When I flip a coin, why is there a higher chance that it'll

>>7810816
There isn't.

>>7810822
If I flip it 100 times and they all turn out as heads, are the chances that the next flip will be tails higher?

>>7810826

No.

>>7810826
No. The results of coin flips are independent from each other. 100 heads and then a head is just as likely as 100 heads and then a tail.

>>7810826
if you flip a coin 100 times and they're all heads, check to make sure it's not a double headed coin

>>7810829
>>7810828
>what is the law of averages

>>7810826
yes

>>7810816
There isn't. Unless the coin is weridly unbalanced

>>7810833
>what is the law of averages
A meme.

The assumption underlying this question is that we are dealing with a coin whose fairness can be represented by a Bayesian prior distribution of 1.

>>7810826
the lower probability of consecutive heads comes from predicting a larger set of data not from the history of flips.

not all flips are equally fair

it's possible (and depending on technique, sometimes probable) that a coin appears to flip but actually precesses without flipping. if you're skilled, you can do it on purpose

>>7810816
Because there's more possible outcomes.

>>7810856
>heads
>tails