the tesco man edition
>FAQ and abbreviations list for those new to /bet/
>Help for gambling addiction/suicide hotlines
>/bet/ approved spreadsheet for tracking your bets
I'm enjoying this meme
>not pre-staking the most correctly priced league in the world...
They will win either way because the NFL is rigged.
A Patriots-Broncos AFC championship game was an easy prediction.
>Manning's last run
>Heavy betting on Carolina
This is going to be a good game with a Broncos victory. I predict Goodell will have Cam Newton play really well but they will fuck up in the end(a kicker, RB/WR fumble) and all the blame will go on them and not Newton.
Been drowning my sorrows all week
I've won big and I've lost even bigger
Some of the oldies from /bet/ will remember when I won and lost 25k in a weekend. Almost offed meself, but the rush was worth it
>just want to make money through betting to live a happy and wealthy life, having university degree as plan B
>haven't even started betting yet
Do you make a lot monthly out of betting?
How do I do it?
have intimate knowledge of what you are betting on. learn what value is and only make value bets. use correct bankroll management.
a few other things, but these are the main points.
Hey everyone, yesterday I didn't post any tips because I looked through all the games and I didn't find anything of value.
My first pick for tomorrow:
27th January: 5:30 PM GMT Eredivisie: AZ Alkmaar v Cambuur Leeuwarden: Over 2,5 Goals @ 1.50
Right now AZ Alkmaar is having 2,5 goals in 70% of their games and Cambuur has 77,8%.
Some other facts that made me realize this would be a good bet:
There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 17 of Cambuur's last 20 away games in Eredivisie.
AZ Alkmaar have seen over 2.5 goals in their last 4 home matches against Cambuur in all competitions.
There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 6 of AZ Alkmaar's last 7 home games in Eredivisie.
27th January: 3:00 AM GMT Copa Mexico: Cruz Azul v Venados: BTTS @ 2.10
The last game between these two ended with both teams scoring and lately both of these have been scoring and allowing goals so I believe we'll be seeing another BTTS.
Best of luck everyone! :)
Value means that the probability of the outcome occurring is higher than the bookmaker's odds imply.
Value can be found at nearly any odds.
Regarding the Barcelona odds (I am not familiar with this fixture), were Barcelona a better than 2/3 chance of winning? How would you deduce this? If you used the available information (teamsheets, form, home/away, etc) do you think the bookmakers do not have this information also and have priced it accordingly?
Value typically lies outside mainstream leagues.
Topkek which one of you is this?
Quick translation: A britbong was constantly on his laptop and phone during a football maych, he was also following a livestream of the same match on his laptop and apparently making bets and talking about match statistics on his phone. He was sent out of the stadium.
Panthers BTFO of the leafs 5-1..
Blackhawks I have no idea what the fuck they did to go 0 - 5 but they choked hard. I didnt watch the game but I saw they switched goalies after 0-3 in the first. Anyone know why the Hurricanes beat down the Blackhawks so bad?
>Black people haven't won many Oscars, therefore the Carolina Panthers will definitely win the Superbowl
>illuminerty changing the superbowl based on racism claims
Totally fine for /sp/.. not /x/ tier at all.
>The people who actually run Hollywood organized that race baiting, so it will have no impact on the superbowl
OMG GO BACK TO /pol/ YOU RACIST ANTISEMITE
>Le getting BTFO by your own country gimmick
You really are thick as fuck. I wasn't calling you clueless because of what you said, it was because of your inability to realise there is more than 1 Brit anon and genuinely thinking the other Brit anon was serious when talking about the SB being fixed. But as stated by someone else no one gives a fuck here about your Oscars drama to please take it /pol/ and never come back
Swerving on it, the only thing that keeps ringing in my head is "Their defense will pick the Broncos apart" or something, I dont know enough about this shit.. I bet on the chiefs and pats, Im not going 3/3 on shitty /bet/ tips for football, based on supposed jewish manipulation, however real or not that may be.. I just dont know enough and the record for predictions here has been shite.
taking wroclav SW, better team and much more dangerous in the first half, bench is dece too. not scared of them subbing in a 19yo keeper, banik can only rotate their current unexperienced one with a 18yo anyway
Lol the blackhawks are the top of their division and have been good money recently, for them to get BTFO 5-0 there must be something I missed, they didnt score anything.. it must have been a control issue and the goalie choked or I dunno.
Panthers were the other half of my tip, they BTFO the leafs 5-1.. but the Blackhawks should have came through too, easily.
yes i am anon, probably just bad luck on your part, pretty sure the majority of my tips posted here win
that's a pretty good analogy, both events happen often enough to not be considered weird by anyone who knows luckpuck and arsenal
i could have also posted a single repeating digit which would have contriibuted to the thread much more but i was fuming too much, sorry
everyone blogs here, not everyone has an unique flag here, naturally that triggers people more because it doesn't get lost in the crowd
********IMPORTANT QUESTION UPDATE********
Have sex please the early leader. The winner will be /bet/s official catch phrase.
If he spent 10% of the time he spent blogging documenting his betting he would have a world spreadsheet and would be able to tell you his roi on certain leagues/bet types and so on.
