Mugs on Skonto edition
Previous thread: >>65144011
>FAQ and abbreviations list for those new to /bet/
>Help for gambling addiction/suicide hotlines
>/bet/ approved spreadsheet for tracking your bets
>FAQ and abbreviations list for those new to /bet/
>Help for gambling addiction/suicide hotlines
>/bet/ approved spreadsheet for tracking your bets
Just got home from the stadium thanks to the City women taking the match to penalties. Was Keys sailing to victory until she got injured? Can't decide whether to get on Zhang for the next match if she just struggled putting away a one legged opponent.
Not the guy you're talking to but seriously please at least learn what you're doing and what you're betting on. Not doing so means it will only be a matter of time before you lose it all.
Not to mention at certain times of the day you'd get ripped mercilessly for admitting to betting on something yet being completely clueless about it. Of course it doesn't matter because >caring what anonymous people say about you on a Bhutanese flip book site but saying things like that makes it looks like you're baiting for people to get angry and shitpost which, as I'm sure you've noticed, this general often struggles to control so it'd be appreciated if you didn't add to that either intentionally or unintentionally.
Next match is a real toss up. Both players out of nowhere making the quarters. They're tied 1-1 head to head, both matches on hard court, and their last match being in 2013. I won't bet until the warm up, but at this stage I'll say Zhang is the favourite purely based on Konta having to come off a tougher and longer match.
And just having a quick look at the draw, I don't see Williams or Azarenka being KO before the final unless they have a horror of a day before then. At the moment, they're priced at 2.00 Name the Finalists. Worth a small, possibly medium.
Does anyone have that blackjack table thing saved?
Juts realized that casino signup bonuses are crazy, so I'm thinking that I could just claim the bonus and break even playing blackjack for a while to meet turnover requirements
There is a point in the vid where he says Vegas casinos made billions off the superbowl last year.
>Quick google shows Vegas bookies took about 120 million dollars in bets and that doesn't even include what they paid out
But I guess it'd be pointles trying to argue that since they'd just tell us something about them controlling the information and lying about the numbers.
Just google blackjack guide or something. That guide runs at about 1% loss or something. However, the flaw in your plan is a) the % of your stake that goes towards your turnover is usually 100% on slots, 10% on blackjack, 5% on roulette or thereabouts, so you need to stake 10x the rollover which can be huge as it is, and b) the games are probably rigged even though they say they arent.
It would be fair to estimate they took half of it on either side. Taking in to account parlays and overround, I would say they made $80 million. Asian bookies take billions of dollars per week.
I would take Konta if she is the underdog purely because Zhang looked poor in the third set but women's tennis is lotto desu.
Also what are your thoughts on Nishi + 6.5 games tonight?
>the % of your stake that goes towards your turnover is usually 100% on slots, 10% on blackjack, 5% on roulette or thereabouts
fuck, know it was too good to work. Thanks, I'll have a look around to see if there are any without this limitation, but I doubt it
bet365 has pretty much the only good signup offer as far as sports betting goes desu
Vegas is the only place where it is completely 100% legal. so all big bookmakers run their business out is there. Usually each state will have a few towns where gambling is legal and nowhere else. Vegas is like New York City.
Hey guys, newbie here, I just wanted to ask if you guys think that basing bets solely on odds is a good idea, like betting after calculating the expected value of a certain bet given the odds teh booker presents. Because all my friends bet simply based on what team they think is gonna win based on their own knowledge of the team but I think my way is probably better.
Broncos in the spread and money line is easy money.
See through the NFL. The ARI-CAR game was engineered to prop them up and make people bet them.
Elway will look like a total failure if they don't get a super bowl, they won't let that happen. They want Manning to ride of into the sunset. They want the tremendous profit from gambling.
Sorry man, I only just moved here a few months ago for studying abroad, no insider info here. But I'll ask my italian roomates if they got any hot tips to share one of these days.
I think it's a fair shout, but only on a small. It will be very important for him to nab the 1st set, if not it will be hard to cover the spread. I'm expecting at least one, if not two, sets to have scorelines of 6-3 or 6-2. Only a matter of in whose favour.
Adding to this, there is a greater chance of me winning the AO next year than there is of Djokovic repeating a 100+ unforced errors performance, so Nish will have to win the match off his racquet rather than what Simon was trying to do. With the form he is in, and Djokovic's shaky performances, it wouldn't surprise me if Nishi pulls out a victory.
It's about time the youngsters break through, and there is no better time than this tournament.
Watch this guys videos about the NFL.
He predicted the HGH hoax and the Panthers-Broncos super bowl in December.
He also predicted the Patriots-Seahawks super bowl last year.
He is obviously seeing patterns.
