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Over a long enough time, the probability of anything is 1. That

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Thread images: 3

File: akuma homu.jpg (105KB, 1280x720px) Image search: [Google]
akuma homu.jpg
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Over a long enough time, the probability of anything is 1. That includes the probability of fatal accidents. So how did Homura avoid dying in an accident or even another natural disaster happening prior to the Walpurgisnacht boogaloo? Even if her chance of dying in an accident was .001% it would have become hugely significant after enough rewinds.
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>>143774212
>Over a long enough time, the probability of anything is 1

Approaching 1 and being 1 are different things.
>>
File: whoremura.jpg (177KB, 1345x750px) Image search: [Google]
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>>143774270
Not very different in practice, which is what matters.
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>>143774212
she was careful and level-headed, unlike mami
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she only looped for like 8 years
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>>143774303
>>143774212
pretty sure the reason why she tried to kill herself was because she'd be reset.

She'd be more fucked if she wound up paralysed or braindead, she'd be unable to reset
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>>143774212
Her body doesn't rewind.
>>
The probability of event with p% occurring in n times is 1-(1-p)^n, assuming each event is independent (its not, she they are mostly repeats). assuming p is .001% and n is 100, the dance of loop ending prematurely is still less than 1% (.995%).
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>>143775246
She repeated way more than 100 times.
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>>143774212
That's not how this works. She's redoing the same month over and over (I think around 100 times). It's the same month, tt's not the same as 100 different months; if she didn't get cancer in the first one she won't get it in the 50th. All the events that unfold prior to walpurgisnacht are the same, unless she changes them.
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>>143774212
It's not a random chance. First off there were no natural disasters in those days she was repeating. She also can stop time and has an arsenal of guns, she's not going to get hit by a car or murdered in a mugging.

Not to mention anything that doesn't kill her instantly will just mean she'll rewind.
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File: images (10).jpg (17KB, 384x383px) Image search: [Google]
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>>143774212
How did Frodo avoid dying?
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>>143775300
Source: your ass
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>>143774212
I'm sure the odds of dying from fighting the WalpurgisNacht is much larger than dying of random causes.

On top of that, she's a magical girl, which grants her extra durability due to soul being in gem instead of body.

Bait but made me reply.
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>>143777173
Are you saying she overcame all her issues, her physical weakness, became an expert in weaponry and fighting, all in maybe ten or twenty weeks? Based on how fucked up Homura was, it must have taken *at least* ten full years AFTER she decided to shape the fuck up.
>>
>>143774212
There are people who live a 100 years without dying in an accident anon.

You the classic case of people being dumb about statistics.
Thread posts: 16
Thread images: 3


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