>humans abuse power >things are guaranteed to change over time >pretty much everything the Anglo countries and Northwestern Europe in general do is the objectively correct way to do things >large masses of intelligent people are capable of getting things spectacularly wrong >as a state grows older, the amount of rent-seeking among the upper echelons of power increases, leading to a cyclical rise and fall
>>561818 Armies of diplomats, generals, spies and statesmen managed to get Europe to sleepwalk into war, failed utterly to stop Germany from going from the 100,000 man army under the treaty of Versailles to conquering France.
That one always sticks out to me. If, in 1930, you said that there would be German soldiers parading under the Arc de Triomphe, they would have put you in an institution.
Similar foreign policy establishments, informed by the best intellectuals of the time, led America into Vietnam, the Soviets into Afghanistan, utterly failed to stop Al Qaeda despite ten years of warnings, and underestimated the difficulty of occupying Iraq to the point where the US invasion resembled a coup in some banana republic.
None of the people responsible for these things were stupid, they just fell into groupthink, confirmation bias, and an unwillingness to contemplate the worst case scenario.
>But what is there we can really say? You can find a historical precedent for any political subject today. Absolutely any. Looking for broad patterns wont tell you much; even if you find them you still wont know why they happen. Which is why you have to deal with things on a case by case basis. Its the little things that matter in history. Someone might say that a broad pattern in America is that Americans are Xenophobic, but that doesnt help us much because it doesnt tell us the problems with xenophobia or how to stop them (or likewise the good things about xenophobia).
>>561801 >>pretty much everything the Anglo countries and Northwestern Europe in general do is the objectively correct way to do things >Anglo "irrevocably fuck up African and middle Eastern politics for my own benefit" Saxons >doing anything the correct way
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