Since we know that Bernie Sanders has no chance in hell, I am 100% sure that he will go independent, which could potentially split the GOP and democrat vote, possibly in favor of Hillary.
Do you think Trump has a chance? There's no way Bernie won't go independent, and there are a lot of pro-Bernie fags out there.
Dear Penthouse Letters,
This chick I dated wanted to be raped by three men....
That would be interesting to see the shoe on the other foot, for once. Bernie goes rogue, splits the DNC.
Opens the door for our last Savior to just walk on in. I like it.
No what will happen at least on the Dem side
>Bernie loses to Clinton
>Clinton chooses him as her VP effectively shifting his voting base to her
>Or she chooses someone else for diversity brownie points
>Sanders steps away and tells everyone to vote Clinton
Maybe if Bernie had balls, which he clearly doesn't, he'd realize the DNC is fucking him over like Webb did and tell them to go fuck themselves. But that would just mean the GOP has a guaranteed victory.
And if Bernie wins by some miracle, Kasich put it best "we'll win every state". Bernie has received no formal attacks and there is plenty to attack. America at large is still not going to vote for a socialist, especially those who actually show up to the polls and Bernie is not going to rally the minority vote like Obama did.
As for the GOP its honestly a hard bet: Market odds favor Trump to win and I imagine Trump has two very distinct GOP campaign and Primary campaign strategies; the second of which will have a much more unifying message that will swing over moderate dems (which is already happening).
Cruz is second most likely to win the nom; his extremely shrewd and conniving which will be good when he debates but most Americans listen to ads not debates and the Dems will be ruthless against Cruz and have plenty of ammo.
Rubio is then the third most likely and it'd just be another Romney/Obama where people would just be scratching their heads as to where the differences lie; if Rubio mans up and unleashes some Trump-like fire on Clinton then he stands a good chance.
Rubio and Nikki Haley versus Hillary/Julian Castro
Hillary will win the same states that Obama won in '12, and win with relative ease.
Back in 2012, the RNC's post mortum identified that the party had to reach out to young people, non-whites. This time, the Republican primary has just erased any chance of the Republicans appealing beyond their shrinking circle of allies (/pol/ included.)
also the Senate will swing back to the Democrats.
if by a long shot, the Republicans elect Trump or Cruz, they'll be totally dominated.
>do you think Trump has a chance
He'll win if people shill and vote for him.
That's how elections work OP.
>Not realizing that Sanders is now either tied and surging or beating Clinton in the early primary states
>Not realizing Sanders beats Trump by 19% points and Cruz by more than 10%.
>Not realizing his donations are increasing, his base is increasing, his favorability is increasing.
Why do people vote against their own interest?
Is it the parental influence at a young age?
Sure they worked out well for Germany and Brasil, uh?
/pol/ is a circlejerk and it's not gonna stop just for little old you
go make a topic if you need something explained to you by someone who isn't 1000% done trying to "debate" facts with you