Live long and prosper edition
Previous thread: >>65097851
>FAQ and abbreviations list for those new to /bet/
>Help for gambling addiction/suicide hotlines
>/bet/ approved spreadsheet for tracking your bets
Yes it did. Inspect element or posting from phone and PC so same ip but recognised as two different devices so one doesn't show a (You)
You literally are not fooling anyone. Only way you didn't samefag was if someone else in your household just so happened to be the first to comment in the thread which would be a remarkable coincidence.
daily reminder that if you're not hunting big bonuses and betting them on >2.0 odds you're wasting your shekels
100 EU on AC Milan to win tonight, if they don't i'll get my cash back and register in a new bookie and leech their bonus as well.
the only +ev decision you can make, use your friends accounts for other rounds.
James Mckeown Natural selection will take place and people will leave the group who think losing bets = bad bets. Very disappointed with the result but that's gambling. Did not deserve to lose on a handicap. The research was there not really sure what more can be done. Good luck finding another group with some on offering a better opinion for a lower fee.
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Real Cuautitlan +1 asian at home to Loros De Colima - Bet365 - Large @ 1.9
Take large +1 asian, medium for +0.5... I have Real Cuautitlan as the better team.
Would like to post after the benefit of a little bit of inplay stats but these days prices collapse so quickly that are of any value so it's best for us to take it at kickoff.
I've been speaking to the club and they also said that they they are a much better team this season and will be the better team "on the field" to the question I asked if they think they could win they replied "Anyone can win brother".
Real Cuautitlan were a horrible side last year and this is why their is value. They have changed their entire squad and they have put together a really strong squad for this season and will be competing at the top of the table. Below is the starting XI's from their 6-0 loss at the end of last season and from last week their 2-2 draw. Only one name matches up Quinones and thats a different player just same name. No players from last season remain and its still being priced on that horrible squad.
Real Cuautitlan are full strength today, same team as last week.
This team is actually really good. Highlights videos below of their first 2 games of the season. I've been through their player profiles. Mostly quite impressive for this level, many have been at academies in Liga MX clubs.
Highlights of their last game (2-2): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j5hIl6eZJ4g&feature=youtu.be
Highlights of their 1st game of the season (4-1 win) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=crQcyDvF5vs&feature=youtu.be
This is the FB of their No.1 marksman Nino Torres.
5 of the 6 goals they have scored so far were scored by him. He starts today.
Starting XI for the final game of last season (Lost 6-0):
Starting XI last week:
>"Anyone can win brother"
Just scared the cat out of my room with how hard I laughed at the fact he tipped a large based on the team saying they were the better team and anyone can win.
He could easily have argued -1 was the bet because they had a high turnover and the team was full of Liga MX academy rejects/youth players.
Depends on a number of factors mostly what odds the winning tips will be and how frequent as well as what amount I'll be able to get on.
If the guaranteed winning tip is at shit tier odds, only gonna be able to get small amounts on or only come say once a week then I'd take frequent value bets that will lose from time to time as ultimately it'll prove more profitable than guaranteed winning tips if I can't get my money on or can only get a small amount on and the odds are shit.
Speaking of UCD Waves,
US QT Brigade vs. Irish Slags in five bongs.
Due to injuries, the US will only have two natural center backs, but they should stomp on the potatoes, as Saoirse Ronan's Oscar hopes are being stomped on by the American QT Brie Larson.
US win by four or more goals, try to get 2.00 or better on any AH or Over.
Thought so. I missed all the value here anyways. The better team was down by 6 and now they are up by 7. ML was right around evens now at like 1.1 frustrated beyond belief right now.
It's played in the USA. He's accounting for the time it takes for the teams to walk out and sing the anthems and do their hair and make up and shake hands and go to the toilet and do some karaoke THEN kick off.
Is the USA team actually better then this game: http://uk.women.soccerway.com/matches/2015/05/10/world/friendly-women/united-states/ireland-republic/1993662/ ?
From what I can see, they are going to be playing the younger, newer players tonight. Might not be a bad thing if they can actually move the ball around since they wont be lumping it up to Wambach to hold up.
i've got it guys.
i'm gonna start hanging around tennis clubs, meet some young dudes, convince them to throw a match or two ???? profit!
They probably do it all the time on those ITF tournaments anyway.
That game was a WWC tune up game, when the US were still working out lineups and formations. The QT's today are really playing for spots in the Olympic Team, the slags send their full senior team while the men send a junior team.