Westerlo will have a very strong team out today. Their attack will be very strong, fielding Aoulad, Koffi and Visnakovs in attack, all have played over 10 games for the first team this season. They will have Ruyssen (13 games for the first team this season) and Verschurene in defence(1 game). In midfield they will field Trompet, Vercautere and Sakor who are all strong players.
Leuven on the other hand will have a very dire team out today. Only two players who will be playing today have first team experience. One of them has just come on as a substitute. They will also field two youngsters who train with the first team but have not played this season. The players are Din Sula(1 game as a sub, 1998), striker Nicolas Delporte (4 games, 1993), left back Nick Gillikens(0 games, 1995) and keeper Jordy Lokando (0 games, 1997).
Our opinion is that the experienced team Westerlo field is capable of beating this team. They have experienced players in all the key positions on the field while OH Leuven have less experienced players on. Could also be value on SW and HT/FT Westerlo. the line will not hold for long so asian 0.0 is also good bet.
I didnt bet on it because I'm not a permaDAC slug who makes up "muh Jews" conspiracies to give me an excuse to be on -EV sports.
I just meant they are on a minus rather than a plus or 0ah as they were before.
Don't forget that when the favourite does win its actually proof of a fix as they don't want to be too obvious so they don't fix it all the time.
>He predicted the HGH hoax
He predicted a scandal would affect one of the teams/players in the superbowl. Given how often NFL players get into the news for doing stupid shit and how much the media would obviously continue to repeat and make the scandal into a bigger thing the longer they stayed in the competition it could've applied to about half the teams in the league.
Congo defense is sort of shit and the Cameroon 'dangerous attacks' are much more 'dangerous' than Congos are. Still a pretty close game, pretty boring game too desu. Cameroon could score another and DNB might be worth a punt, though
You will be able to drink twice as much, though, without feeling too sick or intoxicated from it.
Also, don't let this become a habit, there will be a little man on your shoulder the week after telling you to do it again the next weekend. Just ignore him.
You may remember last year an anon telling you he was going to Slovakia on a stag do, that was me and its coming up next month. Dunno if I can sneak off to have a beer with a guy I met on the internet while we were simultaneously slaving rball on a Mongolian cave painting site without getting bantered to death though.
Can't even imagine the effect of uncut stuff, would probably make you fly, i'm no expert on the matter, only do this once or twice a year, but whenever i had a decent numbness/drip the stuff was the most fun. Newbie guy should just go on erowid, read up on it till the weekend and get hype, once this certain air of novelty wears off it's no longer as much fun and probably on the verge of becoming a dangerous habit.
What the fuck did you just fucking say about me, you little mug? I’ll have you know I graduated top of my class in the Spotting fixes academy, and I’ve been involved in numerous fixes on the Ukrainian reserves, and I have over 300 confirmed winning tips. I am trained in spotting fixes and I’m the top tipster in the entire PGA group. You are nothing to me but just another mug. I will wipe you the fuck out with shrewdness the likes of which has never been seen before on this Earth, mark my fucking words. You think you can get away with saying that shit to me over the Internet? Think again, fucker. As we speak I am contacting my secret network of fixers across Eastern Europe and your IP is being traced right now so you better prepare for the storm, maggot. The storm that wipes out the pathetic little thing you call your life. You’re fucking dead, kid. I can be anywhere, anytime, and I can fix games in over seven hundred ways, and that’s just with my bare hands. Not only am I extensively trained in fixing games in the BPL, but I have access to the entire arsenal of the Eastern European fixers and I will use it to its full extent to wipe your miserable ass off the face of the continent, you little shit. If only you could have known what unholy retribution your little “tears” comment was about to bring down upon you, maybe you would have held your fucking tongue. But you couldn’t, you didn’t, and now you’re paying the price, you goddamn mug. I will shit fury all over you and you will drown in it. You’re fucking dead, mug.
Lads lads lads surely Nike, Porsche and Evian wouldn't sponsor a girl that would lose EIGHTEEN games in a row against Serena would they?
I'm going to hazard a guess and say you're on the spectrum at least. The post you responded too was an hour old piss take of the thick Canadian poster. But fyi there has also been a couple fixed matches posted here that we know were fixed but quite a few can be manipulation
This is a webm of a fixed game that took place recently. Uni also posted plenty more webms in the thread that you can go find yourself just in case you thought this was a one time thing during the match
>You're English, so you'll die 5 miles from where you were born. Shut the fuck up.
>American calls out an Englishman for not being worldly
You know most Americans have never left their own state? And less than half have passports?
Literally the most disgusting eurotrash possible.
Enjoy your squalor, subhumans.
I found that 22% hadn't been outside the state which I believe between niggers and dirt poor rednecks. I found that 56% said they would prefer to stay in state for vacations and only a 3rd of the population did not have passports.
