/bet/: Milo$h = Do$h edition
>FAQ and abbreviations list for those new to /bet/
>Help for gambling addiction/suicide hotlines
>/bet/ approved spreadsheet for tracking your bets
The sense of community has almost gone. Decent tips have always been an added bonus but not necessary imo. I don't check the thread anywhere near as often as I used to as what's the fun in scrolling through pages of "pmsl" "slug" "mommy's fivers" and "pixel punter", it's dull. Memes are a part of most online communities but that's all /bet/ is now, memes and people being relentlessly aggressive cunts to one another.
No doubt someone will reply to this with some hilarious slogan, or tell me to fuck off, or post tips etc, but I'm not moaning, I'm just saying why it isn't good as it used to be.
do I cash out or let it run?
James Mckeown Overstaked this HUGELY. ABout 30k split between FH and fullgame and looks DESPERATE.
Like · Reply · 21 mins
James Mckeown Going to be worst loss of the year for me if they lose
Like · Reply · 19 mins
James Mckeown The lack of effort fro Polish players in friendlies is just rediculous, lazy pieces of fucking shite.
Like · Reply · 17 mins
James Mckeown Down so much
Like · Reply · Just now
Jim Middlemass Hahahaha dac
Like · Reply · Just now
Damien Buckley Nail in the coffin. Cunts.
Like · Reply · Just now
James Mckeown Horrible horrible polish cunts
Like · Reply · Just now
Jani gets so triggered by anything to do with socialising. Unreal shitposting past night and not even a deleted post.
Quitting gambling to start a head and feet transplant and replacement business. So many numb feet and heads gone this month.
Pennies. About £2.5k now, was £3.5k a few days ago. Would be £6k+ with a few goals here and there.
My phone is banned for a month for ban evasion.
He just hates me. Gonna shitpost and blogpost without my trip so he pays less attention.
I was on pregame. I just didnt tip it. The line did exist btw. I wouldnt cheat for the difference of 0.25. I just didnt post on there pregame because it wouldnt be fair stealing a tip that was posted here.
I think it got my b365 limited as well. Anyone else?
>The line did exist btw
I'm not the guy but a no point did I see 0.0 or -0.25 and I looked probably within a minute of the goal
>wouldnt be fair stealing a tip
Does anyone actually even care? Its not like Mackers or Lux who get paid for stealing tips from other people
I can confirm that the line did NOT exist
I would be if I had there would be lots of moaning and shouting and crying.
That literally shows 0.0 there right after the goal. I had it all written out from 0-0 so when they scored I just flicked tabs and changed the score and the line. By the time I confirmed it and changed back, it was -0.25. They won like 8-1 so it isnt as if the difference is the change between a win and a loss.
There was a zero line lids.
I see no reason to doubt what he said about the line being 0.0 as he was typing and it changing within seconds either way of him posting. Certainly the timing syncs up for that.
Its ridiculous to suggest he lied about the line being 0.0 when it was -0.25 for absolutely no good reason, it was just a bit of bad timing and bad luck but since the bet won by an absolute mile anyway it just doesn't matter.
If ultimately it had been the difference between a refund and a half loss then I could understand a little annoyance but it wouldn't change the fact that he tipped a 0.0 and you willingly took a -0.25.
If people think he intentionally lied knowing it was 0.0 but had changed to -0.25 just to give himself a better chance of not losing on tipstertube and keeping his rep then I guess that possible but it hardly seems worthwhile especially since he isn't charging and you'd be talking the difference between a refund and a half loss which will make very little difference in his stats.
To be fair the system on TipsterTube needs improving, should be more similar to Blogabet where the odds are verified. This is too much scope for cheating, don't think Euan is a cheater but he definitely pushes the boundaries where possible.
line did exist, I rebacked it with stupid amounts out of frustration for missing out pre-game
lol what game
the worst bit about Mackers is that he'd be consistently UAC if he had any sort of roll management
>tfw he's going to win because I put 2 quid on instead of 20
I'm actually the original poster who started the large staking gimmick (the tips were all genuine value but the phrase was the gimmick) and the Malmo tip wasn't me. I gave it up when 2 or 3 people started using it too and didn't want to trip up for previously mentioned reasons.
Didn't realise someone else did it. Noticed you stopped and just thought I'd carry on posting good value bets. Think I'm 4/5 over the last week or so, all available in asia with good limits.
I wish I was kidding.
Blew all my money on muggy accas and now I can't even get an overdraft cause Barclays think I'm an addict. Got 40 quid in my bet365 account and I'm gonna try and turn it into 500 by March
>Help for gambling addiction/suicide hotlines
Not even joking. Dude, stop while you can. I have been that road.
