Previous thread: >>65068062
Emily webb edition
>FAQ and abbreviations list for those new to /bet/
>Help for gambling addiction/suicide hotlines
>/bet/ approved spreadsheet for tracking your bets
>Le Peter Webb face :^) sub edition
please just shave it sub sub edition
careful about aragua, though that rball seems to be driving up the odds, i'd wait untill they start being dangerous
urena did make a couple free transfers but they're no biggies, only one is starting as CM and he's been passed around for free like a cheap whore
You can google both the bruins and canucks for the last few games really easily and see that maybe 1 of them if that was above 5 points. 7 is extremely rare for them, paying out -200 is almost guaranteed free money. -5.5 was a safe bet too, but I figured why chance it.
>implying I wasnt last year
I dont feel like blanking out the numbers, they are for Trump.
Also got 3$ on Bernie at 6-1 if hes democratic nominee, put that one on after he started beating Hillary in all the polls.
I bet Trump back in October.
Sunday will have the easiest bet in the world. The AFC has been easy this year. The Patriots have no chance. The NFL is rigged.
1. Manning has the best storyline. Better storyline=more revenue.
2. More money is going on the Patriots. The NFL likes to rig big games because they are bet on the most.
Broncos all the way.
Also, I would never put a dime on that kike Bernie Sanders. He has no chance, the DNC will not allow it. Hillary already has 35% of the vote from super delegates.
Its 3$, I make 20, he's ahead of Hillary.
It just made sense, I turned him down at 8-1 because he didnt look like he could do it, but now Hillary's poll numbers are tanking and hes skyrocketing.
>A new poll has absolutely shattered previous records for Bernie Sanders’ success in New Hampshire.
>Bernie Sanders now holds an incredible 27-point lead in the first-in-the-nation primary state, according to the newest poll from CNN/WMUR. Sanders received 60% of the vote to Clinton’s 33%.
Its not just that state, and thats the most important one. The point is people dont like Hillary, and shes being crushed.
Did I not say New Hampshire is not representative of the whole country, its an absolute gimme for Sanders because of how close to Vermont it is. Hilary is still leading in the polls
Just garlic pepper sprinkled onto whole wheat bread rounds.
I think they have a good chance with their defense, but Brady and Belichick are another beast in the playoffs. I'm not going to touch it
>There is no law that prohibits the NFL from rigging the games
The NFL is fucking rigged. How can you not see this? The owners split most of their earnings evenly. This means that if they determine that a Broncos win will net them more money, they will do it.
he got fined and banned from the league for this
the cuck media went berserk over it for about a week
Everytime something will go different to his supposed rigging he will just come up with another reason why they chose that outcome instead.
Even with the refs help the Broncos will still lose. I would be shocked if they score a single TD.
okay lets say this is true
if you werent a moron you would know boston and the state of mass is a bigger market than denver and colorado, and the possibility of brady getting a 5th ring is a bigger story than le playoff choker man getting his 2nd
also carolina would be anywhere near the superbowl
It's difficult when you don't have as much information as them. Of course, they can't rig a game every time or too many people will catch on.
You just have to look at the story lines and where the money is going.
No one other than Patriots fans want them to win. Everyone wants to see Manning retire and ride of into the sunset. No one likes Brady, everyone likes Manning. Happy sheep are good sheep. The super bowl will be huge. A dying star vs a rising star. Most of the money is going on the Patriots in the money line and in the spread. This means that if the Broncos win, vegas makes a lot of money. Remember, there is no law that stops them from rigging games.
Gee, I wonder who they will pick?
You can't rig the games all the time. People are already sick of the Patriots, they hate them. They can't win all the time or more people will get suspicious.
Look at the Packers, they played like shit all year. Then they suddenly play good against the Redskins and move the ball? The Packers are a huge franchise, so they wanted more money.
>Most of the money is going on the Patriots in the money line and in the spread. This means that if the Broncos win, vegas makes a lot of money.
>Remember, there is no law that stops them from rigging games.
i really really hope this is a troll
If Goodell and his jews decide that a Patriots victory will benefit them more financially, they will do it.
However, if the Patriots do win this week, I will be 100% certain they will lose to Carolina. Again, I don't have all the information. This system has been working for me though. You can't be right all the time. You have to know how the jew thinks. Goodell would never allow a blowout in the last game of Mannings career though.
Based bencic. Most reliable rising star
No, they don't. The money line might not matter as much, but the spread does.
The juice they earn is not enough. 75% of the bets in the spread are going on the Patriots. The potential earnings are huge if they lose.
Goodell is in Vegas' pockets.
What? If they rig just 20% of the games they get more profit.
Don't underestimate the power of jews. Most owners are jewish. Money is important to them.