It was a DailyMail article though but it was the only thing referencing those two stats I could find at the moment.
The only other thing I found was a professor talking about an old statistic from the 50's that said only 40% of Americans had left their home state.
I don't doubt the statistic about leaving the country. Getting a passport and flying for 12 hours to get anywhere worthwhile is a huge hassle compared to all the things you can do in the continental 48 on vacation.
What can you do in America besides getting shot? Girls are shit, culture is nonexistant, food is cardboard.
Honest question here, they're offering me to cover a tournament there but I'd rather go to Costa Rica or Brazil
nah, didn't have a stream open and couldn't find the text feed t b h, most likely a malkia injury as muharraq got they yellow, besides the ah has been smacked way too far no point in getting on now
Cincinnati will be a shithole. Don't expect too much there. It's one of those town (pretty much everywhere big in Ohio is) that are now famous for being rundown after the factories moved out and all the jobs left. Pretty much all you can do is shop at outlets or drink in a bar.
California is the place to visit in the US. Used to be Florida but it got way too colorful down there.
I'm half white half paki and I'm doing Camp America in the summer. What states should I avoid? I look quite arab or maybe mediterranian but I've got green eyes, will I still get fucked by yobs for looking like a muzza
Brazil is continental like the US, but instead of going from west to east, it goes from south to north, so the changes are a bit extreme. To the north the poverty is pretty strong, Rio is very cosmopolite and if you're near the coast it's pretty good, Sao Paulo to me is a shithole, and the south is amazing
But yeah out of all my choices I'd pick Costa Rica instantly, spending 3-4 weeks there would be heaven
I'm gonna pull a lot of slags though right
I've never had sex with a girl I've met outside of a club, and when I text them the next morning they don't reply. So no I'm not a chad. Whenever I'm at the bar girls ask for photos though so idk I'm probably autistic
>Whenever I'm at the bar girls ask for photos
this is very good or very bad
was there an alien abduction in the doxa game? remember looking at it early with doxa absolutely dominant and on a -2 or something, then sus for almost half an hour in the 20th minute and the momentum shifted completely after that
Got on Al Muharraq at 8.5, come on you boys
I hope it's the former
judging from the relative lack of movement on altinordu when the rball was similar to this game, i doubt it, could imagine people other than twitchers looking for a misprice after last round t b h, gutted and not catching them @3 myself but anyone who got above evens should be content
Poland up by SIX after opening on a -4.5 handi already called mum on wkype at the twenty minue mark to tell her about the new JAPANESE KITCHEN KNIFE we're getting her tomorrow :)
>not following Euan on Tipstertube
>not even ironically
pretty good day for a monday t b h, laying off the steam for a while, got anything on today's matches urubro? >>65184269
didn't feel like aftertiming as i went away after placing it and returned to a goal but thanks for pointing it out lad, appreciate it
Welcome-Defensor the bookies gave a correct line, maybe leaning a bit too much towards Defensor. Don't want to predict anything because Welcome can easily get BTFO yet I don't like minuses, but a small minus on Defensor or SW seems nice
In Trouville-Larreborges the + seems a bit too big. I'd only get on +22 or something (which is likely), but last match was a bit too sweaty because Larre isn't as elastic as other teams (IE it's a low scoring team and is slow to catch up), yet the spread was smaller. This time the spread is very generous because Trouville's biggest difference was 18 against a team arguably equal to Larre, while Larre only lost by 22 once (last match), 20 once, and then 16 once. I suppose that waiting for the biggest + on Larre would be the bet of the day
Malvin-Goes is going to be very close, a +10 on either is good, Malvin is the favorite and likes to keep the score close, while Goes is very streaky, I'd advise against minuses or straight wins. If at any point there's like +14 or something it will be very safe
All of this of course excluding late third and fourth quarters, because there's less time to catch up and handis aren't spread
cheers mate, appreciate the effort, shaking in anticipation for tip-offs
also is it just me or do south american matches have a bigger tendency to produce goals after reds than european ones? thinking of digging up some stats on that
a literal flashscores bet, most other bookies seem to have pulled the game already, only checked BV manually but doesn't seem to be an oddsportal bug
i placed the bet already but i assume noone has checked how good those lads are yet, right?
lads, lads, lads let's have a winning mainstream parlay shall we?
>inb4 BUT METAKNIGHT THERE"S NO VALUE ON MAIN STREAM BETS LOL
Duke @2.5 against Miami. Similar records, Duke has won 5 of last 7 meetings. Duke has lost 3 of 4 but put together a dominant performance last game. Look for Coach K. to make a statement in their first game vs a ranked opponent since crashing down in the polls last week.
>pay out for the max stake is 1818.18
The NFL and the bookies are linked together.