This is a victory tour, cash in game. The way the US federation makes money with the slags is to tour the country playing against soup cans, this explains the recent 100+ game home unbeaten streak (they were beaten by China in Wambach's final game). In the China game, they were only trying to get the carpet muncher a goal, and "she" just couldn't do it anymore, even against asian females half her size.
Yesterday's game ended 0-0 as well, dire weekend
Hoping tomorrow has some goals, going to the AZ - Feyenoord game and don't want a 0-0
[spoiler]even though >we could use the point[/spoiler]
Talk me through what would happen if you went on Take Me Out. What song would you come down to? What would your talent be? How many lights would you expect to have left by the end?
From bets I've made all from my own work on my spreadsheet (23 days worth), 25% are in asia, 55% are on bet365. I dont used 10bet and clones but probably 80%+ of the bets I make would be on 10bet as a guess.
Yeah I know but are they actually better?
Watched it too I think. Was probably on -4 or something. They can be so frustrating to watch the way the pass it about the edge of the box but never score.
Yes, alot of old slags retired and they called up fit QTs that can actually run and pass. Over half of the US team on the field should be players that have played professionally in Europe or Japan, where unlike the US they do not launch into the penalty box from midfield and hope that a tall lesbian heads it in.
Bet the hell out of Donald Trump to win the nomination and to become president. They have been mispricing the hell out of him since he started to run. Luckily, I got in my money in September when his odds were much higher. His odds are still great, though.
Even blacks like Trump. He will destroy Hillary in the debates. Just wait until he focuses on her. Most people don't care about retarded social issues, they just want jobs. I predict a landslide.
Pretty sure they opened on a -4 or thereabouts. on' get me wrong there was money to be made here but its really only a train if they're on a -1 at worst or a larger handi but going double figures.
Might be, I'm on my phone and have been refreshing open bets every 10 minutes so I can't say. I feel down right now even though I know I'm up. I'm up huge this month and I'm sweating a tenner.
>it was a good bet even though it lost
Reminder that Canada broke the secret NFL jew code of betting against the favourite because that is how jews fix it to make the most money but they can't do it every time or it'd be too obvious so thats when favourites win.
Holy shit this person made a million and gets paid to give tips
Reality isn't fair
They need to destroy Toros to have a good point difference and avoid the triple tie, in case Quimsa loses
Quimsa beat Toros by over 40 and BRs are not only in more need of the points, but also a better team and just evil, as all brazilian sportsmen
I'd say it's a good line
I'd say there's higher chances for Bauru to win by 50 than not to
On the other hand a big plus on the first quarter is more likely than a big minus. Third and fourth quarters will most likely be a massacre
Wonder how lines will be leveled
>Mfw after Missouri +14
Good sportsmanship by just running down the clock by Texas A&M with 20 seconds left to leave it at a 13 point win
It's not just that they're bad, but also Bauru, the best team in South America (champions of last Liga de las Americas, then Liga Sudamericana, in both tournaments winning every match), really need the point difference
If Bencic is to have any chance of winning this, she really needs to up her first serve %, especially now with a second chance at consolidating a break. Her second serves just sit there asking to be put away.
I'm pretty consistent with basketball. Tons of misprices and in play shit is normally good. Football is tricky, can't bet very often but there is consistent profit there. Soccer has so many leagues and games that there is always something to go on.
Hockey is a crapshoot
A couple of months ago, there was a hockey match a user researched and posted about. The captain had quit the team a few hours before the match, club was in turmoil over unpaid wages, and had lost a few days earlier to the same opponents. Went large. Never again.
Why does it take days to withdraw when it only takes seconds to deposit?
American sports are garbage for betting on and its frustrating to think how much money I've probably lost following tips here on it
>muh fast moving lines so can't tip the REAL value
If there is a match to show kids on how not to play tennis, this would be it. Can't believe they get paid the same for this crap. Crowd has been dead the entire time, piss poor serving, and unforced errors galore.
How did you do today /bet/? Did you mugged?
AYYYYYYY sugarpova goes marching on!
Would take a small/medium on the Auckland -2.5
Pretty much any Auckland team good enough to beat Wellington Phoenix Reserves by 2 or 3. Auckland fielding a very strong gk, defence and attack with several players even with experience playing in Europe but a fairly weak inexperienced midfield which is the only thing stopping me saying its a large.# as there is a chance they get outplayed in midfield but they should defend well and put away the chances they do get.
Wellington Phoenix Reserves with a fairly standard to weak team, no regular first teamers appearing.