It increases my chances because the game will be close.
got on clippers at 8.5, its the pistons that are really fucked up. Metaknight said to get on them unless Its me that misunderstood, or it was some trick for a mole or something lol
I guess they decided to pull their goalie, it allows them to get an extra man on the ice in a last attempt at trying it in order to go into overtime.
Overtime doesnt count towards the overs and unders Im pretty sure.
first time posting in /bet/ here
going on vacation in a couple of days and gonna hit up the sports book. Used to gamble back in the day on sports (online sites and Vegas) and always used to pay attention odds.
The odds for both games Sunday don't make a lot of sense to me. I understand NE being favored, but Carolina only being favored by 3 makes no sense. They should be able to cover that no problem. I expected Carolina to be favored 6 maybe 7. Anyways thinking of laying a lot of money down on Carolina and wanted to know who /bet/ is picking?
Its a meme from when this happened and a Mexican couldn't grasp why we were gambling on a game we "knew nothing about"
A Panthers victory will do good for the league. No one cares about Arizona.
A Broncos victory will do a lot more. 95% of the country is rooting for them. 75% of the spread money is going on Patriots. A rigged game for the Broncos will be greatly beneficial for the NFL. The Broncos will be good in the spread, at least.
>limiting someone gifting you money
post slip slug
DAILY REMINDER to follow me in betting on both favourites to cover spread in the NFL, pats overs should come in too
Question about that. How do bookies (and police?) enforce people just going to games live and placing bets before it updates with the bookies? I imagine some sports also have radio broadcasts which are also ahead of the bookies so same thing. Does the bookie just ban you if it keeps happening?
Bookies have the 5 second delay for when you place in play bets for just that reason, they'll have someone at the match or watching a stream with a less than 5 second delay who will suspend ASAP preventing you exploiting it but this was such a shit tier match that the radio at least was just far enough ahead that it might have been exploitable.
There are still occasions when bookies fuck up completely and leave it unsuspended after a pen has been awarded or after a goal has gone in and they will pay out on it 99% of the time because very few people will get on as there is no time to tip anyone else before it does get corrected so its just if you're fast enough to get on yourself.
This happened in the womens world cup with one of the Germany games, the ball went in but it didnt register for about 5 seconds. I was about to stake it anyway so got lucky and clicked max bet and insta staked it.
bookies hire several scouts, most matches have at least both rball and sportsdata but if you're lucky and live in a very obscure country (wink, wink) you can go to a match where there's only one scout and take advantage, because bookies won't notice his mistakes
more like 3 or 4 and thats enough for the scout to get the game suspended before any bets go through on a goal
if it was possible dont you think the bookies would have stopped it by now? It would get out and they would be taking huge losses
I do, but only because I had some bitcoin lying around and the btc sportsbook I use follows Pinnacle's lines
Nitrogen has best odds and tons of prop bets if you're into that, Directbet isn't bad but a little convoluted (more obscure markets though, but dire odds). Hopefully, there'll be more competition in the future but these are the two reliable ones
If you're going to use nitro, use my jewlink:
They are stopping it. People have been thrown out of tennis matches and arrested on occasion, for recording match info and stats for betting syndicates (like the rball guy does for bookies). It''s like throwing someone out for card-counting. Pretty ridiculous desu
Green Bay needed
>redzone picks by a QB who has been automatic all season. Attributed to injured thumb
>A pick 6 called back on bullshit
>a literal hail Mary
Let's not act like the Packers had any business being in that game.
Like I said, Arizona has a better QB, run game, WR corp and defense.
All Carolina really has over them is run defense
I've learned that in basketball, always bet for the better team and only bet if one team is head and shoulders above. It really is a game of averages. It will even itself out at some point. The value is spotting games or quarters where it is currently uneven.
i just need hawks to win and i win my bet (technically speaking, still need spurs to win)
With the Stars missing their aussie internationals and the wet conditions I'll be hopping on the Scorchers for the pre-stake. What are the chances a similar debacle to last night will happen? Hope the Stars' odds go up early to hedge and get comfy
I thought Stars desu, I just don't rate the Scorchers batting at all. If they're 3 down it's ogre.
That said its luckswing and I've got my hedge on with that early wicket so I'm comfy either way,
Went small on o5.5 in the Port Melbourne v South Melbourne. PM have been doing ok this pre-season. Beat Heidelberg the other day. SM have signed a few new players and have been testing things out. Victorian pre-season is risky because of all the new signings and players on trial.
good one lad, was too scared to put money on it with 5 minutes to go in a friendly personally, also because i considered the - after the 1st goal in the 2nd t b h
what do you think about the birkalla match? adelaide did have a pretty surreal offense last season, was a bit surprised to get o2.75 around 10-15 minutes in
adelaide city just had a 2nd disallowed, also on a 0 but still suspended so might be adjusted, tempted to go with the rball and top up on it if it stays that way, otherwise i'll probably re-back the overs
Give it a couple of weeks until teams finalise. Word spreads quickly about transfers, injuries, etc, especially in Victoria. Once you know someone playing in the NPL leagues, they'll know someone else and so on.
