You get that this is the pattern pretty much every crash follows, right? A sharp sell off, followed by a brief recovery, before the market takes the plunge for real. It might have just been a minor correction back in August if the market had kept on growing, but now it's plunged back down the signs aren't particularly positive.
That said, it's all just mumbo-jumbo. You can't predict the behaviour of the market based purely on past performance, whether that be the performance from a few months ago like you're trying to do, or the performance over the last few decades. Nobody really knows what's going to happen.
>>1043749 >Nobody really knows what's going to happen.
People know that it's not just going to all collapse one day, and if it is there is no predicting it. So it's best to assume it will always recover, because it always has and it is incredibly unlikely + impossible to predict.
People have been screaming that the sky is falling for decades now, probably even longer than that and probably even centuries before.
Got out of a couple positions at the end of November cause you could see the writing on the wall. This week I doubled down on a couple of things I think will be up by the end of the year. Everything else I took the hit and left it alone. Know why? I DON'T CARE ABOUT THIS MONEY TODAY. That's always been the case. I care about it in thirty years. If you're looking to make mad dosh every single week, you're in the wrong game.
Also don't keep all your capital in stocks. Then you won't have to stress so much when the inevitable corrections come. It's simple math.
>>1043931 If you think China isn't about to shit bricks then yes.
The truth is that it looks like the worst case scenario is happening though. Global Manufacturing in a recession. EU slowing. America at 1% growth. China dropping hard. Oil down at 29. Russia and Brazil going to shit. Global stocks down 20% and in a bear market.
Like Goldman Sachs said. I would recommend waiting till later this year to invest.
Anyone wants my advice, just wait it out as it has been proven time and time again the market does recover 10 fold when there's a crash in the new year (besides 08). Know the market has been proven to do well during a presidential election year as well. What will likely happen from here on out is a couple more downs till Feb and a sharp increase from there till next year. We'll hit 1600 - 1200 easy, but I'm personally on the sidelines to buy the bottom.
>>1043694 >The market always goes up. Fucking retard. Look at your damn chart. The August rapefest didn't recover. Last year May high was never recovered. We've been crashing since August. The small recovery since then was the bulltrap. We're entering the bear market or the total meltdown of the US markets.
>>1044161 >Look at any historical data, >hey guises just wait it will return >guies You're just like the Super shemitha faggots who say the world will globally crash and plunge into ww3. We didn't recover, and the chances of going back to those highs are pretty slim. Back in 2009, everyone predicted a future where the DOW will only stay around 10-15k. The 20k is a sign the market is overheated. The recovery we saw since August was the bulltrap.
yeah were in what they are calling secular stagnation. they will create little rallys to clean out the suckers. like what happened yesterday. false data on oil created small rally next day big drop. this will continue until to beat up on the shorts and the bullish morons who don't understand supply and demand. supply and demand is like gravity. we don't really understand it but its power is undeniable .
>>1043687 LOL at all you fucking morons holding on your positions. i'm deep into SH profiting all week on this. Don't you dumb nigs realize that the housing market is being artifically proped up and that the boomers only have a limited amount of money to spend on healthcare? The SP500 will be around 1,400 at the end of March. Everyone that put their money in the markets bc savings rates were low are pulling it out in panic.
>>1044535 of course not that was 2008ish when businesses shutdown or restructured in very large numbers.
the real economy still hasn't recovered from that while stocks have rode things like low interest buybacks and housing has enjoyed bailouts and chinese cash. that has basically been nothing but paper growth better called malinvestment.
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