Sharp money taken to the cleaners by the /bet/ mafia AGAIN edition
Previous thread: >>64946006
>Broccoli is the GOAT veggie sub-edition
>FAQ and abbreviations list for those new to /bet/
>Help for gambling addiction/suicide hotlines
Was andy reid trying to NOT cover the spread?
>It was definitely better than your bet wasn't it Americunt. ;^)
Pats bet sucked out, it easily could have ended 23-27 at worst and you know it.
I still live in a first world country and make 7x your average wage so... guess you got me there, pedro
assuming i'm not misunderstanding what leg means (2 matches played, with one being at home & away) is that it disrupts the schedule of matches being weekly and the NFL is way more injury prone than soccer games
so the super bowl would become a competition of who has the least injured roster compared to the best team
>get talked shit back at
what's your reasoning behind this one? i don't see how blazers have an answer for okafor unless he tires/chimps out and gets benched.
i do think blazers are the *marginally* better team though
Thought being angry in every post was reserved
for angry brit anon
>He's so mad it actually carried over to the new thread.
Had to provide this local Instagram model I dm'd last night with passport proof of my multi-nationalism.
name a more based, elite and muscular sport than one-day cricket.
protip: you cannot
>carried it over to the new thread
>new thread rubs it in in the OP
angry is in my name for a reason
peace man, I'm just pissed about losing that much money over what I see as some really biased calls and a bad turnover
No. ;^) Not much to write home about either, just another Kardashian clone.
true. But I'm at ~65% for both Test & t20 and ODI's are alot more predictable than t20 which is basically lotto and much faster paced than Tests and usually played on flatter decks so better for overs betting.
Of the three formats I think ODI is the best for betting.
>g-good thing I d-didn't chase Chiefs losses on GS
not enough alcohol in the world
Glazkov vs Martin
Ukrainian is ranked 6th in the world and unbeaten in his 22 fights winning 13 by KO he is more of a stayer than a puncher and has beaten many fighters with impressive records, Martin is a puncher and will need an early finish or he will be in trouble he is ranked 42nd and also unbeaten winning 20 of his fights by KO but its the first time against such a high ranking opponent. Martin started to box at 22 years of age which usually prevents from boxing against elite competition unless you're some kind of phenom.
I'm taking Glazkov SW
Peterson with a big punt return is the only one that worries me. Hope they kick away from him. Cobb is ded, Lacy is fat and Fitz is old.
>tfw didn't get on the Warriors handi at halftime
With clear conscience - no. I layed small on Szpilka, but only to enjoy the fight more. From the betting perspective Wilder should maul him and obviously there's no value on Wilder. Maybe it going the distance? Hell, Szpilka has superb determination, but his chin is suspect, he won't quit unless his chin quits on him.
>15 minutes later's face when didn't get on the Warriors handi at halftime
Really meant mentality was. Scandinavia has the same feminist mentality that the rest of Western Europe has.
Gets labelled under East Asia. Personally only count China, South Korea and Japan the East.
Note sure mate. Dont have a Finnish gf to ask :(
Their league isnt carried, rarely play internationally. Totally irrelevant. Probably one of THE most irrelevant countries in the world
/bet/'s reaction when metaKnight ban is lifted and he resumes posting top quality tips and banter LOL
Denver to cover up to 8.5 is a safe call.
Pittsburgh is without DeAngelo Williams and Antonio Brown, and Roesthlisberger is 60% healthy at best.
Manning is likely to luck into at least a couple scores, and their defense is healthy. A banged up Pittsburgh should be easy to handle.
They've done it every fucking game aswell
WHEN will they learn?
Not to mention that Australia already weak bowling line-up was even weaker with a frontline bowler dropped for an allrounder?
I really don't understand cricket odds, been following the box score of the Aussie game and they've needed roughly the same ratio of runs to balls left for the whole game yet they're now massive favourites. I get they've only lost one batsman, but feel like the real danger would be running out of time.
Time isn't really an issue in this form of the game.
It's basically save the wickets and slowly take down the target then in the last 10/15 overs smash it around and get there.
it's all about not throwing away wickets early
Juventus are on the speed of light, the probability of them slowing down are greater than them speeding up. There will be value betting against them in the next games. Starting today vs udinese.
I have sickening amounts on UFC tonight:
Blanco @ 1.80- he is fighting Sanders who is making his debut on short notice and fighting up a weight class
Côté @ 2.00- has been on a nice run lately and should have the edge on the feet. Saunders is hittable but Côté has to be very careful of his dangerous guard.
Pearson/Trinaldo goes to decision @ 1.72- American bookies and most UK bookies have the odds lower than that. Trinaldo is durable and his best way to win is to make this a grinder.
Rosa/Bochniak under 2.5 rounds @ 1.72- Rosa never won a decision in his pro career and Bochniak is an agressive fighter who is making his debut on less than one weeks notice (having fought last Friday in another organisation). Could play it safe and go 'fight doesn't go to decision' @ about 1.66.
Pettis ITD- Pettis is coming off a decisive loss to RDA where he got outwrestled, he has now employed one of the best wrestling coaches in the game- Izzy Martinez. Alvarez tends to get hurt in most of his fights but if he gets hurt against Pettis than expect Pettis to finish him. You could argue that Alvarez is on the decline.
