What makes you say that? I would think far more likely is you'd have a massive conventional buildup by the west in Germany; and then a rough balance being maintained. The Soviets can't compete with the manpower and industrial resources of the West, but the West won't want to go to the expense and the multiple millions of people that would die to take out the USSR. Stable.
The real shit, though, would've been Operation Downfall. A conventional invasion of the Japanese home islands would've been horrific for everyone involved. The sheer slaughter, on both sides, would've rivaled the Eastern Front, and would've scarred US/Japanese relations for decades and perhaps even centuries, assuming there was even a Japan to have relations with by the end of it.
There's a reason the US has never had to manufacture any new Purple Hearts since the 40s; we're still using up the stockpile made in preparation for Operation Downfall.
Do you really think Downfall is likely though? Conventional bombing had wrekced the Japanese rail infrastructure, and starvation was likely in 1946, something that would accelerate if the U.S. decided to blockade the home islands, which they definitely had the fleet to do so.
I question whether or not Truman would have made the call to go ahead when Japan is effectively neutered everywhere except China itself, and China had managed to endure for quite a while anyway, they're not going anywhere.
>>584718 >I question whether or not Truman would have made the call to go ahead
Political pressure would've probably driven it forward, regardless, especially once the Soviets rolled into Manchuria. Americans wanted the war over and done with, Churchill wanted Soviet power checked at all costs; getting it all over and done with quickly was what literally everyone wanted.
>>584765 >Downfall was an incredibly tentative thing
Oh no, it was planned in detail, and had been for a long time. X-Day for Operation Olympic, the initial landings on Kyushu, was scheduled for November 1945, in fact. Deception plans had also been laid. It was a thing that was very much going to happen if Japan had not capitulated when they did.
>There's a reason the US has bases out the wazoo in the former West Germany.
They're mostly occupation and/or missile bases. NATO's strategy since the 60s at the very least was to use nuclear weapons to defeat and deter even conventional Soviet attacks in Europe, because the balance of force was heavily tilted in the USSR's favor.
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