Puppets and morons are going to bet the Panthers.
BASI BOOMS - (Harps) @basiharpreet 1h1 hour ago
BOOOOOOOOMMMMMMMM MAIN TIP LANDS AGAIN WOW WOW WOW LOOK !! AS ADVISED LAST NIGHT !! LOOK!! @FootyAccums
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meister looking like he's going to play a tie-break lel, seriously tempted for a top up into the dark lads, need help or info. the dog is a wild card too surely they must be shite?
kek'd, but we should all #pray4pac
>you will never die in a place called Nutty Putty Cave
Why bother dying?
Backed under 205.5 points Minnesota @ Cleveland NBA. Following a guy I respect, he believes that there has been an overreaction to the new head coach saying that they want to "push the pace" and that it won't be a smooth transition. These two teams played two weeks ago and Pinnacle closed their line on 195, so a 10.5 point adjustment for the new guy seems a little bit heavy.
they played and advanced from the 1st and 2nd qualifying rounds, while the 3rd is being played right now including our two dogs, couldn't get exact times but it surely wasn't too recent
meister just got broken back after several EXHAUSTING deuces to ensure the LENGTHY, SWEATY tie-break
I rarely ever touch NBA U/O's before game unless there is a lineup change/injury and it hasn't been adjusted/adjusted too much.
It's simply too volatile. One guy getting hot can fuck it all up. Although, seeing both these offenses on paper, a 90 something to 80 something game seems most likely.
It's just tough to tell with The Cavs because they have 4 guys who can really shoot the 3. If they all have a good game, they will smash it.
SA leads the NBA in all defensive categories. GSW u108 looks like a pretty nice bet, it's only 6 below their season average of 114. You'd have to think an elite defense would make more difference than that
If you want to punt, the GSW hype train has pushed this ML for SA to 2.75(!) despite them having the second best record in the entire league. Parker and Duncan have been resting since Friday for this game too.
just disgusted with the sums i put on challenger double slugs playing on a tiny island somewhere in pacific
meister probably just faking an injury now, lad is really desperate to catch a BREATH before the imminent thrashing he's going to receive
Golden State lead the NBA in nearly all offensive categories, 2nd in FG% but only by 0.5%
I think the game will come down to whether Barnes and Klay pick up the slack with Curry likely being defended by Kahwi
Issue is that Curry/Draymond plays less than 30 minutes on some nights due to blowouts. We should see full usage of both. Wouldn't be too sure on u108. That average comes from a lot of nights where the main guys are rested for half the game
where? not going to start in 10 minutes obviously but multiple sites seem to show multiple starting times
we should be fine if it's at 2 still, doubt them niggas in maui got cryochambers n shit to relax their ACHING muscles
tempted to top up the sw too, scared of decapitation
i mean it is not unthinkable they meister/quigley might stumble into a won tie-break in the 1st somehow, but surely they can't pull it off with this much F A T I G U E
lads why hasn't the line budged yet? shouldn't we able to move it in a market like this?
maui doubles, polansky/bester. meister is in the middle of a 3rd set tie-break but it started raining apparently
The doubles match is supposed to be in play already but because of this match running long its been delayed so thats probably why they don't have it. Give them a while to realise its just delayed or wait for it to actually have started and it might show up inplay.
I believe it should be starting in 50 mins unless they push it again.
ask yourself this, would you play your heart out when knackered like a cunt to try and go deep in the doubles tournament as a wee little wildcard after winning a sweaty match to progress in the singles?
and i refuse to believe memes about american motivation either, these DUDES can't wait to hit the WAVES after a quick tank job
small on Bader by Dec @ 8.00
medium on Rothwell SW @ 2.20
possibly on Alcantara who's sitting at 2.40 right now, Rivera's still pretty much a newcomer
i'm looking much more at Big Pig versus Thompson next weekend, special staking the fight going the distance @ 1.57
I just got here, I barely got my own tip out before the game started. Cleveland is like the lead of their division or w.e, shouldnt bet unders on their games.. bodog was giving o/u 211.5 or something when I got on.
I really like Rivera desu, his striking is improving quite a bit and he has solid wrestling I believe whilst Alcantara has struggled when with people who are willing to take him down (Saenz and Issa in round 1 before he gassed).
I'm waiting to see if Barnett's odds improve even more, I was very impressed with him vs Nelson and I think he just has more ways to win the fight.
Agree on Bader, maybe play some round props on him too + Bader by sub. If Bader gets his way he can grind Rumble out maybe causing him to gas and give up a choke of some sort.
I large on Tarec/Ellenberger going over 2.5, medium on Natal, Natal/Casey over 2.5, Sage/BB over 1.5, Jackson/Mak over 2.5