Genuinely need some help. I am actually starting to go crazy. Just bet on Aucklund FH handi and literaly seconds later they conceded. I never believed in any mystical shit like god, ghosts or karma before but I am actually starting to think I am cursed. I have never had a month even close to this horrific.
Head's gone, feet's gone.
Just gotta have faith mate. Don't put anymore on this match though. Small chance it turns into a train but more likely Auckland sub out a couple of their better players. If you must bet again take a small on unders.
They're full strength and with all their players I think they're the best team in the comp. Better batting (Khawaja+Watson trump KP) and better bowling (Russell+McKay trump Beer and Hilf).
The Stars are quite depleted without their national players. They're missing Maxwell, Faulkner, Boland and Hastings.
Yeah the national players were only going to be available if they didn't play the ODI. 3 of them did and Maxwell is injured so he isn't playing either.
If the Stars had their national players I'd back them instead, but they don't
Fair enough. Coin toss won't influence your decision? Both teams that started batting in the semis depleted quickly. Weather is looking very good. Suns out. Clear skies. Doubt there will be any more showers.
You know Djokovic is tightening up when he cuts rallies short with silly drop shots. This is turning out to be quite the tactical battle. Doubt he'll pull this off, but went small on Simon because why not?
Talk about faith LOOL
TEARS if you werent up bright and early to get on the fix of the century.
Well, the Broncos beat the Pats in the AFC title game, in Denver, a couple years back, and Brady is 2-6 overall in Denver, and the Broncos won in Denver this season with Brock Osweiler at QB against NE
I don't think those mean anything for today but I certainly wouldn't entirely rule out Denver
Personally I have Denver going through, but I'm not betting on this game, I think Peyton is back on track (in terms of not being complete shit)
>win £150 from bets today
>play 2 rounds of blackjack
>lose all my profit
Can you lids help a relative newbie decide on value for the Standard-Gent game?
Standard started the season awfully. For the past 6 six games they've had a new trainer tho, and they've won their last 5 games. They also traditionally have good crowds, so home advantage. Not so much in the beginning of the season tho. They've also brought in a few very good reinforcement in Jan.
Gent have been the best team in the league for the past 2 years. In the last game against Anderlecht they weren't that good tho, only won because Anderlecht went full retard. Their away record is worse then their home record too.
I'm in doubt whether to go for Standard SW @2.4 or DNB @1.75.
Tears if you weren't on Navarro pre match and then rebacked after that first set. Gavrilova playing purely on adrenaline and was never going to last the full 3 sets. Did post about being ready for the in play bets 2 days ago.
My money is smart af then
That's a weird deduction but ok
>not being at the footy
>Bookmaker William Hill has seen a huge rush to back The Big Short for Oscar glory and has slashed its odds from 10/1 to 5/4 accordingly.
>"We think this is the biggest move in 30-odd years of Oscar betting," said a William Hill spokesman.
wew, imagine being on large at 10/1
Yeah they're still dominating possession... I have hope
This is the life I lead. Why am I such a mug
hearts game summed up, my weekend summed up
Hearts hit the crossbar with a header for the second time in this second half and this time Dario Zanatta really should score. He was right in front of goal and didn't even have to jump. Bad, bad miss.
Just the -0.5 HT which won and -1.25 from 7-0 which will lose.
Done today all wrong. Spent time looking at shite bets and missing good ones. Not been up for the day in 5 days.
Anyone know a good place to get CV advice? I think I need to get a job.
You tell me:
Austria Klagenfurt -3.5 (2-0) won
Slavia Kromeriz -0.5 (8-0) late to a train, lost
Alta -0.5 HT (1-0) lotto shit lost
Austria Klagenfurt -1.0 HT (4-0) Won
HauPa lost, didnt get on DC because rball was "too good"
HauPa -0.25 lossed becasue I issed the line
O3.5 greek youth fix won bust got out of it
Ferencvarosi +0.5 Loss
TNS -1.75 HW
MynPa -0.5 (1-0) won
PK35 -0.75 loss but should have won
PK35 -0.25 HT (0-1) half loss
Mynpa -0.25 (2-0) won
PK35 -0.5 (0-1) won
PK35 -0.25 (2-2) lost
Karditsas prestaked last nigt
Karditsas -3 playing 9 men and stopped scoring
Hoogee II -0.25 (3-0) HT followed /bet/, lost
O2.5 baited ona fix
ONS -0.5 (1-0) HT Won
Snaefell W -14.5 tipped by bird
0-0 cheeky for bet below
U2.25 in rainy Indonesian cup game dont even know score
ONS -1.25 (7-0) winning but cashed out for a loss because I cba any more.
Head officially gone.