Just stop for a couple of weeks. In your state of mind you won't be able to do any racional bets and will FOR SURE just lose more money.
It is your call, but in a couple days you will wish you would stop now.
At this point I don't see what I have to lose you know? I just won 70 quid from United and Club Brugge, and I'm gonna withdraw 30 quid, the rest will become my roll and I'm gonna try and gain it all back. Worst thing is I'm quite >shrewd but I just get greedy and decide to chuck in a muggy acca, and it just all added up.
I don't even wanna look at my statements. I was gonna just go back to matched betting after losing a large amount on this game a few weeks ago, but I just didn't like how little money I was making, so I got back on to this road.
I'm not stressed lol, I'll be fine.
I recommend you guys also go for set 2, though it's just @1.53
>I'm not stressed lol, I'll be fine
I really really really really hope you are trolling.
You are on denial BIG TIME. It is your money, do as you please.
Do you like bets? I bet you that you will lose the 40 you still have and then deposit the other 30 quid @1.01
I probably am m8, I feel like I have semblance of self control though.
I'll be working next weekend, but that money won't come in for another 2 weeks so I'm probably gonna need to get used to living on the breadline.
I know everyone with a problem says this, but once I make what I lost back, I'll stop. As ridiculous as it sounds
I am, melzer is simply a class above the other guy whom i've never even heard of, 1st serve % is 95, he lost only 3 points on serve while his opponent is struggling.
it's my shoe in of the day. down to 1.4
Reminder that the reason nobody ever posts slips is because everyone in the thread are penny punting slugs, myself included, who are too embarrassed to show the paltry amounts they have on each bet
I'm not dutch. I also put a woman on mine, hope she doesn't fuck me over.
Dude thank you very fucking much.
One of the comfyest bets I made in a long time.
Hugely mispriced, Melzer was a mile ahead.
I got on 1.52. Thank you bro, together we will make bet/ great (again).
Australian friendly just started. Bentleigh Greens vs Northcote City. Bentleigh were last year's champions, and have made many signings to compensate the loss of key players, one of which was the GK who has signed with the Mariners in the A-league.
Northcote have made many key signings over the past couple of weeks, bolstering their midfield with other NPL players, and bringing in a forward from America and a defender from Greece.
Bentleigh have been slugging it out in Tasmania over the past week too. I went small o2.5 goals. Expecting Northcote to really push themselves against the champs to gauge an idea of where they're at.
Chill, It's Alright, Ma (I'm Only Winning)
And even if the we lost, I was still a really good tip. It was mispriced as fuck and you tipped it, the other guy could't play shit.
You were great, don'r demenish yourself.
No, not at all.
As I said, even if I lost, it was a really good bet. That is something you guys have to start thinking if you want to profit long-term.
Every single bet has a inherent value and the outcome doesn't influence that value. Good bets can be lost and awful bets can be won.
>it was a really good bet
>That is something you guys have to start thinking if you want to profit long-term.
Did you even watch it, what on Earth made that a value bet? From what I seen it was equal and he got very lucky. And no you don't need to lecture me on value especially when you're obviously completely clueless
I didn't rebacked because, as I said, I put all the money that wasn't on hold on other bets.
But if I had any, you can bet your ass I would.
1.5 was mispriced nevertheless.
2.0 was HUGELY mispriced
Did you ever watch a tennis match? that was a single point, the very first point actually, he lost in that tie break on his serve.
Happens all the time, nothing to worry about.
Also, 2nd set on this guy might not be a bad idea, it's @1.95
cashed out one of three bets when he was down a break point to salvage at least something.
lesson here: only cash out winning bets.
still, not too bad.
good night lads, hope you made money with me.
Once again, Grand Slam delivers. :)
I'm on Flamengo if anyone is interested.
They are definitely the best team but, for no apparent reason, in the 3rd quarter they lost their mind (and 13 points).
So fucking this.
That fucking point before the last. His brain must have stopped.
