>i can't read this stuff, so no one else can
Ask your fucking cardiologist while you're having a heart attack and he's looking at the fucking chart your EKG is making, dumbass.
I definitely see a reverse cup and handle forming after that head and shoulders, and my ADX and RSI indicators both show that it's time for a bull market. Considering this, I have a target set for $4.00.
I've got $5000 in UWTI, and you'd be smart to invest too.
>Chart patterns do actually exist
so does machine learning... if there are profitable patterns to be found in time series or known patterns to search for then a computer is much more efficient at finding them than a human
>How many standards of deviation have you got your bands set to? Is that +/- 1 and 3?
you mean standard deviation?
I wouldn't use it with financial data - one of the basic premises of the central limit theorem is independent variables - the individual variables making up a financial time series are not independent... assuming normality is flawed - financial data will tend to have fat tails - extreme moves are more likely... people whacking bands around stuff and claiming some % probability of a price reaching a band based on the normal distribution are deluding themselves
Standard deviations work well as price targets in oil and gas trading. I do that for a large company.
Our experience has shown positive gains from stan dev strategies since 1998. I remember a Conoco trader laughing at me when I mentioned the March/April NG spread (The Widowmaker) went 72 cents wide in a couple of days one year which was about 10 standard deviations. He said, "You can only go out 3 standard deviations!" and walked away. I shook my head. LTCM went broke when the Eastern European spreads went out 30 stan devs. Black Swans they call them.
>He said, "You can only go out 3 standard deviations!"
that's what I mean... people assigning probabilities to them as though prices are normally distributed... he'd have been more or less right if they were but obviously you can have moves like that and they're not as unlikely as people like to assume
what causes these black swans is a mix of liquid/illiquid episodes in a real fast sequence
im trying to write something that involves checking for current liquidity and previous volume compared to price action.
you're more likely to go out of the SD when there's not much in the way of breaking it. obvious to say, but easily overlooked.
the difference can be quite negligible, desu famalamdingdong
isn't that clear - lots of things cause black swans... LTCM was the result of a decision by Russia that screwed with the bond markets
part of the defining characteristic of black swans is that they're not really predictable
what you're describing seems more related to flash crashes
kinda like how it was "unpredictable" that eur/chf would get dropped like a zika baby... (it was the human factor that caused the floor being removed, after all)
black swans are very obvious, but very hidden. some people will obviously predict them, while others will never conceive of them.
doesn't look like too much will be in the way of 2.8 (240: dwti)
I like you, i use 2 BBs as well. So here's some free stuff, don't tell people i told you that
>they say you can use the bands on a lower timeframe to get in the direction of the major trend