Don't know a whole lot about South Australian football unfortunately. But recalling from my junior days, Adelaide City are one of if not the top club in the local state league. And just like the Victorian sides, a lot of testing out.
Some people do, it seems most people make shitty bets.
I mostly broke even yesterday but ended up down after I took some shit apehoop bets I didnt know enough about.
Gave 2 tips yesterday in here and both worked out, BTTS for a soccer game in the old thread.. I think the las palmas one, and then the hockey game for u6.5 at -200 for canucks bruins.
People are really mean here if you ask simple questions, I still cant get it out of them what PMSL means.
u6.5 is under 6.5 points. 7 goals total in the game and you lose. 6 and you win.
Norwich-Liverpool 4+ (four or more goals)
Manchester United-Southampton X (tie)
Crystal Palace-Tottenham 2 (tottenham to win)
Watford-Newcastle 2 (newcastle to win)
West Bromwich Albion - Aston Villa X (tie)
what do you think about these bets for the weekend, guys?
wish people would stop asking the most trivial questions, both canada's and croatia's would literally be the first google result with a bit of effort
looking at the nitra match, thought about the + but myjava are getting some first teamers back, mostly offensive players, wish there was btts but nitra do not deserve a +1.75 imo, myjava goalie should still have PTSD from shipping 9 to trencin, still overs are probably safer
any value in the algeria u21s?
365 refball in the nitra match is stuck btw, myjava had a dis goal 5 minutes ago, pretty much holding me at gunpoint and ordering me to top up now
sick tune, should help headless people
anyone got a heads-up for the arab/jew matches? cba to sift through them when i don't have much knowledge there
nitra really deserves a goal to be honest, 2 would be a gift but i'll take a spartak one too
i don't bet on every game m8, but i like to take a look at most of them if i can/care instead of spending my type seething on a bhutanese goat trading forum
bet on 3 matches today and been up since 10, that's not so bad t b h
Viborg-AGF just started, here are lineups
AGF: pic related.
stream for zilina match, better lineup that wisla imo, if anything i'd go for fh on them but waiting a tad
Gavrilova will be coming off a 3 hour match and a doubles match tomorrow, to play against Navarro who just got a walk over. Be prepared for the in-plays in case Gavrilova nabs the first set.
actually around 100
why are you consantly seething if it doesn't bother you though? you can discuss PGA shite on facebook so why does it bother you so much that someone's posting winning bets inbetween the memes and gimmicks?
also zilina surreal, check your blood pressure :-)
I don't even care about him betting on everything, I don't see why he feels the need to post every inane though or occurrence in his day.
>Just took o0.5 in this game as the other team wee playing fridge defenders and instant goal
So? Feel free to post tips but inane drive like this pisses me off
Get some friends to talk with, posts like this are not interesting or constructive at all. Also I know I need to have sex and am down a cunt today etc.
is it genuinely bad to post about a dis goal or game flow in a researched game? or is it only bad because the myjava overs hit and you didn't catch zilina HT :-) ?
though unless it will be something huge like pennant coming on for tampines, i will limit the updates in the future, since i can't really gauge how many people got on and it could be just falling on deaf ears anyway
I posted it a few days ago, can tell you're a complete slug by how you think Betfair P/L is any indication of shrewdness and not Asia P/L.
Pmsl, never seen you post anything close to decent research on here. Get some friends.
i'll make sure to write an essay for you next time on every reason behind a bet :-) not only are you seething like a little toddler, you're basically crying to be spoonfed baby food like one
can't imagine how it must feel to have a day off from your shelf stacking and still miss my bets pmsl
Slovakia why don't you just post your P&I to shut him up? Talk is cheap and that's all you're doing
The fact you're refusing to post your P&I tells me that you're not doing so well
Get your shit together, AGF!
Pretty much full strength
it's the fact that i am lazy fuck without a spreadsheet, would consume way too much time on a shitty temporary laptop with the amount of bets i place, if someone's autistic enough you can seach the /bet/ archives if there's a flag filter or something in there if you want to rate me
i don't claim to be no super shrewdie, i like to post bets and i like to win bets a lot of people enjoy that and a few seethe. still can't figure out why angry britanons don't just filter me if i'm such an annoying slug in their eyes lel
I don't think anyone is debating whether he is doing well or not, anyone making so many bets based on nothing is clearly not shrewd. The issue is that he's pointlessly blogging about games only he is on with irrelevant posts. Wasn't me who complained before anyone has a go.