Browne/Mitrione ends in round 1 @ 1.81 (I had to combine different bets to make this as bet365 don't have that market)- both are HW's with high finishing percentages. Mitrione's last 7 fights ended in round 1 and Browne's 7 out of the last 8 ended in the first.
All of my bets for tonight are in the pic. Might add some more later if I find anything good.
Reminder that you will never be so shrewd that a bookmaker will pay you to sit on Betfair.
>youll never be a penny punter pulling an Eastern European qt
"We have identified that this fixture was listed incorrectly and as such, in accordance with our rules, the selection has been made void.
Please accept our apologies for any inconvenience caused.
Aaaand another one! Zlatan scores the only goal of the game to give PSG the win, making us £25.61. For today's game, and the 5th bet of our rolling acca, we'll go with:
Roma - Verona @ 1.33
Verona find themselves at the bottom of the table in 20th place without a win all season. On top of this, leading goalscorer, Luca Toni, is out with a calf injury, as well as starting defender, Eros Pisano. Roma, on the other hand, have lost just one home game all season.
Best of luck.
>he hasnt put an irresponsible amount of money on a liverpool united draw
AA Gent - Anderlecht in about half an hour. BTTS @1.66. Gent are starting their shitty defence, Anderlecht only has a shitty defence. Both have their best attackers available.
Will post more while watching.
Immortals will win again tonight. If odds are 1.35 or more - go. If under, wait for inplay.
To the Brit asking for other games:
The most value of a cheeky-fiver-bet is Renegades to win. Both Impact and Moon are playing but I have little faith in Moon.
@ 2.65 it's a good bet, it's a 40/60 probability bet in favour of NRG.
<this can be looked into
Is this bitch stupid? It's in their fucking terms and conditions that if a player retires the bet will be void.
Basically convert the odds to a percentage. If you think the bookies implied odds is lower than what you think the real chance of it happening is then its +ev. Opposite for -ev.
Hence why we say betting on mainstream stuff is mostly -ev as bookies have tonnes of info and you just have soccerway and "they're good they'll win!!"
ok, thanks a lot. Obviously its better to bet on more obscure games since the bookies will have less info but how would you go about obtaining the info about the obscure games to get an edge?
thats very helpful thanks, one more thing- with so many games on every day how do I know which ones to research? I mean I doubt anyone has the time to research 20+ games every day
you don't, over time you gain knowledge and watching the games you'll realize if they're worthy of investing more time or not
just check the schedule and see if anything sounds good, if not don't chase
You kind of just have to learn over time. Look at the sort of games people mention they are on here.
Think this post mentions it too.
Yeah for now just go off your own back. Check the schedule beforehand and see if you can spot value yourself.
This thread's pretty useless nowadays for decent tips but now and then a gem pops up, so keep an eye out.
You do pick up the leagues/countries which show consistent value and also important aspects of betting in general just by involving yourself in it regularly and checking the thread.
There's at least a match a month this thread finds out that are extremely profitable
In november there were the south american slags, december phillipines, january aussie friendlies
Besides the trains there's also several locks, like the ones I provided for futsal slags last month
Hate it when managers, pundits & anyone else say a player "should have hit the target." Hitting the target not good enough v world class GK.
Try to stick it right in the corner otherwise he saves it. If you miss the target as a result so be it. No point hitting it close to De Gea.
What happens if a super rich guy keeps betting maximum amounts of cash on super easy odds and keeps winning?
What happens to the company? do they just let it happen and hope he loses one day? or do they stop him by force or what?
First of all there's a maximum limit on a single bet, but even if you did bet the limit on 1.10-odds you would either lose your money because shit happens, or get limited by the bookie. Meaning you can only bet a really small amount of money.
Keep pretending it was a coin toss and not leaving the opponent's best receiver competely uncovered and untouched. You got fucked by an absolutely wretched defensive scheme and nothing else.
iktf so hard
pissed away my roll because I started betting 5% of roll like a big boy and I lost 16 bets in a row. Then I reback bankrolled a 'money train'. They scored 5, I needed one more goal, and then conceded 3 and I lost all my bets
I think this photo will eternally be the best.
The limp posture, the cheap pale shirt, awful mini-quiff, fat cheeks, overhanging fat pecks, a huge slab of meat and the face of gluttony to go with it.
So many unanswered questions too - why has he drunk so much but eaten so little? Why has he cut up the meat into so many small chunks? Why is he resting his knife across the meat ensuring the handle gets all sticky? Assuming the small dark pot had some sort of sauce in it, where has it gone?
What a shot
The face is incredible. Every time I get drawn into some fix which turns into manipulation I think of his smug, fat face and I literally cannot stop shaking, it riles me SO much.
>not being able to use your knife and for in either hand
Nice to see I patiently waited a whole day not to prestake a game then it goes pulled from the inplay section a minute in
Utter can only tip the top leagues of those countries plus the CL pmsl
Reminder that LITERALLY none of you are shrewd enough to beat Asia long term.
>Basi in charge of taking sound advice given out politely