probability is real because every system has an input and output, and given choices and the variables which dictate the combination of states which that system can take, there is a distribution in which you can say what the "probability" of an event occurring is.
if i flip a coin ten times, how many combinations are there?
given how many combinations are there, what is the probability that each one will happen, and why?
each of those aspects are real. it's not just hand-waiving chaos or in-determinism, because that's not what it is trying to tackle. you can have a system where it's fully random, like a roulette table, and still deal with probability.
>>7839209 Do you mean like in the physical world or in the mathematical sense?
In the physical world, I think must things we call random and apply some probability distribution to are actually pseudo-random. Either we currently don't fully understand the phenomena or whatever is happening, is happening at such a fine level that we don't have the tools required for onservation.
a conceptual illustration: choose any real number that lies between 0 and 10 at random Each individual real in that interval has a 0% chance of being picked. but there's a 10% chance that the number picked falls between 0 and 1, or 10% that it falls between 1 and 2, 2 and 3, etc ...
this is the only context in which probability has any meaning
Probability is real only because there is too many variables for human to interpret. Unless free will exists and humans are capable making unpredictable changes in universe. Even after that existence of probability is questionable, it is an illusion.
In classical mechanics there is no concept of probabilities which covers all objects bigger than atoms. Sure there seems to have some in quantum mechanics. With bigger objects everything is calculable if you can account all the variables.
Thread replies: 38 Thread images: 2
Thread DB ID: 512982
All trademarks and copyrights on this page are owned by their respective parties. Images uploaded are the responsibility of the Poster. Comments are owned by the Poster.
This is a 4chan archive - all of the shown content originated from that site. This means that 4Archive shows their content, archived. If you need information for a Poster - contact them.
If a post contains personal/copyrighted/illegal content, then use the post's [Report] link! If a post is not removed within 24h contact me at email@example.com with the post's information.