Kek lad spreadsheet or not you'd have an idea how how profitable (or not) you are. I'll take your word for it because if you feel the need to lie about how much money you make on a chinese imageboard well thats rather pointless.
I'm interested just out of curiosity if you can actually be profitable by betting on all the random crap that you do.
So I'll ask the question again, have you made money in 2016 and if so how much? Here I'll even give you my numbers: $4.2K turnedover, $1.5k profit. Not hard is it?
Who cares about that? It's a dead community and you're complaining about him posting too much? Kek
Honestly you're one of the best posters here. It's the same Brit anon who has constantly tried to drive away any trip or foreign anon for a long time now. Keep doing what you're doing buddy :)
Clearly not because there's more than one of us that's been posting about how much of an annoying slug he is. Keep licking that arse, I'm sure he'll spoonfeed you a nice 5 minute rball bet to get your shelf stacking minimum wage on pmsl.
It's pretty obvious by the posting style who you are. Yes others have said things too but you are the main culprit as always.
Inb4 you act like you're super innocent and say in paranoid etc like you do every time
You are the deranged freak of /bet/. You can reply to me with whatever combination of slug, Pmsl, plumber, student etc. That you want but at the end of the day you know yourself you're depressed and have very little contact with the outside world and most people in /bet/ are pretty cool and happy, must make you very angry to see.
Go on then :)
slavia praha with almost a full strength line-up, hoping for a -1.5
please tell me how a big boy making thousands on the shrewdest bets like you is too thick to use the filter function, i'd love to hear that. to think there's a whole two people who are as dense as you is just frightening
>grasping at straws this bad
just figured i would put something on-topic in the best
please i BEG you to have sex, come home and make the decision to filter the beatiful nation of slovakia
you're scaring me honestly lad, surely only a schizophrenic person could devote so much time to setthing at my posts without filtering me
Al Nasr vs Al Dhafra. 30 minutes in 0-0. However Al Nasr are down to 10 men. Went small on o2.5. Can't help it when I see reds this early. Only info I have on these sides is that Al Nasr are 3rd in the league. Al Dhafra are 2nd last in a 14 team league.
taking furth 0ah @1.83, watched for a bit and grasshoppers were getting outplayed, expect the odds to drop once the 2nd half rotations get announced, don't expect the momentum to shift as grasshoppers best players are on the pitch atm
up about 650 in 2016, was close to 2k at one point
as for sep-dec 2015 it's wild guess, did end up foolishly blowing my roll from a 500 deposit but have withdrawn well over that, i guess 300-500 probably on the lower side
>furth in charge of further increasing profits
>Manchester City Women have completed the signing of Swedish international striker Kosovare Asllani from Paris Saint-Germain.
Based Asslani coming to the UK lads
You better hope I don't catch you posting shit like this again m80
Talked to a norwegian guy today while doing cross country skiing, gave him some warm blueberry soup and he said he would thank me by giving me a world tip. Aalesund on the asian handie tonight mate he said as he went, was way faster than me those norwegians don't mess around.
I can always resell it, r-right
That pic is a few years old tbf, here's one from today
Something about girls and ponytails just does it for me, this girl would solidly get it
Why was the dinamo moscow -1 bet made void?
They won 2-0.
Bet365 won't give me any answers either
shaking at sums stalkamaratene +, wouldn't get on it now this late but honestly sw is worth a cheeky tenner @9, looking really confident in attack and pressing with energy despite being such a dog
I think I don't understand Asian Handicaps.
I placed the bet when Dinamo were 1-0 up so the handicap made the score 0-0 right? That means that they'd have to score by at least one goal to win?
Or did it mean the handicap ignores the current score and just sets it to -1 to Dinamo?
honestly not as much movement since the post probably not worth a bet now, confident in the +, pity i wasn't here earlier to post it
Alright, you're cool.
Yes when you bet on the AH it resets the score to 0-0.
The match finished 2-0 and 1-0 from when you bet on it.
You bet -1 so 1-1 = 0 therefore it was 0-0 and you get your money back.
If you bet -0.5 you would have won. -0.75 half win. etc.
Betting on -1 means they are theoretically 1 goal behind, regardless of current score. If they score 1, it makes the score level; voiding your bet (as are the rules of asian handicap). If they score two however, they have won by 1 goal, meaning the bet wins.
why aren't you the only +ev thing in sport gambling anon ? bonus collecting, i just joined 4 new bookies, i'll have 100 as a cashback in each one.
400 in total risk free bets.