Yeah, Trabz players cannot hack the snow. Fucking goalkeeper was building a SNOWMAN just then, lucky their shot went off target. Manager not bothered either, keeps CHUCKING snowballs at the right back, pretty concerned desu.
i too enjoyed your seething more when it was after my winning bets lads, better start posting winners, your performance is really taking a dip. i know you're begging to be spoonfed another one since i'm not on your filter list :-)
Janssen is just too good, keeper doesn't even have to fix it
Literally getting his 2nd hattrick in four days
>janitor deleting my /bet/ related post
Can someone explain the difference between round robins and parlays? Say you have 4 bets on 4 teams, I guess it does the first parlay and then puts the winnings into the second if it is successful or something? I dont get where all this extra reward to risk is coming from
Not him but i work 10 hour days, 5 days per week and also live over 2 hours from my place of work.
> tfw my life
get a nice holiday booked with the winnings lid
Legirus are a mostly Russian team with players who played for some decent teams but they never choose to take promotion so traders priced it up based on leagues only, happened last year too and should probably be in the archive
Also, Legirus played against a better kolmonen team last season in the cup (SC Kufu.. Who ended up winning their division) and were arguably the better team. Only to be knocked out on penalties. Price is certainly out here
I'm too lazy to research so just stuck a smedium on it and will live with it if it loses, odds good enough that its a nice return if it comes in without putting too much at risk.
Mans insane, was looking at this earlier and looked completely correctly priced. Admittedly I assume starting teams have been announced by now maybe and that might be what he is basing it on but Honduras should win the majority of the time. Having pushed Honduras out to 2.25 that is definitely a bet now imo, easily give them a better than 50% chance of winning so 2.25 is insane.
I'm guessing this lad hasn't recovered to play again yet
Only a couple of months back. Haven't even looked but no way that guy is playing again yet.
If Legirus doesn't win today I might as well perma /heem/ myself. After a serie of impressive wins lost a half of my roll yesterday and I'm on SW more than I've ever been on anything.
posting this because i dont know remember what it is and it has a bet related filename
********IMPORTANT QUESTION UPDATE********
Lads, we have a tie between TEARS and Have sex please as official /bet/ slogan. We need a few more votes to decide on out slogan.
That's not a very good bet. I stay away from any spread larger than 3.5
Got on Clippers ML @2.8 earlier
On 3Q Warriors ML @2.5 now
Trailblazers @1.5 LARGE yesterday
Cannot stop winning
pretty impressive desu, although nearly 2 weeks of wait time even while doing at the last minute to a chance to quadruple your money is still long
joker is still solid in my lists, it's been a long time since he's lost a match in a grand slam
he was down 2 sets vs anderson but still won the match (and eventually wimbledon)
>inb4 m-muh stoppage changes momentum
it wouldn't be surprising if he loses a set (his wins vs federer have been 3-1 most of the time recently)
if he stops trying drop shots like in the simon match, he should be pretty good
didn't watch the >nishikori match but score line looks good
also, i've never EVER bet on fedelel after pic related and ramos-vinolas
(he lost 4-6 4-6 to raonic)
The scoreline in the Djoker v Nishi match isn't very reflective of Djoker being the dominating player. Nishi was terrible rather than Djoker very good. I still expect him to roll Fed, especially as every time Fed has a quality match (which he did against Berdych), Federror turns up in the next match. In which case, I would favour Djoker's B game over Fed's.
saw the slip when you posted it originally, congratulations on the win
I actually liked his current form at the tournament and posted about laying fedelele but >m-muh fedgoat free money
makes sense, thanks for keeping me up to date
I was following the tennis thread while it was on with similar posts but couldn't be bothered spending my mobile data on a match I didn't have any money on
I literally watch all tennis tournaments so i knew raonic was in form plus the night before i saw warinka at crown at like 11.30pm so i thought he would be a bit tired by the time he got on court
The way the tournament has been panning out and the current form of the final 4, I don't see why Raonic couldn't win it all. Serving big, ground strokes have added depth and speed on them, and he's moving a lot better. Adding Moya to his coaching staff has been an excellent move.
Murray has the pregnancy and his father in law at the back of his mind. Playing well, but he's not 100% "there" if you get what I mean.
Djoker is still Djoker. His tournament to lose and he won't lose it off his racquet.
Then you have Fed who is still competing well, but needs all the chips to fall the right way for him to win this tournament.
I would put 3/5k and wait for the hedge, but I really don't think kerber stands a chance.
>ends up 3-4 somehow
>expect to beat gorilla
>1-5 h2h record
although you would get around ~800 from prestaking 5k, i honestly don't think she'll lose this one since there's no pressure of the final slam of a calendar slam
no, he got btfo real hard without hedging he said that before he made started using /freemoney/ name
then he didn't learn and bet on fedelel
>djoker breaks again
will bankroll serena and djoker again tomorrow, small on murray and raonic to win a set
Me too. Never watched a match but this seems too good to be true.
don't think so, djokovic probably toss him a bone to get him a game at least from pity
wouldn't be surprised to see him break him multiple times early, lose serve on purpose only to win 6-4