>>1032922 herd behavior is hard wired in humans. also the media is also negative. when you got positive news it's neutral at best, when you got the negative news finally it's the doomsday. people want negative news. unfortunately reading the news is not how you make money at stock market.
>>1032886 this is the smart money pulling the plugs while analysts are keeping the dumb in by saying "oh its not so bad" "economy is doing fine dont worry"... risk / reward owning stocks right now is completely skewed towards the risk side.
Its probably the start of a recession. But we don't know, because no one can predict the future. It all depends on China having a good market, and the west having money to pay for their cheap crap. This can be a correction for all we know, or the anal rape fest of the global market that brings down governments.
>>1032886 There's too many fucking doomsayers on this board. Ride it out and wait. Monitor your assets and determine an acceptable level of risk, that's on you. I personally think when people start crying doom that's the time to buy.
>>1033615 it's anything but overvalued or a bubble. it's undervalued. we have record lows retail participation still. people always buy tops and sell lows. the common retail havent come back since 2009 crash.
you fool retail money market fund is cash, record low means people are holding record low amount of cash, if they are holding record low cash, that means they are holding record high amount of investments.
No you cant say the cash is low so the stock participation is high. You simply look the retail participation in sp500, not cash. Historically the common people always miss the rally as they stay buy tops and stay in fear after a crash.
Its the Deflation mate, QE is gone and the rates are going up (meaning private bank-based money creation is down too) without these crutches the deflation is inevitable
its healthy desu, prices need to adjust to where they should be, and that includes stock prices. You want to make money right now? Sell everything and hold the cash. You won't get any more individual dollars but the deflation will make them worth more relative to everything else
meh, the average stock market is one thing, rolling the dice on a specific company is another. besides, there's still dividends and day trading. Not like o% over 12 years is even realistically possible desu barring some huge change in fundamentals
even then it wouldn't just be a flat line, it would be a long ass period of ups and downs that averaged out near 0
first of all because every other country will be hit harder than the US - just like it happened in the 2007 crisis, the dollar rose.
secondly, whatever happens with politics isn't necessarily relevant, if they start printing money like you say then there won't be deflation, as it stands right now (10 months before the election?) delfation is the reality. if this time next year something else is going on, change strategies, but right now deflation is what's going on and i reckon by the next meeting of the FOMC they're gonna start saying that.
>>1034731 You need to look at longer time horizons than a year. CAGR since 2007, which would include the entirety of the great recession, in inflation adjusted terms is still 6.41% per year. There are occasional bad years, but if you're investing for retirement then market corrections are not particularly impactful.
>>1034731 Don't fall for the dividend meme. There is nothing magic about dividends. What good is a 3% yield on WMT when its price has cratered 30% over the last year. The company faces serious threats to its business model, so its naive to believe the price will return to what it once was.
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