A single ugly hag from space comes down and accosts you. Every day after that, the ugly hag undergoes a pregnancy, which could involve of the four equally likely events:
(a) The ugly hag dies
(b) The ugly hag does nothing
(c) The ugly hag has a child ugly hag
(two ugly hags)
(d) The ugly hag gives birth to two ugly hags
(three ugly hags)
What is the probability the ugly hags eventually die out and go extinct?
>>36175898
>What is the probability the ugly hags eventually die out and go extinct?
bampu desu
>>36175898
Obviously the answer is gonna be 25%
>tfw not a qt gril
y live
>>36176826
>tfw not a qt gril
answer the question correctly and the old hag will make you a qt girl
>>36176986
100% as the ugly hag looks about 80+ and her body would not survive. Baby is either male or female but either way there is no other ugly hags to have a child with
>>36177167
>100% as the ugly hag looks about 80+ and her body would not survive
we know exactly what the probability is of the ugly hag dying, it's 25% each day
so she will die soon, very soon
but - she can have children in that time
the gender of the children doesn't matter in this question, should have made that more clear. They are all ugly hags who reproduce via accosting with you everyday
>>36177221
100% and I kill her before she has the chance to give birthnow make me a girl
exactly sqrt2 - 1 ~ 0.4142
>>36177249
wrong again buddy
you are never gonna be a girl at this rate
>>36177252
>exactly sqrt2 - 1 ~ 0.4142
I don't think so
>>36177325
the answer is EXACTLY square root of 2 minus 1, which is approximately 0.4142
whats so hard to understand you nig?
>>36177424
>whats so hard to understand you nig?
I think you are wrong
>>36177475
well, soon CS nurds will write numerical algorithms and find the answer to be ~39%
just you fuckin wait
>>36177528
>~39%
why not your answer of 41% then smarty pants
I got 37.5
>>36175898
The probably that they eventually die out is 100%. Eventually the planet will be consumed in a supernova, but even if they manage to survive that they will not be able to survive the death of the universe
>>36175898
The answer is gonna be 100%
because every single old hag has a 25% chance of dying
They will all die eventually
>>36177540
cuz their shitty monte carlo algorithms undereshoot and would have to take a significant amount of time to get even the second decimal place correctly
>>36177586
This
every other answer is wrong
turn me into a girl old hag
I wrote a program for it and get approximately 60% every time.
>>36177768
I'm retarded and switched a boolean, I meant 40%.
>>36177325
>>36177475
>>36177540
>>36177805
analytical math illiterates finally getting what they deserve
>>36177586
Your answer is right but your reasoning is wrong. The hags theoretically could reproduce faster than they die off, but they will all die eventually from either the destruction of Earth or of the universe
import java.util.Random;
public class Hags {
public static int hags = 1;
public static void main(String[] args) {
int timesExtinct = 0, iterations = 100000;
for (int i = 0; i < iterations; i++) {
int generations = 1;
hags = 1;
while (hags != 0) {
int generationHags = hags;
for (int j = 0; j < generationHags; j++) {
doThing();
}
generations++;
if (generations == 20) {
break;
}
}
if (hags == 0) {
timesExtinct++;
}
}
System.out.println("Extinct: " + timesExtinct + " / " + iterations);
}
private static void doThing() {
Random rnd = new Random();
int n = rnd.nextInt(4) + 1;
switch (n) {
case 1:
hags--;
break;
case 2:
break;
case 3:
hags++;
break;
case 4:
hags += 2;
break;
default:
System.out.println("nigger");
break;
}
}
}
>>36177884
> System.out.println("nigger");
>>36177884
>Java
You aren't welcome anywhere
The answer is obviously 100% because eventually, no matter how many hags there are, they will all eventually roll a death.
>>36177940
>The answer is obviously 100% because eventually, no matter how many hags there are, they will all eventually roll a death.
but the chance of the ugly hag dying is lower than the chance of having children
>>36177925
Joke's on you I already knew that
>>36178305
>Joke's on you I already knew that
im sorry
>>36178305
if you have a twinkish body, i could cuddle you for good feels
>>36178661
>assuming he is near you
>assuming he is fag
>assuming he even wants to meet some stranger off /r9k/
>>36178880
i was just going to cyber cuddle him
however, I have met boys on image boards b4
i'm not ugly either
>>36178919
>however, I have met boys on image boards b4
did it go wellshould I meet boys off this imageboard
>>36178943
>should I meet boys off this imageboard
this
>>36178919
>i was just going to cyber cuddle him
gay lol