arbitrary.

File: reply.png (63KB, 1877x226px)

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>>719425524
This is where you brought me into your conversation. I don't know who is talking to me, don't make it like that's a disability.

Why are you doing this?

>>719425820
And as i said...
You're confused.
I didn't make that post in the image.

Still doesn't answer... AGAIN...
Why you never answered the question?

>>719426101
I never answered the question because I don't know the question. Ask the fucking question, and I'll give it my best shot. Don't tell me to go look back, this thread has a lot of questions.

>>719414207
You're retarded, treat repicking as an entirely new event where the outcomes are 50/50.
The whole 66% thing is a fallacy.
The fact that it's 2 goats ruins it.

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>>719426391
I cropped it right down so you could understand it.

No excuse you could click the little hash mark next to each post and bounce up and up until you hit the point you got your answer.

But you don't want answers
You want SAME.
It's not real you idiot.j

>>719426620
This cunt smoke too much weed..kill yourself you dumb piece of shit.

>>719426915
I don't get hash marks on my screen. I would have no reason to say "it wasn't me" when I could just leave the thread.

Those things aside, you're not asking me anything. If you tried to bait me, I'll admit to it working, but you can't do anything further because I've already seen your disguise, you are the goat behind the third door.

File: opiscuck.png (634KB, 1084x1920px) Image search: [Google]

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At some point OP is gonna post a picture similar to this and expose the faggotry he has to offer. The answer simple but op is busy sucking cocks being a ruse master in his own mind.

>>719427189
I don't get hash marks on my screen
Good.for you...
Nobody asked about or cared about your drug habits...
Why did you feel the need the share that shit?
Doesn't know what's going on
Doesnt know what he's doing.
Is a dumb cunt.

I don't give a fuck about her.
Answer the fucking question you useless cunt

>>719427752
Being dumb isnt a bad thing you're just a retard.

>>719423297
good argument bro really explained it

>>719428081
huhuhu, anser da cweschon

>>719428537
Nice try faggot...

Trop stupide pour comprendre.
Invente la honte et le ridicule sur lui-même.

>>719428314
If you look in complete detail, the picture has many different answers. These threads are literally retarded, and get made many times a day newfag.

File: ghN2Hja.png (706KB, 540x960px) Image search: [Google]

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omfg is this really happening....