2015 /bet/ Gimmick Powerrankings
2. Just got off Skype to my mum
3. I'm a plumber apprentice / forklift driver / tesco shelf-stacker
4. UAC tipping group
5. Shrewd Jimmy
6. Pellets / slug posting
7. Rossy posting
8. Testing your chin
10. Please have sex
15. Peter Webb posting
16. Christian posting
17. Lee posting
18. Excellent now I can reback / got them right where they want 'em
19. Tears if you missed the fix
20. Feel sick that up I'm when there are starving African children
51. There's a great Simpsons episode on TV right now
52. Just saw BT wearing his favourite yellow shirt
53. Euan's half coke
55. How does the skedge look tomorrow?
500. Lux is aftertiming again
9000. Nick Goff posting
9001. I hate Danny Robinson
9002. PGA rap
900001. metaKnight is shrewd
900000000001. Can't stop farting
It was already decided at the start of the year lid
Bellator starting soon, most bookies apart from bet365 offer odds
Daley wins inside the distance @ 1.50
Johnson/Butler over 1.5 rounds @ 1.90
Johnson via decision @ 3.75
Freire + Daley + Anthony Johnson (tomorrow) @ 2.10
and pic related
what a QT during the Estrella/Bourgue match
He very well might get. The point is there's no value in putting AJ there as the risk is too high for what odds? 1.33? Fuck that. If Bader survives the first and most of the second he'll be out of AJ's danger zone and I'm assuming we both know whose cardio and whose wrestling department is in question in this fight.
Christ lads, thank jebus for a generous nig nog he just saved my $35. Was on HOU +9.5, OKC nig nog could have EASILY scored but chose not to in the last 5 secs and won me my bet! He scores and i lose, thank you based nig nog.
Most of the time the winning team just dribbles out the ball while the losing team doesn't do anything in return
Worst feeling is when the losing team jacks up a 3 and does the backdoor cover
Worth keeping an eye on Bulleen vs Kingston, line knocked down from Bulleen -1 to 0.0 in a matter of about 2 mins so maybe someone has some info suggesting Kingston win. Can't find anything myself but based on previous results Bulleen -1 seemed the right line, could be Bulleen with a weak team.
Monitor rball and keep an eye on it I guess.
Took a week' long vacation to the beach. Clean body and soul so to speak. ;)
I live in the capital and the sea is less than 10 minutes from where I live, but it's all cliffs as in pic related. Nearest beach is about 30 minutes away and it's a touristic sinkhole.
For clean pearly white beaches as in my other post you have to go to the Northern coast where there are hardly any tourists. If you're lucky you go an entire day at the beach and only see 5 people pass by.
Bankroll check, post your current bankroll in your most used account and judge each other accordingly.
Well the bet just came in with a 85th min goal...Grats if you got on it but that was too close to call. Also lolz at rball, team getting dommed in stats yet up 3-0 kek. Corners 12-3 Wellingtons way.
thank god for tennis, cricket & basketball & soon AFL, always seem to be cucked by draws in Sawker
>inb4 betting on single games
couldn't resist at that price while being the server
Didn't dare to put more, but serena is making so many errors it's beautiful.
glad i backed out of doing this after what happened to that last guy who put an absurd amount on her, she can still win but it's not worth the stress that would come with this match
what you lads don't know, is that i actually had 50k on Serena. I'm only down 5k because I traded out.
Still, never betting on women's tennis ever again. I consider it a learning experience.
During the build up to these 2 finals, I had a feeling there was going to be an upset in at least one of them. Fortunately I went small on Kerber tonight. Having two upsets against the #1s would be a major stretch.
I'll wait a few games until I decide to stake on Murray. He is at 5.00 to win at the moment. If he wins the first set I am definitely getting on. Odds shouldn't drop under 1.8 if he nabs the first set.
Speaking mathematically, whats your current best known way to determine value from a given wager?
How far can one's knowledge of the game and league news take them in terms of making gains in their predictions over the long run?
I ask this as someone who enjoys the game purely for its sake, and decided to try and put my predictions in cash because it adds to the focus.
Is it foolish to think you can make profits due to predicting outcomes or are the bookies all set up just as the casino, 'the house always wins'?
I tried researching picks shared on the daily threads and a good chunk of my bets have been winning, albeit small wagers. I wash out after a couple rounds and start again because I still don't have a workable strategy to work out how much the money means given the odds.
I first started out with the accumulators because the reward was/is very high given the stakes. Quickly learned I was wasting money, I started confidently betting trebles and doubles, and then away from just 1X2 betting and into all other markets.
I can definitely put more research and focus on following more games, leagues, team news, etc. in football, to get a more 'refined' prediction, but I don't want to seem mad going no where if the math says I'm always gonna get fucked over.
1 hr · Cheltenham
Rwanda vs DR Congo
Rwanda email@example.com for 8800gbp confirmed sir
On this as well for later. Rwanda beat them 1-0 in a pre-tourney game in a small 5,000 stadium. Today its at 30,000 national stadium and sell out. Very similar bet to that 0 asian against Ivory Coast I backed 1st game of the tournament. Rwanda got battered last game vs Morocco but they had already qualified so rested their key players - As did Congo. Quarter final time expecting a huge atmosphere as its a sell out. Congo haven't got their strongest squad for this tournament only one experised player from TP Mazeme who makes the "Regular" national side.